Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Flyweight3 rounds scheduled
RESULT

Asu Almabayev def. Matheus Nicolau (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
WIN
Asu Almabayev
Zulfikar
24-3-0
Saturday, October 19, 2024
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Asu Almabayev defeated Matheus Nicolau by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Pereira, held Saturday, October 19, 2024 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 29-28, Asu Almabayev won the decision.

Fight stats

Matheus Nicolau
Asu Almabayev
0
Knockdowns
1
16 of 42
Significant strikes
22 of 54
38%
Sig. strike accuracy
41%
38 of 68
Total strikes
55 of 112
0 of 1
Takedowns
1 of 6
0%
Takedown accuracy
17%
1
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
5:17
Significant strikes by target
8 of 26
Head
7 of 36
5 of 9
Body
8 of 9
3 of 7
Leg
7 of 9
12 of 37
Distance
17 of 46
0 of 0
Clinch
1 of 3
4 of 5
Ground
4 of 5

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
5 of 15
Sig. str.
9 of 21
5 of 15
Total str.
9 of 21
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
10 of 24
Sig. str.
6 of 22
12 of 27
Total str.
11 of 27
0 of 1
Takedowns
1 of 6
1
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
1:08
ROUND 3
0
KD
1
1 of 3
Sig. str.
7 of 11
21 of 26
Total str.
35 of 64
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
4:09

Judges' Scorecards

#NicolauAlmabayev
1910
2109
3910
Total2829
#NicolauAlmabayev
1910
2109
3910
Total2829
#NicolauAlmabayev
1910
2109
3910
Total2829

Media Scores

0
Nicolau
-
8
Almabayev
29-28 Almabayev×8
All 8 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

6%
Nicolau
3%
Draw
91%
Almabayev
32 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Almabayev78.1%30-27 Almabayev9.4%29-28 Nicolau6.2%29-29 Draw3.1%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
88%
Almabayev
R2
84%
Nicolau
R3
97%
Almabayev

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Matheus Nicolau
+272
27% implied win probability
Open: +162Best: +840
Asu Almabayev
-260
72% implied win probability
Open: -178Best: -190

Average moneyline across 14 sportsbooks.

SportsbookMatheus NicolauAsu Almabayev
4casters+213-227
BetAnything+195-235
BetOnline+200-235
BetRivers+188-240
BetUS+185-225
Betway+700-2000
Bovada+200-240
Caesars+195-235
Cloudbet+176-244
DraftKings+164-198
FanDuel+840-1600
MyBookie+140-190
Pinnacle+204-238
SXBet+208-245

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Matheus Nicolau vs Asu Almabayev?

Asu Almabayev defeated Matheus Nicolau by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Pereira, held Saturday, October 19, 2024 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 29-28, Asu Almabayev won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Matheus Nicolau vs Asu Almabayev?

The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 29-28, Asu Almabayev won the decision.

Was Matheus Nicolau vs Asu Almabayev a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 91% of 32 fan cards scored it for Asu Almabayev; 100% of 8 media scores picked Asu Almabayev.

Full robbery index
Referee
Keith Peterson
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Matheus Nicolau 35%65% Asu Almabayev

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Flyweight roster (107 fighters)

Matheus Nicolau
Knockout Artist
5 edges
Asu Almabayev
Complete Fighter
6 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

96Power93
98Speed93
97Precision89
76Durability92
86Engine94
92Wrestling93
89Ground93

Biggest edge Asu Almabayev, Chin +29

Attribute by attribute

Matheus Nicolau is on the left of every row, Asu Almabayev on the right.
94Punch power92
98Kick power93
98Punch speed92
98Kick speed94
97Accuracy89
92Takedowns93
85Ground striking91
93Submissions94
64Chin93
88Body strength90
86Cardio94

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

19-6-1
Record
24-3-0
1708
Power Index rating
1814
0
Win Streak
3
33
Age
32
5'6"
168 cm
Height
5'4"
163 cm
66"
168 cm
Reach
65"
165 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Flyweight
Weight Class
Flyweight
Brazil
Nationality
Kazakhstan

Striking Profile

3.31
SLpM
2.28
51%
Str. Acc.
51%
2.98
SApM
1.94
65%
Str. Def.
53%

Grappling Profile

1.22
TD Avg.
4.74
43%
TD Acc.
45%
90%
TD Def.
44%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
1.40

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Matheus Nicolau · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Pereira · Oct 19, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez · Apr 27, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 2:16 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen · Apr 15, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 2:09 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland · Dec 4, 2022
    TKO · R2 · 1:44 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
Asu Almabayev · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres · Jun 27, 2026
    Submission · R3 · 3:33 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Qatar: Tsarukyan vs Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
    Submission · R3 · 0:22 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs De Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Almabayev · Mar 1, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 2:16 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Pereira · Oct 19, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight

Career Averages

Based on 11 fights · 8 fights
37.1
Avg sig. strikes
29.8
0.91
Avg takedowns
4.13
1:38
Avg control time
6:23
87
Career high strikes
44
3
Career high TDs
9

Strike Distribution

Matheus Nicolau
Strike target
Asu Almabayev
52%
Head
54%
34%
Body
24%
14%
Leg
22%
Matheus Nicolau
Strike position
Asu Almabayev
87%
Distance
65%
1%
Clinch
10%
12%
Ground
25%