Ultimate Fighting Calendar
WelterweightFight of the Night3 rounds scheduled
Geoff Neal
Handz of Steel
16-8-0
RESULT

Shavkat Rakhmonov def. Geoff Neal (Submission)

Submission · Round 3 · 4:17
WIN
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Nomad
19-0-0
Saturday, March 4, 2023
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States

Shavkat Rakhmonov defeated Geoff Neal by Submission in round 3 (4:17) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 285: Jones vs Gane, held Saturday, March 4, 2023 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Geoff Neal
Shavkat Rakhmonov
0
Knockdowns
0
69 of 145
Significant strikes
113 of 179
48%
Sig. strike accuracy
63%
69 of 145
Total strikes
120 of 186
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 4
-
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
1:12
Control time
3:43
Significant strikes by target
63 of 136
Head
69 of 130
4 of 6
Body
39 of 44
2 of 3
Leg
5 of 5
57 of 129
Distance
74 of 131
12 of 16
Clinch
39 of 48
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
29 of 54
Sig. str.
43 of 64
29 of 54
Total str.
46 of 67
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:48
Ctrl
0:37
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
20 of 57
Sig. str.
35 of 70
20 of 57
Total str.
35 of 70
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:24
Ctrl
0:51
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
20 of 34
Sig. str.
35 of 45
20 of 34
Total str.
39 of 49
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 2
0
Sub. att
1
0:00
Ctrl
2:15

Betting Odds

Geoff Neal
+390
20% implied win probability
Open: +357Best: +600
Shavkat Rakhmonov
-551
85% implied win probability
Open: -498Best: -450

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookGeoff NealShavkat Rakhmonov
BetAnything+370-625
BetOnline+400-550
BetUS+350-500
Betway+333-450
Bovada+395-500
Cloudbet+386-465
DraftKings+600-950
FanDuel+400-650
MyBookie+350-526
Pinnacle+335-500
sportsbetio+370-588
sports-interaction+400-625
unibet+375-500

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov?

Shavkat Rakhmonov defeated Geoff Neal by Submission in round 3 (4:17) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 285: Jones vs Gane, held Saturday, March 4, 2023 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

Referee
Herb Dean
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Geoff Neal 36%64% Shavkat Rakhmonov

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Welterweight roster (258 fighters)

Geoff Neal
Knockout Artist
3 edges
Shavkat Rakhmonov
Complete Fighter
7 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

85Power94
81Speed95
97Precision94
93Durability94
66Engine93
59Wrestling92
66Ground95

Biggest edge Shavkat Rakhmonov, Ground striking +35

Attribute by attribute

Geoff Neal is on the left of every row, Shavkat Rakhmonov on the right.
98Punch power94
72Kick power94
98Punch speed95
63Kick speed94
97Accuracy94
59Takedowns92
60Ground striking95
72Submissions95
95Chin95
91Body strength92
66Cardio93

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

16-8-0
Record
19-0-0
1812
Power Index rating
1910
0
Win Streak
7
35
Age
31
5'11"
180 cm
Height
6'1"
185 cm
75"
191 cm
Reach
77"
196 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
United States
Nationality
Kazakhstan

Striking Profile

5.02
SLpM
3.25
50%
Str. Acc.
60%
5.50
SApM
2.17
57%
Str. Def.
51%

Grappling Profile

0.54
TD Avg.
1.40
45%
TD Acc.
25%
87%
TD Def.
85%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
1.20

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Geoff Neal · 1-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 1:19 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev: Du Plessis vs Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 4:59 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC 308: Topuria vs Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 1:30 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 298: Volkanovski vs Topuria · Feb 17, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 285: Jones vs Gane · Mar 4, 2023
    Submission · R3 · 4:17 · Welterweight
Shavkat Rakhmonov · 5-0
  • W
    UFC 310: Pantoja vs Asakura · Dec 7, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC 296: Edwards vs Covington · Dec 16, 2023
    Submission · R2 · 4:56 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC 285: Jones vs Gane · Mar 4, 2023
    Submission · R3 · 4:17 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs Gamrot · Jun 25, 2022
    Submission · R2 · 4:58 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs Strickland · Feb 5, 2022
    TKO · R1 · 4:10 · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 14 fights · 7 fights
49.1
Avg sig. strikes
34.9
0.36
Avg takedowns
1.00
1:25
Avg control time
5:19
121
Career high strikes
113
2
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Geoff Neal
Strike target
Shavkat Rakhmonov
85%
Head
70%
8%
Body
26%
6%
Leg
4%
Geoff Neal
Strike position
Shavkat Rakhmonov
82%
Distance
56%
10%
Clinch
24%
7%
Ground
20%