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Light Heavyweight3 rounds scheduled
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Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes

Bruno Lopes
The Brazilian Cowboy
14-3-0
Sunday, August 9, 2026
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Win probability

Diyar Nurgozhay 48%52% Bruno Lopes

Based on both fighters' current UFCal Elo ratings. See all Elo ratings

Tale of the Tape

11-2-0
Record
14-3-0
1454
Elo rating
1471
1
Win Streak
0
29
Age
33
6'2"
188 cm
Height
6'2"
188 cm
74"
188 cm
Reach
74"
188 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Weight Class
Light Heavyweight
Kazakhstan
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

4.52
SLpM
2.88
59%
Str. Acc.
43%
2.81
SApM
4.21
61%
Str. Def.
54%

Grappling Profile

1.37
TD Avg.
1.93
75%
TD Acc.
21%
80%
TD Def.
100%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Diyar Nurgozhay · 1-2
  • W
    UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2Sat, Mar 7, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Walker vs ZhangSat, Aug 23, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 2:45 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze 2Sat, Mar 15, 2025
    Submission · R2 · 1:28 · Light Heavyweight
Bruno Lopes · 1-2
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs PyferSat, Mar 28, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 4:05 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs KleinSat, May 31, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 1:50 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2Sat, Jan 11, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight

Career Averages

Based on 3 fights · 3 fights
39.3
Avg sig. strikes
21.3
1.00
Avg takedowns
1.67
0:52
Avg control time
3:26
94
Career high strikes
33
2
Career high TDs
5

Strike Distribution

Diyar Nurgozhay
Strike target
Bruno Lopes
33%
Head
58%
40%
Body
27%
27%
Leg
16%
Diyar Nurgozhay
Strike position
Bruno Lopes
88%
Distance
52%
5%
Clinch
44%
7%
Ground
5%

Betting Odds

Diyar Nurgozhay
-300
75% implied win probability
Open: -3233Best: -300
Bruno Lopes
-355
78% implied win probability
Open: -3233Best: -355

Average moneyline across 1 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Diyar NurgozhayBruno Lopes
70%80%90%100%Jul 26, 10 PMJul 27, 6 AMJul 27, 1 PMJul 27, 8 PMJul 26, 10:50 PM UTC — Diyar Nurgozhay -3233 (97%)Jul 27, 4:20 AM UTC — Diyar Nurgozhay -456 (82%)Jul 27, 2:50 PM UTC — Diyar Nurgozhay -426 (81%)Jul 27, 4:50 PM UTC — Diyar Nurgozhay -376 (79%)Jul 27, 6:50 PM UTC — Diyar Nurgozhay -335 (77%)Jul 27, 8:50 PM UTC — Diyar Nurgozhay -300 (75%)Jul 26, 10:50 PM UTC — Bruno Lopes -3233 (97%)Jul 27, 4:20 AM UTC — Bruno Lopes -567 (85%)Jul 27, 2:50 PM UTC — Bruno Lopes -525 (84%)Jul 27, 4:50 PM UTC — Bruno Lopes -456 (82%)Jul 27, 6:50 PM UTC — Bruno Lopes -400 (80%)Jul 27, 8:50 PM UTC — Bruno Lopes -355 (78%)-300-355
SportsbookDiyar NurgozhayBruno Lopes
Polymarket-300-355

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io