Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Flyweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Dustin Ortiz
RESULT

Dustin Ortiz def. Matheus Nicolau (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 3:49
Saturday, July 28, 2018
Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, Canada

Dustin Ortiz defeated Matheus Nicolau by TKO in round 1 (3:49) in the Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs Poirier 2, held Saturday, July 28, 2018 at Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary.

Fight stats

Dustin Ortiz
Matheus Nicolau
1
Knockdowns
0
8 of 43
Significant strikes
7 of 16
19%
Sig. strike accuracy
44%
8 of 43
Total strikes
7 of 16
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:04
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
6 of 37
Head
2 of 8
0 of 2
Body
2 of 5
2 of 4
Leg
3 of 3
5 of 36
Distance
7 of 16
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
3 of 7
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
1
KD
0
8 of 43
Sig. str.
7 of 16
8 of 43
Total str.
7 of 16
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:04
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Dustin Ortiz
+166
38% implied win probability
Open: +198Best: +170
Matheus Nicolau
-203
67% implied win probability
Open: -253Best: -191

Average moneyline across 6 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Dustin OrtizMatheus Nicolau
30%40%50%60%70%Jul 24Jul 25Jul 27Jul 29Jul 24, 4:42 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +195 (34%)Jul 24, 5:27 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +195 (34%)Jul 24, 6:06 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +188 (35%)Jul 24, 9:03 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +183 (35%)Jul 24, 9:30 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +192 (34%)Jul 24, 3:00 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +192 (34%)Jul 24, 8:33 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +194 (34%)Jul 24, 10:09 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +198 (34%)Jul 25, 12:27 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +199 (33%)Jul 25, 2:18 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +195 (34%)Jul 25, 2:27 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +194 (34%)Jul 25, 2:51 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +193 (34%)Jul 25, 3:12 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +187 (35%)Jul 25, 3:15 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +188 (35%)Jul 25, 3:27 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +187 (35%)Jul 25, 4:42 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +188 (35%)Jul 25, 9:48 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +185 (35%)Jul 25, 11:48 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +184 (35%)Jul 26, 1:42 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +182 (35%)Jul 26, 2:57 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +177 (36%)Jul 26, 3:09 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +169 (37%)Jul 26, 3:12 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +163 (38%)Jul 26, 4:54 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +162 (38%)Jul 26, 4:57 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +160 (38%)Jul 26, 5:36 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +159 (39%)Jul 26, 8:18 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +157 (39%)Jul 26, 9:30 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +158 (39%)Jul 26, 11:18 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +160 (38%)Jul 26, 2:06 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +159 (39%)Jul 26, 5:18 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +159 (39%)Jul 26, 10:15 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +161 (38%)Jul 27, 1:57 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +164 (38%)Jul 27, 2:57 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +162 (38%)Jul 27, 8:33 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +161 (38%)Jul 27, 8:36 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +160 (38%)Jul 27, 8:42 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +161 (38%)Jul 27, 10:15 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +159 (39%)Jul 28, 12:00 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +158 (39%)Jul 28, 4:57 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +158 (39%)Jul 28, 5:03 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +158 (39%)Jul 28, 12:18 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +158 (39%)Jul 28, 7:09 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +157 (39%)Jul 28, 7:51 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +160 (38%)Jul 28, 9:06 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +162 (38%)Jul 28, 9:30 PM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +163 (38%)Jul 29, 12:27 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +163 (38%)Jul 29, 1:54 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +163 (38%)Jul 29, 3:30 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +165 (38%)Jul 29, 3:39 AM UTC · Dustin Ortiz +166 (38%)Jul 24, 4:42 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -250 (71%)Jul 24, 5:27 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -250 (71%)Jul 24, 6:06 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -228 (70%)Jul 24, 9:03 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -221 (69%)Jul 24, 9:30 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -235 (70%)Jul 24, 3:00 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -248 (71%)Jul 24, 8:33 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -243 (71%)Jul 24, 10:09 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -251 (72%)Jul 25, 12:27 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -254 (72%)Jul 25, 2:18 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -249 (71%)Jul 25, 2:27 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -247 (71%)Jul 25, 2:51 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -245 (71%)Jul 25, 3:12 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -237 (70%)Jul 25, 3:15 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -238 (70%)Jul 25, 3:27 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -237 (70%)Jul 25, 4:42 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -239 (71%)Jul 25, 9:48 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -233 (70%)Jul 25, 11:48 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -230 (70%)Jul 26, 1:42 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -229 (70%)Jul 26, 2:57 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -222 (69%)Jul 26, 3:09 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -211 (68%)Jul 26, 3:12 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -204 (67%)Jul 26, 4:54 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -202 (67%)Jul 26, 4:57 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -198 (66%)Jul 26, 5:36 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -198 (66%)Jul 26, 8:18 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -196 (66%)Jul 26, 9:30 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -198 (66%)Jul 26, 11:18 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -201 (67%)Jul 26, 2:06 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -199 (67%)Jul 26, 5:18 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -199 (67%)Jul 26, 10:15 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -202 (67%)Jul 27, 1:57 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -205 (67%)Jul 27, 2:57 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -203 (67%)Jul 27, 8:33 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -200 (67%)Jul 27, 8:36 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -198 (66%)Jul 27, 8:42 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -200 (67%)Jul 27, 10:15 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -196 (66%)Jul 28, 12:00 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -194 (66%)Jul 28, 4:57 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -194 (66%)Jul 28, 5:03 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -194 (66%)Jul 28, 12:18 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -194 (66%)Jul 28, 7:09 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -193 (66%)Jul 28, 7:51 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -197 (66%)Jul 28, 9:06 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -200 (67%)Jul 28, 9:30 PM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -199 (67%)Jul 29, 12:27 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -198 (66%)Jul 29, 1:54 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -199 (67%)Jul 29, 3:30 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -202 (67%)Jul 29, 3:39 AM UTC · Matheus Nicolau -203 (67%)+166-203
SportsbookDustin OrtizMatheus Nicolau
BetOnline+169-194
Bookmaker+162-191
Bovada+165-205
Pinnacle+170-193
sports-interaction+165-225
unibet+165-220

