Saturday, October 25, 2025Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West, United Arab Emirates
Umar Nurmagomedov defeated Mario Bautista by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane, held Saturday, October 25, 2025 at Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Umar Nurmagomedov won the decision.
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Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Umar NurmagomedovMario Bautista
0
Knockdowns1
32 / 54
Significant strikes20 / 54
59%
Sig. strike accuracy37%
81 / 105
Total strikes33 / 67
11 / 14
Takedowns0 / 1
79%
Takedown accuracy0%
0
Submission attempts1
10:46
Control time0:04
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Umar NurmagomedovMario Bautista
2475%630%
Head
619%1155%
Body
26%315%
Leg
Where it happened
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
32%15%53%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Umar Nurmagomedov32 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
1919/38
22/4
22/2
Clinch
0
22/2
0
Ground
55/6
22/2
0
Mario Bautista20 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
55/35
99/12
33/3
Clinch
00/1
22/2
0
Ground
11/1
0
0
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round · the judges' scores under each
Umar NurmagomedovMario Bautista
R1
5
1
10-910-910-9
R2
12
9
10-910-910-9
R3
15
10
10-910-910-9
Bars share one scale across rounds. Each chip is one judge's score for the round, coloured by who they gave it to.
Round 1Judges: Umar Nurmagomedov
0
Knockdowns0
5 / 6
Significant strikes1 / 1
83%
Sig. strike accuracy100%
32 / 34
Total strikes8 / 8
2 / 2
Takedowns0 / 0
0
Submission attempts1
4:37
Control time0:00
Round 2Judges: Umar Nurmagomedov
0
Knockdowns1
12 / 21
Significant strikes9 / 28
57%
Sig. strike accuracy32%
29 / 39
Total strikes14 / 33
2 / 3
Takedowns0 / 1
67%
Takedown accuracy0%
3:02
Control time0:04
Round 3Judges: Umar Nurmagomedov
0
Knockdowns0
15 / 27
Significant strikes10 / 25
56%
Sig. strike accuracy40%
20 / 32
Total strikes11 / 26
7 / 9
Takedowns0 / 0
3:07
Control time0:00
Judges' Scorecards
Media Scores
19
Umar Nurmagomedov
0
Mario Bautista
●30-27 Nurmagomedov×13●29-28 Nurmagomedov×6
All 19 media scorecards
- Jake Noecker · Home of Fight30-27Nurmagomedov
- MMAMania.com30-27Nurmagomedov
- CombatPress.com30-27Nurmagomedov
- Zane Simon · The MMA Vivisection30-27Nurmagomedov
- Drake Riggs · Uncrowned30-27Nurmagomedov
- Chris De Santiago · BloodyElbow.com30-27Nurmagomedov
- Steve Duncan · mma.uno30-27Nurmagomedov
- Keith Shillan · Sherdog.com30-27Nurmagomedov
- MMA Latinoamerica30-27Nurmagomedov
- Danny Segura · MMAJunkie.com30-27Nurmagomedov
- Ryan Frederick · WrestlingObserver.com30-27Nurmagomedov
- Daniel Yanofsky · The Sporting News30-27Nurmagomedov
- Nick Baldwin · theScore30-27Nurmagomedov
- Seán Sheehan · SevereMMA.com29-28Nurmagomedov
- Dayne Fox · Sherdog.com29-28Nurmagomedov
- Jay Pettry · Sherdog.com29-28Nurmagomedov
- Brian Knapp · Sherdog.com29-28Nurmagomedov
- Tyler Treese · Sherdog.com29-28Nurmagomedov
- Alexander K. Lee · MMAFighting.com29-28Nurmagomedov
Fan Scorecards
194 fan scorecards submitted
92%
Umar Nurmagomedov
2%
Draw
6%
Mario Bautista
●30-27 Nurmagomedov46.9%●29-28 Nurmagomedov42.8%●29-28 Bautista4.1%●30-27 Bautista1.5%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
91%
Nurmagomedov
R2
51%
Nurmagomedov
R3
95%
Nurmagomedov
Betting Odds
Umar Nurmagomedov
-633
86% implied win probability
Open: -446Best: -535
Mario Bautista
+481
17% implied win probability
Open: +340Best: +525
Average moneyline across 20 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Umar Nurmagomedov | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| 4casters | -546 | +494 |
| 4Cx | -557 | +484 |
| Bet105 | -647 | +513 |
| BetAnything | -650 | +385 |
| BetMGM | -700 | +475 |
| BetOnline | -650 | +475 |
| BetRivers | -560 | +420 |
| BetUS | -650 | +450 |
| Betway | -649 | +450 |
| Bookmaker | -675 | +492 |
| Bovada | -650 | +500 |
| Caesars | -700 | +500 |
| Circa | -710 | +525 |
| Cloudbet | -613 | +516 |
| DraftKings | -675 | +490 |
| FanDuel | -650 | +480 |
| mybookie | -699 | +470 |
| Pinnacle | -639 | +508 |
| Stake | -588 | +520 |
| SXBet | -535 | +480 |
Odds are for information only.
