Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira
Bantamweight★ Performance of the Night5 rounds scheduled
WIN
Mario Bautista
United StatesMario Bautista
18-3-0
RESULT

Mario Bautista def. Vinicius Oliveira (Submission)

Submission · Round 2 · 4:46
Vinicius Oliveira
BrazilVinicius Oliveira
“LokDog”
24-4-0
Saturday, February 7, 2026
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Mario Bautista defeated Vinicius Oliveira by Submission in round 2 (4:46) in the Bantamweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira, held Saturday, February 7, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Mario Bautista
Vinicius Oliveira
0
Knockdowns
0
15 of 27
Significant strikes
12 of 21
56%
Sig. strike accuracy
57%
49 of 63
Total strikes
18 of 27
5 of 7
Takedowns
0 of 1
71%
Takedown accuracy
0%
1
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
5:47
Control time
1:39
Significant strikes by target
10 of 20
Head
3 of 10
5 of 6
Body
3 of 5
0 of 1
Leg
6 of 6
6 of 12
Distance
9 of 18
0 of 2
Clinch
3 of 3
9 of 13
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
3 of 9
Sig. str.
6 of 8
22 of 29
Total str.
8 of 10
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
2:18
Ctrl
1:39
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
12 of 18
Sig. str.
6 of 13
27 of 34
Total str.
10 of 17
4 of 5
Takedowns
0 of 1
1
Sub. att
0
3:29
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Mario Bautista
-161
62% implied win probability
Open: -199Best: -125
Vinicius Oliveira
+250
29% implied win probability
Open: +149Best: +1100

Average moneyline across 21 sportsbooks.

SportsbookMario BautistaVinicius Oliveira
4casters-128+118
4Cx-131+116
Bet105-130+115
BetAnything-140+110
BetMGM-3000+1000
BetOnline-125+105
BetRivers-147+118
BetUS-135+114
Betway-150+120
Bookmaker-145+125
Bovada-125+107
Caesars-450+300
Circa-125+105
Cloudbet-2000+900
DraftKings-130+110
FanDuel-146+124
HardRockBet-2500+1100
MyBookie-140+114
Pinnacle-129+115
Polymarket-127+122
Stake-132+117

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira?

Mario Bautista defeated Vinicius Oliveira by Submission in round 2 (4:46) in the Bantamweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira, held Saturday, February 7, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Referee
Herb Dean
Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Mario Bautista 56%44% Vinicius Oliveira

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Bantamweight roster (15 fighters)

Mario Bautista
Complete Fighter
3 edges
Vinicius Oliveira
Knockout Artist
7 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

93Power97
94Speed98
92Precision97
93Durability86
95Engine96
91Wrestling91
93Ground62

Biggest edge Mario Bautista, Submissions +41

Attribute by attribute

Mario Bautista is on the left of every row, Vinicius Oliveira on the right.
92Punch power96
93Kick power97
94Punch speed98
94Kick speed98
92Accuracy97
91Takedowns91
93Ground striking72
93Submissions52
94Chin78
92Body strength94
95Cardio96

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

18-3-0
Record
24-4-0
1861
Power Index rating
1819
2
Win Streak
1
33
Age
30
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'9"
175 cm
69"
175 cm
Reach
70"
178 cm
Switch
Stance
Switch
Bantamweight
Weight Class
Bantamweight
United States
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

5.52
SLpM
5.44
50%
Str. Acc.
47%
4.17
SApM
2.86
54%
Str. Def.
58%

Grappling Profile

2.49
TD Avg.
1.27
38%
TD Acc.
43%
57%
TD Def.
71%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.20

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Mario Bautista · 4-1
  • W
    Cory Sandhagen
    UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2 · Jul 11, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Vinicius Oliveira
    UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira · Feb 7, 2026
    Submission · R2 · 4:46 · Bantamweight
  • L
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    UFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane · Oct 25, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Patchy Mix
    UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs O'Malley 2 · Jun 7, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Jose Aldo
    UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr. · Oct 5, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
Vinicius Oliveira · 4-1
  • W
    Andre Fili
    UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi · Jun 20, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 4:56 · Featherweight
  • L
    Mario Bautista
    UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira · Feb 7, 2026
    Submission · R2 · 4:46 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Kyler Phillips
    UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3 · Jul 19, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Said Nurmagomedov
    UFC Saudi Arabia: Adesanya vs Imavov · Feb 1, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Ricky Simon
    UFC 303: Pereira vs Procházka 2 · Jun 29, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight

Career Averages

Based on 15 fights · 6 fights
57.6
Avg sig. strikes
69.8
1.73
Avg takedowns
1.17
2:24
Avg control time
2:14
173
Career high strikes
105
8
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Mario Bautista
Strike target
Vinicius Oliveira
61%
Head
52%
26%
Body
24%
13%
Leg
24%
Mario Bautista
Strike position
Vinicius Oliveira
80%
Distance
84%
13%
Clinch
6%
7%
Ground
11%