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Dustin Ortiz vs Matheus Nicolau?

Dustin Ortiz defeated Matheus Nicolau by TKO in round 1 (3:49) in the Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs Poirier 2, held Saturday, July 28, 2018 at Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary.

Referee
Keith Peterson
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Dustin Ortiz 51%49% Matheus Nicolau

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Flyweight roster (107 fighters)

Dustin Ortiz
Pressure Wrestler
4 edges
Matheus Nicolau
Knockout Artist
7 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

59Power96
60Speed98
50Precision97
72Durability76
96Engine86
96Wrestling92
85Ground89

Biggest edge Matheus Nicolau, Accuracy +47

Attribute by attribute

Dustin Ortiz is on the left of every row, Matheus Nicolau on the right.
62Punch power94
55Kick power98
57Punch speed98
63Kick speed98
50Accuracy97
96Takedowns92
96Ground striking85
73Submissions93
71Chin64
72Body strength88
96Cardio86

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

19-8-0
Record
19-6-1
1749
Power Index rating
1739
0
Win Streak
0
37
Age
33
5'5"
165 cm
Height
5'6"
168 cm
65"
165 cm
Reach
66"
168 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Flyweight
Weight Class
Flyweight
United States
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

2.94
SLpM
3.31
44%
Str. Acc.
51%
2.17
SApM
2.98
56%
Str. Def.
65%

Grappling Profile

3.01
TD Avg.
1.22
36%
TD Acc.
43%
52%
TD Def.
90%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.80

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Dustin Ortiz · 3-2
  • W
    Valor Underground 2 · Nov 20, 2021
    Submission · R1 · 3:10 · Flyweight
  • L
    BRAVE CF 50 · Apr 1, 2021
    Unanimous Decision · Flyweight
  • W
    Copa Podio · Mar 8, 2020
    Decision
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs Dillashaw · Jan 20, 2019
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs Poirier 2 · Jul 28, 2018
    TKO · R1 · 3:49 · Flyweight
Matheus Nicolau · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Pereira · Oct 19, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez · Apr 27, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 2:16 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen · Apr 15, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 2:09 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland · Dec 4, 2022
    TKO · R2 · 1:44 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight

Career Averages

Based on 14 fights · 11 fights
36.6
Avg sig. strikes
37.1
2.50
Avg takedowns
0.91
4:22
Avg control time
1:38
92
Career high strikes
87
7
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Dustin Ortiz
Strike target
Matheus Nicolau
58%
Head
52%
31%
Body
34%
11%
Leg
14%
Dustin Ortiz
Strike position
Matheus Nicolau
39%
Distance
87%
27%
Clinch
1%
34%
Ground
12%