Saturday, March 4, 2023T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States
Shavkat Rakhmonov defeated Geoff Neal by Submission in round 3 (4:17) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 285: Jones vs Gane, held Saturday, March 4, 2023 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.
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Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Geoff NealShavkat Rakhmonov
0
Knockdowns0
69 / 145
Significant strikes113 / 179
48%
Sig. strike accuracy63%
69 / 145
Total strikes120 / 186
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 4
0
Submission attempts1
1:12
Control time3:43
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Geoff NealShavkat Rakhmonov
6391%6961%
Head
46%3935%
Body
23%54%
Leg
Where it happened
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
66%34%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Geoff Neal69 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
5151/120
44/6
22/3
Clinch
1212/16
0
0
Ground
0
0
0
Shavkat Rakhmonov113 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
5757/112
1616/18
11/1
Clinch
1212/18
2323/26
44/4
Ground
0
0
0
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round · the judges' scores under each
Geoff NealShavkat Rakhmonov
R1
29
43
10-910-910-9
R2
20
35
10-910-910-9
R3
20
35
Bars share one scale across rounds. Each chip is one judge's score for the round, coloured by who they gave it to.
Round 1Judges: Shavkat Rakhmonov
0
Knockdowns0
29 / 54
Significant strikes43 / 64
54%
Sig. strike accuracy67%
29 / 54
Total strikes46 / 67
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 1
0:48
Control time0:37
Round 2Judges: Shavkat Rakhmonov
0
Knockdowns0
20 / 57
Significant strikes35 / 70
35%
Sig. strike accuracy50%
20 / 57
Total strikes35 / 70
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 1
0:24
Control time0:51
Round 3
0
Knockdowns0
20 / 34
Significant strikes35 / 45
59%
Sig. strike accuracy78%
20 / 34
Total strikes39 / 49
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 2
0
Submission attempts1
0:00
Control time2:15
Judges' Scorecards
| # | Neal | Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | 10 |
| # | Neal | Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | 10 |
| # | Neal | Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | 10 |
Betting Odds
Geoff Neal
+390
20% implied win probability
Open: +357Best: +600
Shavkat Rakhmonov
-551
85% implied win probability
Open: -498Best: -450
Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Geoff Neal | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | +370 | -625 |
| BetOnline | +400 | -550 |
| BetUS | +350 | -500 |
| Betway | +333 | -450 |
| Bovada | +395 | -500 |
| Cloudbet | +386 | -465 |
| DraftKings | +600 | -950 |
| FanDuel | +400 | -650 |
| MyBookie | +350 | -526 |
| Pinnacle | +335 | -500 |
| sportsbetio | +370 | -588 |
| sports-interaction | +400 | -625 |
| unibet | +375 | -500 |
Odds are for information only.
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API
Insights
- Shavkat Rakhmonov stops 86% of takedowns, better than 90% of UFC fighters.
- Geoff Neal absorbs 5.50 significant strikes a minute, more than 92% of UFC fighters.
- Geoff Neal lands 5.02 significant strikes a minute, more than 88% of UFC fighters.
- Geoff Neal stops 88% of takedowns, better than 92% of UFC fighters.
