Saturday, March 15, 2025Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States
Alexander Hernandez defeated Kurt Holobaugh by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze 2, held Saturday, March 15, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 30-27, 29-28, Alexander Hernandez won the decision.
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Alexander Hernandez vs Kurt Holobaugh
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Alexander HernandezKurt Holobaugh
0
Knockdowns0
59 / 149
Significant strikes71 / 171
40%
Sig. strike accuracy42%
87 / 186
Total strikes106 / 215
4 / 5
Takedowns0 / 0
0
Submission attempts1
6:39
Control time0:32
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Alexander HernandezKurt Holobaugh
3661%3955%
Head
1017%2130%
Body
1322%1115%
Leg
Where it happened
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
51%45%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Alexander Hernandez59 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
2525/100
77/12
1313/17
Clinch
00/1
22/2
0
Ground
1111/16
11/1
0
Kurt Holobaugh71 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
3737/119
1515/27
1111/14
Clinch
22/3
66/8
0
Ground
0
0
0
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round · the judges' scores under each
Alexander HernandezKurt Holobaugh
R1
22
26
10-910-910-9
R2
30
38
10-910-910-9
R3
7
7
10-910-910-9
Bars share one scale across rounds. Each chip is one judge's score for the round, coloured by who they gave it to.
Round 1Judges: Alexander Hernandez
0
Knockdowns0
22 / 68
Significant strikes26 / 75
32%
Sig. strike accuracy35%
24 / 70
Total strikes26 / 75
1 / 1
Takedowns0 / 0
0
Submission attempts1
0:09
Control time0:14
Round 2Judges: Kurt Holobaugh
0
Knockdowns0
30 / 62
Significant strikes38 / 78
48%
Sig. strike accuracy49%
37 / 75
Total strikes48 / 91
1 / 1
Takedowns0 / 0
2:01
Control time0:18
Round 3Judges: Alexander Hernandez
0
Knockdowns0
7 / 19
Significant strikes7 / 18
37%
Sig. strike accuracy39%
26 / 41
Total strikes32 / 49
2 / 3
Takedowns0 / 0
4:29
Control time0:00
Judges' Scorecards
Media Scores
2
Alexander Hernandez
8
Kurt Holobaugh
●29-28 Holobaugh×8●30-27 Hernandez●29-28 Hernandez
All 10 media scorecards
- Seán Sheehan · SevereMMA.com30-27Hernandez
- Danny Segura · MMAJunkie.com29-28Hernandez
- Jay Pettry · Sherdog.com29-28Holobaugh
- Tristen Critchfield · Sherdog.com29-28Holobaugh
- Tyler Treese · Sherdog.com29-28Holobaugh
- Dayne Fox · Sherdog.com29-28Holobaugh
- Ryan Frederick · WrestlingObserver.com29-28Holobaugh
- Steve Duncan · mma.uno29-28Holobaugh
- Zane Simon · The MMA Vivisection29-28Holobaugh
- Matthew Wells · MMAJunkie.com29-28Holobaugh
Fan Scorecards
85 fan scorecards submitted
39%
Alexander Hernandez
1%
Draw
60%
Kurt Holobaugh
●29-28 Holobaugh58.8%●29-28 Hernandez30.6%●30-27 Hernandez8.2%●30-27 Holobaugh1.2%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
67%
Holobaugh
R2
81%
Holobaugh
R3
95%
Hernandez
Betting Odds
Alexander Hernandez
-174
64% implied win probability
Open: -189Best: +134
Kurt Holobaugh
+152
40% implied win probability
Open: +155Best: +175
Average moneyline across 18 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Alexander Hernandez | Kurt Holobaugh |
|---|---|---|
| 4casters | -180 | +167 |
| Bet105 | -191 | +166 |
| BetAnything | -185 | +155 |
| BetMGM | -190 | +155 |
| BetOnline | -181 | +156 |
| BetRivers | -195 | +155 |
| BetUS | -185 | +154 |
| Betway | -250 | +175 |
| Bookmaker | -186 | +150 |
| Bovada | -183 | +158 |
| Caesars | -185 | +155 |
| Circa | -195 | +170 |
| Cloudbet | -187 | +168 |
| DraftKings | -160 | +124 |
| FanDuel | +134 | -172 |
| mybookie | -190 | +140 |
| Pinnacle | -191 | +166 |
| SXBet | -199 | +160 |
Odds are for information only.
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API
Insights
- Kurt Holobaugh absorbs 4.66 significant strikes a minute, more than 83% of UFC fighters.
- Alexander Hernandez absorbs 4.45 significant strikes a minute, more than 80% of UFC fighters.
- Kurt Holobaugh lands 4.98 significant strikes a minute, more than 87% of UFC fighters.
