Ultimate Fighting Calendar
WelterweightPerformance of the Night3 rounds scheduled
Geoff Neal
Handz of Steel
16-8-0
RESULT

Carlos Prates def. Geoff Neal (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 4:59
WIN
Carlos Prates
The Nightmare
24-7-0
Saturday, August 16, 2025
United Center, Chicago, United States

Carlos Prates defeated Geoff Neal by TKO in round 1 (4:59) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev: Du Plessis vs Chimaev, held Saturday, August 16, 2025 at United Center, Chicago.

Fight stats

Geoff Neal
Carlos Prates
0
Knockdowns
1
25 of 49
Significant strikes
32 of 60
51%
Sig. strike accuracy
53%
26 of 50
Total strikes
32 of 60
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:15
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
16 of 38
Head
17 of 45
4 of 6
Body
8 of 8
5 of 5
Leg
7 of 7
23 of 45
Distance
32 of 58
2 of 4
Clinch
0 of 2
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
1
25 of 49
Sig. str.
32 of 60
26 of 50
Total str.
32 of 60
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:15
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Geoff Neal
+161
38% implied win probability
Open: +217Best: +205
Carlos Prates
-190
66% implied win probability
Open: -268Best: -160

Average moneyline across 18 sportsbooks.

SportsbookGeoff NealCarlos Prates
4casters+163-171
4Cx+159-176
Bet105+142-160
BetAnything+150-175
BetOnline+155-180
BetUS+146-175
Betway+163-200
Bookmaker+180-225
Bovada+205-245
Caesars+170-205
Circa+152-175
Cloudbet+147-161
DraftKings+145-175
FanDuel+168-200
MyBookie+193-255
Pinnacle+168-191
Stake+150-250
SXBet+143-171

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Geoff Neal vs Carlos Prates?

Carlos Prates defeated Geoff Neal by TKO in round 1 (4:59) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev: Du Plessis vs Chimaev, held Saturday, August 16, 2025 at United Center, Chicago.

Referee
Jason Herzog
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Geoff Neal 60%40% Carlos Prates

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Welterweight roster (258 fighters)

Geoff Neal
Knockout Artist
5 edges
Carlos Prates
Knockout Artist
6 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

85Power98
81Speed99
97Precision99
93Durability93
66Engine63
59Wrestling44
66Ground65

Biggest edge Carlos Prates, Kick speed +35

Attribute by attribute

Geoff Neal is on the left of every row, Carlos Prates on the right.
98Punch power97
72Kick power98
98Punch speed99
63Kick speed98
97Accuracy99
59Takedowns44
60Ground striking85
72Submissions45
95Chin93
91Body strength93
66Cardio63

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

16-8-0
Record
24-7-0
1813
Power Index rating
1745
0
Win Streak
3
35
Age
33
5'11"
180 cm
Height
6'1"
185 cm
75"
191 cm
Reach
78"
198 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
United States
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

5.02
SLpM
4.41
50%
Str. Acc.
54%
5.50
SApM
4.30
57%
Str. Def.
47%

Grappling Profile

0.54
TD Avg.
0.18
45%
TD Acc.
100%
87%
TD Def.
77%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Geoff Neal · 1-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 1:19 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev: Du Plessis vs Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 4:59 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC 308: Topuria vs Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 1:30 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 298: Volkanovski vs Topuria · Feb 17, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 285: Jones vs Gane · Mar 4, 2023
    Submission · R3 · 4:17 · Welterweight
Carlos Prates · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs Prates · May 2, 2026
    TKO · R3 · 3:17 · Welterweight
  • W
    Joseph Luciano
    ONE Warrior Series 9
    Unanimous Decision · R3
  • L
    Gadzhimurad Abdulaev
    ONE Warrior Series 6
    Unanimous Decision · R3
  • W
    VeChain UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev · Nov 15, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 1:28 · Welterweight
  • W
    Gunther Kalunda
    ONE Warrior Series 5
    TKO · R2

Career Averages

Based on 14 fights · 8 fights
49.1
Avg sig. strikes
42.4
0.36
Avg takedowns
0.13
1:25
Avg control time
0:28
121
Career high strikes
104
2
Career high TDs
1

Strike Distribution

Geoff Neal
Strike target
Carlos Prates
85%
Head
60%
8%
Body
18%
6%
Leg
22%
Geoff Neal
Strike position
Carlos Prates
82%
Distance
91%
10%
Clinch
1%
7%
Ground
9%