Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Bantamweight3 rounds scheduled
Jose Aldo
Junior
32-10-0
RESULT

Mario Bautista def. Jose Aldo (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Saturday, October 5, 2024
Delta Center, Salt Lake City, United States

Mario Bautista defeated Jose Aldo by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr., held Saturday, October 5, 2024 at Delta Center, Salt Lake City. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 28-29, Mario Bautista won the decision.

Fight stats

Jose Aldo
Mario Bautista
0
Knockdowns
0
51 of 117
Significant strikes
49 of 142
44%
Sig. strike accuracy
35%
65 of 139
Total strikes
90 of 196
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 10
-
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
7:15
Significant strikes by target
41 of 105
Head
26 of 111
6 of 8
Body
12 of 19
4 of 4
Leg
11 of 12
46 of 111
Distance
44 of 136
2 of 3
Clinch
5 of 6
3 of 3
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
13 of 26
Sig. str.
20 of 53
20 of 38
Total str.
40 of 81
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
2:20
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
21 of 43
Sig. str.
19 of 53
25 of 50
Total str.
31 of 65
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 4
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
2:14
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
17 of 48
Sig. str.
10 of 36
20 of 51
Total str.
19 of 50
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 4
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
2:41

Judges' Scorecards

#AldoBautista
1910
2109
3910
Total2829
#AldoBautista
1910
2109
3910
Total2829
#AldoBautista
1910
2109
3109
Total2928

Media Scores

9
Aldo
-
9
Bautista
29-28 Bautista×929-28 Aldo×9
All 18 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

84%
Aldo
2%
Draw
14%
Bautista
872 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Aldo77.1%29-28 Bautista13.3%30-27 Aldo6.9%29-29 Draw1.5%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
88%
Bautista
R2
96%
Aldo
R3
83%
Aldo

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Jose Aldo
+110
48% implied win probability
Open: +132Best: +150
Mario Bautista
-132
57% implied win probability
Open: -163Best: -105

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookJose AldoMario Bautista
BetAnything-125-105
BetOnline-101-119
BetRivers+102-127
BetUS+105-135
Betway+105-143
Bovada+112-130
Caesars+115-135
Cloudbet+115-126
DraftKings+150-195
FanDuel+110-130
MyBookie+110-140
Pinnacle+120-135
SXBet+111-133

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Jose Aldo vs Mario Bautista?

Mario Bautista defeated Jose Aldo by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr., held Saturday, October 5, 2024 at Delta Center, Salt Lake City. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 28-29, Mario Bautista won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Jose Aldo vs Mario Bautista?

The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 28-29, Mario Bautista won the decision.

Was Jose Aldo vs Mario Bautista a robbery?

Many scored it for Jose Aldo: 84% of 872 fan cards scored it for Jose Aldo; 50% of 18 media scores picked Mario Bautista. The judges gave it to Mario Bautista.

Full robbery index
Referee
Mike Beltran
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Jose Aldo 50%50% Mario Bautista

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Jose Aldo
Knockout Artist
4 edges
Mario Bautista
Complete Fighter
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

96Power93
97Speed94
92Precision92
93Durability93
92Engine95
88Wrestling91
90Ground93

Biggest edge Mario Bautista, Submissions +5

Attribute by attribute

Jose Aldo is on the left of every row, Mario Bautista on the right.
95Punch power92
97Kick power93
97Punch speed94
97Kick speed94
92Accuracy92
88Takedowns91
91Ground striking93
88Submissions93
94Chin94
92Body strength92
92Cardio95

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

32-10-0
Record
18-3-0
1826
Power Index rating
1829
0
Win Streak
2
39
Age
33
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'9"
175 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
69"
175 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Bantamweight
Weight Class
Bantamweight
Brazil
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

3.65
SLpM
5.52
46%
Str. Acc.
50%
3.81
SApM
4.17
60%
Str. Def.
54%

Grappling Profile

0.47
TD Avg.
2.49
51%
TD Acc.
38%
92%
TD Def.
57%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
1.10

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Jose Aldo · 2-2-1
  • L
    UFC 315: Muhammad vs Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • L
    UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr. · Oct 5, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg · May 4, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Shooto Brasil Boxing 2 · Jul 2, 2023
    Unanimous Decision
  • D
    Gamebred Boxing 4 · Apr 1, 2023
    Decision
Mario Bautista · 4-1
  • W
    UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2 · Jul 11, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira · Feb 7, 2026
    Submission · R2 · 4:46 · Bantamweight
  • L
    UFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane · Oct 25, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs O'Malley 2 · Jun 7, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr. · Oct 5, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight

Career Averages

Based on 23 fights · 15 fights
58.9
Avg sig. strikes
57.6
0.57
Avg takedowns
1.73
1:55
Avg control time
2:24
114
Career high strikes
173
5
Career high TDs
8

Strike Distribution

Jose Aldo
Strike target
Mario Bautista
67%
Head
61%
21%
Body
26%
12%
Leg
13%
Jose Aldo
Strike position
Mario Bautista
90%
Distance
80%
4%
Clinch
13%
6%
Ground
7%