Style & credentials
Alexander Hernandez
BJJ
- —Black belt · BJJJason Yerrington
- 2015Lightweight ChampionshipHero FC
- —Amateur MMA 3-0Record
- —Reagan High School, San Antonio, TexasWrestling Folkstyle
Kurt Holobaugh
No background on record
Camp · Gracie United · United StatesSig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
56%62%
Head
31%25%
Body
13%13%
Leg
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Alexander Hernandezlast 9 fights
70%19%11%
Kurt Holobaughlast 5 fights
43%11%46%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Alexander Hernandez· from fights outside the UFC Kurt Holobaugh· from fights outside the UFC
Strikes landed / min
4.234.98
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Alexander Hernandez · Good · better than 73% of UFC fightersKurt Holobaugh · Elite · better than 87% of UFC fighters
Strikes taken / minfewer is better
4.454.66
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Alexander Hernandez · Below avg · better than 20% of UFC fightersKurt Holobaugh · Poor · better than 17% of UFC fighters
Takedowns landed / 15 min
1.050.74
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Alexander Hernandez · Average · better than 46% of UFC fightersKurt Holobaugh · Below avg · better than 33% of UFC fighters
Takedown accuracy
35%33%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Alexander Hernandez · Average · better than 42% of UFC fightersKurt Holobaugh · Below avg · better than 35% of UFC fighters
Takedown defence
69%36%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Alexander Hernandez · Good · better than 62% of UFC fightersKurt Holobaugh · Poor · better than 11% of UFC fighters
Submission attempts / 15 min
0.100.70
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Alexander Hernandez · Below avg · better than 25% of UFC fightersKurt Holobaugh · Good · better than 68% of UFC fighters
Ranked against 1483 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
4.23
Strikes landed / min4.98
4.45
Strikes taken / minfewer is better4.66
1.05 / 3.0
Takedowns landed / 15 min0.74 / 2.2
35%
Takedown accuracy33%
69%
Takedown defence36%
1:20
Control time / fight1:48
0.10
Submission attempts / 15 min0.70
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Alexander Hernandez18 UFC fights · 789 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
45%356/1284
26%209/345
13%105/150
Clinch
3%27/47
4%33/43
0%1/1
Ground
7%55/77
0%3/4
0%0/0
Kurt Holobaugh10 UFC fights · 456 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
52%239/714
13%59/90
13%59/76
Clinch
5%23/43
11%51/60
0%1/1
Ground
5%21/27
1%3/3
0%0/0
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Alexander Hernandez14 of 27 ended early · 52%13 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
Kurt Holobaugh20 of 31 ended early · 65%11 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
7 early stoppages have no logged time
finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended
Recent form · last 5
Alexander Hernandez4-1
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- WMartin WalkerBest of the Best 3 · Sep 12, 2014TKO · R1 · 2:59 · Lightweight
- WJoel ScottTexas Pride · Sep 28, 2013Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
- L
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- WDimitre IvyKickass Productions · Oct 20, 2012DEC
Kurt Holobaugh2-3
- L
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- WLuciano dos SantosTitan FC 39 · Jun 10, 2016TKO · R2 · 4:21 · Lightweight
- L
- L
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- WLloyd MixTitan FC 29 · Aug 22, 2014TKO · R1 · 0:15 · Featherweight
- W
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- L
- LStrikeforce: Marquardt vs. Saffiedine · Jan 11, 2013Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- WWesley DunlapBlood and Sand 13 · Oct 27, 2012TKO · R1 · 1:21 · Featherweight
- WWellington BritoXFC: Natural Disaster 3 · Aug 25, 2012TKO · R1 · 3:31 · Featherweight
- W
- WWill CruthirdsBlood and Sand 11 · Apr 28, 2012· R1 · 1:55 · Lightweight
- WJC PenningtonXFC: Chaos at the Castine Center 2 · Apr 7, 2012· R3 · 3:12 · Lightweight
- WBooker ArthurXFC: Nightmare on the Northshore · Oct 29, 2011Unanimous Decision · Lightweight
- WPaul SoileauFelix's FC: Night Of Champions 2 · Jul 23, 2011· R1 · 0:32 · Lightweight
- WPhil DaruXFC: Chaos at the Castine Center · Jul 9, 2011· R1 · 1:55 · Lightweight
- WDerrick BreauxIn Ya Face: Karnival Karnage · Mar 12, 2011Submission · R1 · 0:39 · Welterweight
Frequently asked questions
Who won Alexander Hernandez vs Kurt Holobaugh?
Alexander Hernandez defeated Kurt Holobaugh by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze 2, held Saturday, March 15, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 30-27, 29-28, Alexander Hernandez won the decision.
What were the judges' scorecards for Alexander Hernandez vs Kurt Holobaugh?
The judges scored it 29-28, 30-27, 29-28, Alexander Hernandez won the decision.
Was Alexander Hernandez vs Kurt Holobaugh a robbery?
Many scored it for Kurt Holobaugh: 60% of 85 fan cards scored it for Kurt Holobaugh; 80% of 10 media scores picked Kurt Holobaugh. The judges gave it to Alexander Hernandez.