Style & credentials
Geoff Neal
BoxingBJJ
- —Purple belt · BJJ
- 2017Contract winner · DWCSwelterweight
- —Champion · Texas Regional Amateur
- —Amateur MMA 6-1Record
Shavkat Rakhmonov
No background on record
Camp · Kill Cliff FC · KazakhstanSig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
85%70%
Head
9%26%
Body
6%4%
Leg
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Geoff Neallast 6 fights
80%19%
Shavkat Rakhmonovlast 3 fights
57%31%12%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Geoff Neal· from fights outside the UFC Shavkat Rakhmonov· from fights outside the UFC
Strikes landed / min
5.023.25
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Geoff Neal · Elite · better than 88% of UFC fightersShavkat Rakhmonov · Average · better than 45% of UFC fighters
Strikes taken / minfewer is better
5.502.17
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Geoff Neal · Poor · better than 8% of UFC fightersShavkat Rakhmonov · Elite · better than 88% of UFC fighters
Takedowns landed / 15 min
0.541.40
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Geoff Neal · Below avg · better than 23% of UFC fightersShavkat Rakhmonov · Average · better than 56% of UFC fighters
Takedown accuracy
45%26%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Geoff Neal · Good · better than 66% of UFC fightersShavkat Rakhmonov · Below avg · better than 23% of UFC fighters
Takedown defence
88%86%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Geoff Neal · Elite · better than 92% of UFC fightersShavkat Rakhmonov · Elite · better than 90% of UFC fighters
Submission attempts / 15 min
0.101.20
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Geoff Neal · Below avg · better than 25% of UFC fightersShavkat Rakhmonov · Elite · better than 86% of UFC fighters
Ranked against 1484 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
5.02
Strikes landed / min3.25
5.50
Strikes taken / minfewer is better2.17
0.54 / 1.2
Takedowns landed / 15 min1.40 / 5.4
45%
Takedown accuracy26%
88%
Takedown defence86%
1:20
Control time / fight5:19
0.10
Submission attempts / 15 min1.20
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Geoff Neal15 UFC fights · 700 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
68%478/1068
7%51/74
6%43/46
Clinch
9%64/99
2%11/12
0%1/1
Ground
7%52/75
0%0/0
0%0/0
Shavkat Rakhmonov7 UFC fights · 244 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
43%105/216
11%27/36
2%5/6
Clinch
7%18/29
15%36/43
2%5/5
Ground
19%47/70
0%1/1
0%0/0
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Geoff Neal17 of 24 ended early · 71%7 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
Shavkat Rakhmonov18 of 19 ended early · 95%1 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended
Recent form · last 5
Geoff Neal1-4
- L
- LUFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev: Du Plessis vs Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025TKO · R1 · 4:59 · Welterweight
- W
- LUFC 298: Volkanovski vs Topuria · Feb 17, 2024Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- L
Full record · 24 fightsShow less
- W
- WUFC 269: Oliveira vs Poirier · Dec 11, 2021Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Waterson - Event · May 8, 2021Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Neal · Dec 19, 2020Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- W
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs Dillashaw · Jan 19, 2019Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Medeiros · Feb 18, 2018Submission · R1 · 2:48 · Welterweight
- WChase WaldonDana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series 3 · Jul 25, 2017TKO · R1 · 1:56 · Middleweight
- WBilal WilliamsLFA 16: Bedford vs. Flick · Jul 14, 2017TKO · R1 · 4:43 · Welterweight
- L
- W
- W
- WChristopher AnthonyLegacy FC 32 · Jun 20, 2014Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
- WArmando ServinXKO 19 · Aug 17, 2013Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
- LMartin SanoEnemy of the State · Apr 19, 2013Submission · R3 · 1:25 · Welterweight
- WZack BoardXKO 17 · Jan 12, 2013TKO · R2 · 1:46 · Middleweight
- WDavid McAfeeBlood & Glory 1 · Aug 25, 2012Submission · R1 · 2:15 · Welterweight
Shavkat Rakhmonov5-0
- WUFC 310: Pantoja vs Asakura · Dec 7, 2024Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- W
- W
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs Strickland · Feb 5, 2022TKO · R1 · 4:10 · Welterweight
Full record · 19 fightsShow less
- W
- W
- WTiago VarejãoM-1 Challenge 102 · Jun 28, 2019TKO · R1 · 4:50 · Welterweight
- WDaniil PrikazaM-1 Challenge 101 · Mar 30, 2019TKO · R2 · 2:16 · Welterweight
- WRinat SayakbaevBattle of Nomads 11 · Dec 8, 2018TKO · R2 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- W
- WLevan SolodovnikM-1 Challenge 87 · Feb 9, 2018Submission · R2 · 4:42 · Welterweight
- W
- WMarcelo BritoM-1 Challenge 67 · Jun 4, 2016TKO · R1 · 1:37 · Welterweight
- WAdil BoranbayevBattle of Nomads 7 · Apr 30, 2016Submission · R2 · 4:52 · Welterweight
- WMichal WiencekM-1 Challenge 59 · Jul 3, 2015Submission · R1 · 0:49 · Welterweight
- WBartosz ChyrekM-1 Challenge 57 · May 2, 2015TKO · R1 · 2:50 · Welterweight
- WMarcus ViniciosKazakhstan Mixed Martial Arts Federation · Nov 30, 2014TKO · R1 · 4:58 · Welterweight
- WAdam TsurovM-1 Challenge 52 · Oct 17, 2014Submission · R1 · 3:56 · Welterweight
Frequently asked questions
Who won Geoff Neal vs Shavkat Rakhmonov?
Shavkat Rakhmonov defeated Geoff Neal by Submission in round 3 (4:17) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 285: Jones vs Gane, held Saturday, March 4, 2023 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.