Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Francis Marshall
Fire
10-3-0
RESULT

Francis Marshall def. Lucas Brennan (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Lucas Brennan
Skywalker
11-3-0
Saturday, April 25, 2026
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Francis Marshall defeated Lucas Brennan by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal, held Saturday, April 25, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Francis Marshall won the decision.

Fight stats

Francis Marshall
Lucas Brennan
0
Knockdowns
0
33 of 69
Significant strikes
9 of 36
48%
Sig. strike accuracy
25%
60 of 99
Total strikes
20 of 48
2 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 6
67%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
6:36
Control time
0:47
Significant strikes by target
26 of 59
Head
4 of 23
3 of 6
Body
2 of 10
4 of 4
Leg
3 of 3
28 of 64
Distance
9 of 35
4 of 4
Clinch
0 of 1
1 of 1
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
9 of 16
Sig. str.
2 of 8
16 of 24
Total str.
9 of 16
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 2
0
Sub. att
1
3:28
Ctrl
0:13
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
8 of 10
Sig. str.
1 of 7
27 of 31
Total str.
5 of 11
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
3:08
Ctrl
0:34
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
16 of 43
Sig. str.
6 of 21
17 of 44
Total str.
6 of 21
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 3
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00

Judges' Scorecards

#MarshallBrennan
1109
2109
3109
Total3027
#MarshallBrennan
1109
2109
3109
Total3027
#MarshallBrennan
1109
2109
3109
Total3027

Media Scores

10
Marshall
-
0
Brennan
30-27 Marshall×10
All 10 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

100%
Marshall
0%
Brennan
17 fan scorecards submitted
30-27 Marshall100%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
100%
Marshall
R2
100%
Marshall
R3
100%
Marshall

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Francis Marshall
-504
83% implied win probability
Open: -562Best: -376
Lucas Brennan
+405
20% implied win probability
Open: +366Best: +850

Average moneyline across 23 sportsbooks.

SportsbookFrancis MarshallLucas Brennan
4casters-405+351
4Cx-414+343
Bet105-454+377
BetAnything-550+340
BetMGM-550+400
BetOnline-425+325
BetRivers-1429+650
BetUS-500+369
Betway-500+350
Bookmaker-460+358
Bovada-550+390
Caesars-550+400
Circa-435+475
Cloudbet-472+366
DraftKings-485+370
FanDuel-520+390
HardRockBet-1600+850
MyBookie-526+370
Pinnacle-446+371
Polymarket-376+355
ProphetX-440+385
Stake-500+380
SXBet-515+357

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Francis Marshall vs Lucas Brennan?

Francis Marshall defeated Lucas Brennan by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal, held Saturday, April 25, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Francis Marshall won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Francis Marshall vs Lucas Brennan?

The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Francis Marshall won the decision.

Was Francis Marshall vs Lucas Brennan a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 100% of 10 media scores picked Francis Marshall.

Full robbery index
Referee
Kerry Hatley
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Francis Marshall 41%59% Lucas Brennan

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

10-3-0
Record
11-3-0
1696
Power Index rating
1758
2
Win Streak
0
27
Age
26
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
72"
183 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

3.19
SLpM
0.60
34%
Str. Acc.
25%
3.45
SApM
2.20
55%
Str. Def.
52%

Grappling Profile

2.71
TD Avg.
0.00
47%
TD Acc.
0%
88%
TD Def.
33%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
1.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Francis Marshall · 3-2
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh · Feb 28, 2026
    Submission · R1 · 2:29 · Featherweight
  • L
    UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev · Mar 8, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Borralho · Aug 24, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Luque vs Dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 4:48 · Featherweight
Lucas Brennan · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    XKO 71 · Oct 10, 2025
    · R1 · 4:40 · Featherweight
  • W
    XKO 70 · May 23, 2025
    · R1 · 1:48 · Featherweight
  • L
    Fury FC 99: Aswell vs. Ramos · Dec 15, 2024
    Split Decision · Featherweight
  • L
    Professional Fighters League - PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season · Apr 3, 2024
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight

Career Averages

Based on 7 fights · 2 fights
24.6
Avg sig. strikes
9.0
1.43
Avg takedowns
1.00
3:21
Avg control time
0:47
57
Career high strikes
9
3
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Francis Marshall
Strike target
Lucas Brennan
82%
Head
44%
7%
Body
22%
11%
Leg
33%
Francis Marshall
Strike position
Lucas Brennan
89%
Distance
16%
5%
Clinch
0%
6%
Ground
84%