Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Alexander Hernandez
El Gran Chango
18-9-0
RESULT

Alexander Hernandez def. Mike Breeden (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 1:20
Mike Breeden
Money
11-6-0
Saturday, October 2, 2021
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Alexander Hernandez defeated Mike Breeden by TKO in round 1 (1:20) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Santos vs Walker, held Saturday, October 2, 2021 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Alexander Hernandez
Mike Breeden
1
Knockdowns
0
20 of 35
Significant strikes
6 of 15
57%
Sig. strike accuracy
40%
20 of 35
Total strikes
6 of 15
0 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
0%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:01
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
15 of 29
Head
4 of 13
4 of 4
Body
0 of 0
1 of 2
Leg
2 of 2
14 of 26
Distance
5 of 14
6 of 9
Clinch
1 of 1
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
1
KD
0
20 of 35
Sig. str.
6 of 15
20 of 35
Total str.
6 of 15
0 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:01
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Alexander Hernandez
-718
88% implied win probability
Open: -437Best: -590
Mike Breeden
+467
18% implied win probability
Open: +318Best: +550

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookAlexander HernandezMike Breeden
BetAnything-750+500
BetOnline-900+550
BetUS-750+475
Betway-704+475
Bovada-750+475
Cloudbet-649+491
DraftKings-675+475
FanDuel-720+520
MyBookie-650+450
Pinnacle-590+425
sportsbetio-1111+361
sports-interaction-755+470
unibet-590+400

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Alexander Hernandez vs Mike Breeden?

Alexander Hernandez defeated Mike Breeden by TKO in round 1 (1:20) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Santos vs Walker, held Saturday, October 2, 2021 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Referee
Mark Smith
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Alexander Hernandez 52%48% Mike Breeden

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)

Alexander Hernandez
Complete Fighter
6 edges
Mike Breeden
Knockout Artist
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

94Power94
95Speed93
76Precision82
88Durability86
88Engine86
73Wrestling78
57Ground53

Biggest edge Alexander Hernandez, Submissions +8

Attribute by attribute

Alexander Hernandez is on the left of every row, Mike Breeden on the right.
94Punch power96
94Kick power92
95Punch speed97
94Kick speed88
76Accuracy82
73Takedowns78
55Ground striking55
59Submissions51
92Chin91
83Body strength80
88Cardio86

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

18-9-0
Record
11-6-0
1731
Power Index rating
1720
0
Win Streak
1
33
Age
37
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
72"
183 cm
Reach
70"
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

4.23
SLpM
5.75
40%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.45
SApM
7.28
59%
Str. Def.
42%

Grappling Profile

1.05
TD Avg.
0.98
35%
TD Acc.
30%
68%
TD Def.
67%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Alexander Hernandez · 4-1
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Noche UFC: Lopes vs Silva · Sep 13, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 3:46 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev: Du Plessis vs Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 4:58 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr. · Oct 5, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Mike Breeden · 2-3
  • L
    DBX 3: Rozenstruik vs. Perez · Aug 29, 2025
    Unanimous Decision
  • W
    DBX 1: Romero vs. Hylton · Mar 22, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:46
  • W
    UFC 294: Makhachev vs Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
    TKO · R3 · 3:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Luque vs Dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 1:25 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Font vs Vera · Apr 30, 2022
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 18 fights · 4 fights
43.8
Avg sig. strikes
50.8
0.72
Avg takedowns
0.75
1:20
Avg control time
0:30
108
Career high strikes
104
4
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Alexander Hernandez
Strike target
Mike Breeden
56%
Head
70%
31%
Body
25%
13%
Leg
4%
Alexander Hernandez
Strike position
Mike Breeden
85%
Distance
91%
8%
Clinch
8%
7%
Ground
1%