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API
Insights
- Mario Bautista lands 5.52 significant strikes a minute, more than 93% of UFC fighters.
- Umar Nurmagomedov lands 3.94 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than 94% of UFC fighters.
- Mario Bautista lands 2.49 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than 80% of UFC fighters.
Style & credentials
Umar Nurmagomedov
Freestyle WrestlingCombat SamboMuay Thai
- —International Master Of Sports · Combat SamboRussia (state sports rank)
- 2019GFC Bantamweight ChampionshipGorilla Fighting Championship (GFC)
- 2016Champion · WMMAA Worldsbantamweight
- 2016Champion · Russian Nationals
Mario Bautista
No background on record
Camp · MMA LAB · United StatesSig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
68%61%
Head
20%26%
Body
12%13%
Leg
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Umar Nurmagomedovlast 7 fights
64%31%
Mario Bautistalast 9 fights
61%19%20%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Umar Nurmagomedov· from fights outside the UFC Mario Bautista· from fights outside the UFC
Strikes landed / min
3.765.52
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Umar Nurmagomedov · Good · better than 62% of UFC fightersMario Bautista · Elite · better than 93% of UFC fighters
Strikes taken / minfewer is better
1.854.17
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Umar Nurmagomedov · Elite · better than 93% of UFC fightersMario Bautista · Below avg · better than 27% of UFC fighters
Takedowns landed / 15 min
3.942.49
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Umar Nurmagomedov · Elite · better than 94% of UFC fightersMario Bautista · Good · better than 80% of UFC fighters
Takedown accuracy
46%39%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Umar Nurmagomedov · Good · better than 69% of UFC fightersMario Bautista · Average · better than 53% of UFC fighters
Takedown defence
79%57%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Umar Nurmagomedov · Good · better than 82% of UFC fightersMario Bautista · Below avg · better than 36% of UFC fighters
Submission attempts / 15 min
0.201.10
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Umar Nurmagomedov · Below avg · better than 32% of UFC fightersMario Bautista · Good · better than 83% of UFC fighters
Ranked against 1483 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
3.76
Strikes landed / min5.52
1.85
Strikes taken / minfewer is better4.17
3.94 / 8.6
Takedowns landed / 15 min2.49 / 6.4
46%
Takedown accuracy39%
79%
Takedown defence57%
5:06
Control time / fight2:24
0.20
Submission attempts / 15 min1.10
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Umar Nurmagomedov10 UFC fights · 502 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
40%199/485
16%81/119
12%62/71
Clinch
4%18/25
2%11/14
0%0/0
Ground
25%124/166
1%7/7
0%0/0
Mario Bautista15 UFC fights · 864 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
47%410/1140
21%182/239
12%103/124
Clinch
8%68/89
4%38/42
1%5/5
Ground
6%53/73
1%5/5
0%0/0
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Umar Nurmagomedov10 of 22 ended early · 45%12 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
5 early stoppages have no logged time
Mario Bautista12 of 21 ended early · 57%9 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended
Recent form · last 5
Umar Nurmagomedov3-2
- L
- WUFC 324: Gaethje vs Pimblett · Jan 24, 2026Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- W
- LUFC 311: Makhachev vs Moicano · Jan 18, 2025Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov · Aug 3, 2024Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
Full record · 22 fightsShow less
- WUFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Gaziev · Mar 2, 2024Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs Gamrot · Jun 25, 2022Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- W
- W
- WBraian GonzálezGFC 20 · Nov 23, 2019· R1 · 4:34 · Bantamweight
- WSidemar HonorioProfessional Fighters League - PFL 6: 2019 Regular Season · Aug 7, 2019Unanimous Decision · R3 · Bantamweight
- WTaras GryckivGFC 14: Dagestan · Jul 13, 2019· R1 · 2:48 · Bantamweight
- WWagner LimaBattle on Volga 10 · Apr 14, 2019Unanimous Decision · Bantamweight
- WProfessional Fighters League - PFL 7: 2018 Regular Season · Aug 29, 2018Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Catchweight
- W
- WShyudi YamauchiFight Nights Global 83 · Feb 22, 2018Unanimous Decision · Bantamweight
- WNauruz DzamikhovFight Nights Global 76 · Oct 8, 2017Unanimous Decision · Bantamweight
- WValisher RakhmonovFight Nights Global 71 · Jul 29, 2017· R2 · 4:45 · Bantamweight
- WAlym IsabaevFight Nights Global 62 · Mar 31, 2017TKO · R2 · 3:32 · Bantamweight
- WUlukbek AmanbaevFight Stars · Jan 5, 2017· R1 · 4:12 · Bantamweight
- WRishat KharisovFight Nights Global 57 · Dec 16, 2016· R2 · 2:28 · Bantamweight
Mario Bautista4-1
- WUFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2 · Jul 11, 2026Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira · Feb 7, 2026Submission · R2 · 4:46 · Bantamweight
- LUFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane · Oct 25, 2025Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- WUFC 316: Dvalishvili vs O'Malley 2 · Jun 7, 2025Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- W
Full record · 21 fightsShow less
- WUFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Walker 2 · Jan 13, 2024Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- WUFC 292: Sterling vs O'Malley · Aug 19, 2023Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Yan vs Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023Submission · R1 · 3:18 · Bantamweight
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs Gamrot · Jun 25, 2022Submission · R1 · 2:27 · Bantamweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Walker vs Hill · Feb 19, 2022Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- L
- W
- WJin Soo SonUFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs Edwards · Jul 20, 2019Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs Dillashaw · Jan 19, 2019Submission · R1 · 3:31 · Bantamweight
- WJuan Pablo GonzálezCombate 26: Mexico vs. USA · Oct 13, 2018Unanimous Decision · Bantamweight
- WA.J. RobbLFA 44: Frincu vs. Aguilera · Jun 29, 2018Submission · R2 · 3:30 · Bantamweight
- WRaphael MontiniLFA 31: Moffett vs. Le · Jan 19, 2018TKO · R2 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- WDeMarcus BrownSMASH Global 6 · Sep 28, 2017Submission · R1 · 4:46 · Featherweight
- WDevon ChavezTachi PF 32 · Aug 3, 2017Submission · R2 · 0:59 · Bantamweight
- WJesse OrtaIron Boy MMA 6 · May 20, 2017TKO · R1 · 1:28 · Bantamweight
Frequently asked questions
Who won Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista?
Umar Nurmagomedov defeated Mario Bautista by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane, held Saturday, October 25, 2025 at Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Umar Nurmagomedov won the decision.
What were the judges' scorecards for Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista?
The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Umar Nurmagomedov won the decision.
Was Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista a robbery?
Public scoring backed the judges: 92% of 194 fan cards scored it for Umar Nurmagomedov; 100% of 19 media scores picked Umar Nurmagomedov.