Featherweight3 rounds scheduled
RESULT
Francis Marshall def. Erik Silva (Submission)
Submission · Round 1 · 2:29
Saturday, February 28, 2026
Arena CDMX, México D.F., Mexico
Francis Marshall defeated Erik Silva by Submission in round 1 (2:29) in the Featherweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh, held Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Arena CDMX, México D.F..
Fight stats
Erik Silva
Francis Marshall
0
Knockdowns
0
5 of 9
Significant strikes
3 of 5
56%
Sig. strike accuracy
60%
5 of 9
Total strikes
10 of 13
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 2
-
Takedown accuracy
50%
0
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
1:42
Significant strikes by target
2 of 6
Head
0 of 2
1 of 1
Body
0 of 0
2 of 2
Leg
3 of 3
5 of 9
Distance
3 of 5
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0
By round
ROUND 1
0
KD
0
5 of 9
Sig. str.
3 of 5
5 of 9
Total str.
10 of 13
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 2
0
Sub. att
1
0:00
Ctrl
1:42
Betting Odds
Erik Silva
+618
14% implied win probability
Open: +376Best: +750
Francis Marshall
-877
90% implied win probability
Open: -278Best: -669
Average moneyline across 21 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Erik Silva | Francis Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| 4casters | +687 | -742 |
| 4Cx | +690 | -827 |
| Bet105 | +600 | -779 |
| BetAnything | +565 | -1100 |
| BetMGM | +575 | -900 |
| BetOnline | +750 | -1200 |
| BetRivers | +575 | -833 |
| BetUS | +680 | -1085 |
| Betway | +500 | -800 |
| Bookmaker | +529 | -740 |
| Bovada | +700 | -1200 |
| Caesars | +600 | -900 |
| Circa | +700 | -1050 |
| Cloudbet | +524 | -885 |
| DraftKings | +575 | -850 |
| FanDuel | +540 | -770 |
| HardRockBet | +525 | -700 |
| MyBookie | +700 | -1205 |
| Pinnacle | +600 | -780 |
| Polymarket | +614 | -669 |
| Stake | +740 | -1000 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io
Frequently asked questions
Who won Erik Silva vs Francis Marshall?
Francis Marshall defeated Erik Silva by Submission in round 1 (2:29) in the Featherweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh, held Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Arena CDMX, México D.F..
Referee
Fernando Salas Navarro
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾
Win probability
Erik Silva 38%62% Francis Marshall
What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index
Tale of the Tape
9-4-0
Record
10-3-0
1585
Power Index rating
1670
0
Win Streak
2
39
Age
27
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'9"
175 cm
71"
180 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Featherweight
Weight Class
Featherweight
Venezuela
Nationality
United States
Striking Profile
2.06
SLpM
3.19
67%
Str. Acc.
34%
1.52
SApM
3.45
40%
Str. Def.
55%
Grappling Profile
3.26
TD Avg.
2.71
80%
TD Acc.
47%
60%
TD Def.
88%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.50
Recent form (last 5 fights)
Erik Silva · 2-3
Francis Marshall · 3-2
Head-to-Head History
Career Averages
Based on 3 fights · 7 fights
8.7
Avg sig. strikes
24.6
1.00
Avg takedowns
1.43
0:56
Avg control time
3:21
21
Career high strikes
57
3
Career high TDs
3
Strike Distribution
Erik Silva
Strike target
Francis Marshall
54%
Head
82%
27%
Body
7%
19%
Leg
11%
Erik Silva
Strike position
Francis Marshall
69%
Distance
89%
27%
Clinch
5%
4%
Ground
6%