Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Featherweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Mairon Santos
The Legend
18-1-0
RESULT

Mairon Santos def. Francis Marshall (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Francis Marshall
Fire
10-3-0
Saturday, March 8, 2025
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States

Mairon Santos defeated Francis Marshall by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Featherweight bout of UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev, held Saturday, March 8, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 27-30, 29-28, 29-28, Mairon Santos won the decision.

Fight stats

Mairon Santos
Francis Marshall
0
Knockdowns
0
58 of 129
Significant strikes
39 of 143
45%
Sig. strike accuracy
27%
78 of 154
Total strikes
64 of 179
0 of 1
Takedowns
3 of 5
0%
Takedown accuracy
60%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:02
Control time
2:35
Significant strikes by target
29 of 80
Head
32 of 136
14 of 30
Body
1 of 1
15 of 19
Leg
6 of 6
57 of 128
Distance
39 of 142
1 of 1
Clinch
0 of 0
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 1

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
18 of 42
Sig. str.
16 of 45
18 of 42
Total str.
36 of 76
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
0:02
Ctrl
0:35
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
19 of 36
Sig. str.
8 of 40
19 of 36
Total str.
8 of 40
0 of 0
Takedowns
2 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
1:22
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
21 of 51
Sig. str.
15 of 58
41 of 76
Total str.
20 of 63
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:38

Judges' Scorecards

#SantosMarshall
1910
2910
3910
Total2730
#SantosMarshall
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
#SantosMarshall
1910
2109
3109
Total2928

Media Scores

0
Santos
-
13
Marshall
30-27 Marshall×1029-28 Marshall×3
All 13 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

13%
Santos
1%
Draw
86%
Marshall
368 fan scorecards submitted
30-27 Marshall62.2%29-28 Marshall23.4%29-28 Santos11.7%29-29 Draw1.1%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
97%
Marshall
R2
80%
Marshall
R3
70%
Marshall

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Mairon Santos
+243
29% implied win probability
Open: -216Best: +2300
Francis Marshall
+165
38% implied win probability
Open: +248Best: +230

Average moneyline across 18 sportsbooks.

SportsbookMairon SantosFrancis Marshall
4casters-229+202
Bet105-239+205
BetAnything-270+230
BetMGM-250+200
BetOnline-250+210
BetRivers-250+195
BetUS-260+214
Betway+300-500
Bookmaker-267+210
Bovada-270+220
Caesars-225+185
Circa-260+220
Cloudbet-244+215
DraftKings+700-1300
FanDuel+2300-6000
MyBookie+525-1500
Pinnacle-245+209
SXBet-281+217

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Mairon Santos vs Francis Marshall?

Mairon Santos defeated Francis Marshall by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Featherweight bout of UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev, held Saturday, March 8, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 27-30, 29-28, 29-28, Mairon Santos won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Mairon Santos vs Francis Marshall?

The judges scored it 27-30, 29-28, 29-28, Mairon Santos won the decision.

Was Mairon Santos vs Francis Marshall a robbery?

Many scored it for Francis Marshall: 86% of 368 fan cards scored it for Francis Marshall; 100% of 13 media scores picked Francis Marshall. The judges gave it to Mairon Santos.

Full robbery index
Referee
Chris Tognoni
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Mairon Santos 65%35% Francis Marshall

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Featherweight roster (204 fighters)

Mairon Santos
Knockout Artist
7 edges
Francis Marshall
Grappling Specialist
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

97Power76
99Speed69
98Precision59
82Durability71
92Engine85
46Wrestling97
53Ground82

Biggest edge Francis Marshall, Takedowns +51

Attribute by attribute

Mairon Santos is on the left of every row, Francis Marshall on the right.
94Punch power95
99Kick power56
98Punch speed79
99Kick speed58
98Accuracy59
46Takedowns97
51Ground striking69
55Submissions94
73Chin71
91Body strength71
92Cardio85

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

18-1-0
Record
10-3-0
1788
Power Index rating
1678
4
Win Streak
2
26
Age
27
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'9"
175 cm
72"
183 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Featherweight
Weight Class
Featherweight
Brazil
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

3.33
SLpM
3.19
48%
Str. Acc.
34%
2.24
SApM
3.45
65%
Str. Def.
55%

Grappling Profile

0.00
TD Avg.
2.71
0%
TD Acc.
47%
69%
TD Def.
88%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.50

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Mairon Santos · 5-0
  • W
    UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 0:21 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales · May 17, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev · Mar 8, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Borralho · Aug 24, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 1:30 · Ultimate Fighter 32 Featherweight
  • W
    The Ultimate Fighter 32 · Apr 9, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
Francis Marshall · 3-2
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh · Feb 28, 2026
    Submission · R1 · 2:29 · Featherweight
  • L
    UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev · Mar 8, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Borralho · Aug 24, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Luque vs Dos Anjos · Aug 12, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 4:48 · Featherweight

Career Averages

Based on 4 fights · 7 fights
39.0
Avg sig. strikes
24.6
0.00
Avg takedowns
1.43
0:42
Avg control time
3:21
58
Career high strikes
57
0
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Mairon Santos
Strike target
Francis Marshall
49%
Head
82%
26%
Body
7%
24%
Leg
11%
Mairon Santos
Strike position
Francis Marshall
88%
Distance
89%
9%
Clinch
5%
3%
Ground
6%