Ultimate Fighting Calendar
FlyweightPerformance of the Night5 rounds scheduled
WIN
Manel Kape
StarBoy
23-7-0
RESULT

Manel Kape def. Asu Almabayev (TKO)

TKO · Round 3 · 2:16
Asu Almabayev
Zulfikar
24-3-0
Saturday, March 1, 2025
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Manel Kape defeated Asu Almabayev by TKO in round 3 (2:16) in the Flyweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Almabayev, held Saturday, March 1, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Manel Kape
Asu Almabayev
0
Knockdowns
0
61 of 115
Significant strikes
40 of 80
53%
Sig. strike accuracy
50%
62 of 119
Total strikes
40 of 81
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 6
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:29
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
47 of 95
Head
19 of 55
11 of 17
Body
13 of 17
3 of 3
Leg
8 of 8
46 of 94
Distance
38 of 77
9 of 15
Clinch
2 of 3
6 of 6
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
19 of 40
Sig. str.
14 of 28
20 of 43
Total str.
14 of 28
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
14 of 27
Sig. str.
18 of 40
14 of 28
Total str.
18 of 40
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
28 of 48
Sig. str.
8 of 12
28 of 48
Total str.
8 of 13
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 4
0
Sub. att
0
0:29
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Manel Kape
-254
72% implied win probability
Open: -192Best: -202
Asu Almabayev
+232
30% implied win probability
Open: +184Best: +475

Average moneyline across 17 sportsbooks.

SportsbookManel KapeAsu Almabayev
4casters-214+196
Bet105-216+187
BetAnything-210+175
BetOnline-230+195
BetRivers-220+170
BetUS-230+190
Betway-1000+425
Bookmaker-246+195
Bovada-220+185
Caesars-220+180
Circa-215+185
Cloudbet-215+191
DraftKings-720+450
FanDuel-220+184
MyBookie-1000+475
Pinnacle-202+175
SXBet-228+182

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Manel Kape vs Asu Almabayev?

Manel Kape defeated Asu Almabayev by TKO in round 3 (2:16) in the Flyweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Almabayev, held Saturday, March 1, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Referee
Mike Beltran
Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Manel Kape 43%57% Asu Almabayev

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Flyweight roster (13 fighters)

Manel Kape
Complete Fighter
7 edges
Asu Almabayev
Complete Fighter
3 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

95Power93
95Speed93
95Precision89
94Durability92
94Engine94
88Wrestling93
90Ground93

Biggest edge Manel Kape, Accuracy +6

Attribute by attribute

Manel Kape is on the left of every row, Asu Almabayev on the right.
94Punch power92
95Kick power93
95Punch speed92
95Kick speed94
95Accuracy89
88Takedowns93
90Ground striking91
90Submissions94
95Chin93
93Body strength90
94Cardio94

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

23-7-0
Record
24-3-0
1770
Power Index rating
1822
4
Win Streak
3
32
Age
32
5'5"
165 cm
Height
5'4"
163 cm
68"
173 cm
Reach
65"
165 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Flyweight
Weight Class
Flyweight
Angola
Nationality
Kazakhstan

Striking Profile

4.68
SLpM
2.28
55%
Str. Acc.
51%
3.88
SApM
1.94
57%
Str. Def.
53%

Grappling Profile

0.36
TD Avg.
4.74
30%
TD Acc.
45%
78%
TD Def.
44%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
1.40

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Manel Kape · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi · Jun 20, 2026
    TKO · R3 · 2:42 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Kape · Dec 14, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 3:18 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Almabayev · Mar 1, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 2:16 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Buckley · Dec 15, 2024
    TKO · R3 · 1:57 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2 · Jul 27, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
Asu Almabayev · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres · Jun 27, 2026
    Submission · R3 · 3:33 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Qatar: Tsarukyan vs Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
    Submission · R3 · 0:22 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs De Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Almabayev · Mar 1, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 2:16 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Pereira · Oct 19, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight

Career Averages

Based on 11 fights · 8 fights
52.7
Avg sig. strikes
29.8
0.27
Avg takedowns
4.13
0:20
Avg control time
6:23
112
Career high strikes
44
2
Career high TDs
9

Strike Distribution

Manel Kape
Strike target
Asu Almabayev
67%
Head
54%
19%
Body
24%
15%
Leg
22%
Manel Kape
Strike position
Asu Almabayev
89%
Distance
65%
4%
Clinch
10%
7%
Ground
25%