Ultimate Fighting Calendar
WelterweightPerformance of the Night3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Miguel Baeza
Caramel Thunder
10-4-0
RESULT

Miguel Baeza def. Takashi Sato (Submission)

Submission · Round 2 · 4:28
Takashi Sato
Ten
16-7-0
Sunday, November 29, 2020
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Miguel Baeza defeated Takashi Sato by Submission in round 2 (4:28) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Clark, held Sunday, November 29, 2020 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Miguel Baeza
Takashi Sato
0
Knockdowns
0
40 of 73
Significant strikes
15 of 58
55%
Sig. strike accuracy
26%
43 of 82
Total strikes
15 of 58
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
50%
Takedown accuracy
-
1
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
1:09
Control time
0:02
Significant strikes by target
16 of 40
Head
10 of 49
20 of 28
Body
4 of 8
4 of 5
Leg
1 of 1
32 of 65
Distance
15 of 56
3 of 3
Clinch
0 of 1
5 of 5
Ground
0 of 1

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
18 of 37
Sig. str.
8 of 29
19 of 38
Total str.
8 of 29
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:07
Ctrl
0:02
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
22 of 36
Sig. str.
7 of 29
24 of 44
Total str.
7 of 29
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
1
Sub. att
0
1:02
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Miguel Baeza
-226
69% implied win probability
Open: -217Best: -205
Takashi Sato
+179
36% implied win probability
Open: +168Best: +210

Average moneyline across 11 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Miguel BaezaTakashi Sato
30%40%50%60%70%Nov 11Nov 17Nov 23Nov 29Nov 11, 10:35 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -190 (66%)Nov 13, 11:15 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -235 (70%)Nov 14, 7:30 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -246 (71%)Nov 16, 2:35 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -237 (70%)Nov 16, 4:32 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -240 (71%)Nov 16, 2:45 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -234 (70%)Nov 16, 2:52 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -233 (70%)Nov 16, 3:16 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -228 (70%)Nov 16, 7:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -227 (69%)Nov 17, 5:00 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -223 (69%)Nov 17, 5:20 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -221 (69%)Nov 17, 2:51 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -219 (69%)Nov 17, 4:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -214 (68%)Nov 18, 6:51 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -209 (68%)Nov 18, 7:58 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -207 (67%)Nov 18, 8:26 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -207 (67%)Nov 19, 3:42 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -204 (67%)Nov 20, 2:44 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -200 (67%)Nov 20, 3:48 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -200 (67%)Nov 21, 2:51 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -199 (67%)Nov 22, 7:01 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -198 (66%)Nov 22, 8:51 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -195 (66%)Nov 22, 2:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -193 (66%)Nov 22, 3:13 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -190 (66%)Nov 22, 4:11 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -187 (65%)Nov 22, 7:30 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -185 (65%)Nov 22, 10:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -184 (65%)Nov 23, 6:55 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -182 (65%)Nov 23, 4:10 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -181 (64%)Nov 23, 9:27 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -178 (64%)Nov 23, 10:27 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -176 (64%)Nov 23, 10:33 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -173 (63%)Nov 23, 11:35 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -171 (63%)Nov 24, 6:41 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -173 (63%)Nov 24, 7:40 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -170 (63%)Nov 24, 4:38 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -167 (63%)Nov 24, 6:09 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -167 (63%)Nov 24, 7:39 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -167 (63%)Nov 24, 9:02 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -164 (62%)Nov 25, 1:58 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -164 (62%)Nov 25, 4:24 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -163 (62%)Nov 25, 3:01 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -162 (62%)Nov 26, 5:22 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -163 (62%)Nov 26, 6:42 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -164 (62%)Nov 26, 12:41 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -166 (62%)Nov 26, 6:59 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -166 (62%)Nov 27, 3:46 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -165 (62%)Nov 27, 4:40 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -168 (63%)Nov 27, 6:16 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -170 (63%)Nov 27, 6:49 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -172 (63%)Nov 27, 9:41 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -175 (64%)Nov 27, 11:24 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -176 (64%)Nov 27, 11:28 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -179 (64%)Nov 28, 12:14 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -180 (64%)Nov 28, 2:13 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -184 (65%)Nov 28, 4:08 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -186 (65%)Nov 28, 7:56 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -188 (65%)Nov 28, 3:30 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -191 (66%)Nov 28, 6:30 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -195 (66%)Nov 28, 6:31 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -196 (66%)Nov 28, 8:40 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -200 (67%)Nov 28, 10:20 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -205 (67%)Nov 28, 10:32 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -206 (67%)Nov 28, 11:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -209 (68%)Nov 29, 1:00 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -211 (68%)Nov 29, 1:00 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -211 (68%)Nov 29, 1:45 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -212 (68%)Nov 29, 2:10 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -216 (68%)Nov 29, 2:25 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -216 (68%)Nov 29, 3:12 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -217 (68%)Nov 29, 3:32 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -219 (69%)Nov 29, 4:10 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -221 (69%)Nov 29, 4:25 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -221 (69%)Nov 29, 4:50 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -221 (69%)Nov 29, 5:05 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -223 (69%)Nov 29, 5:11 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -221 (69%)Nov 29, 5:20 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -228 (70%)Nov 29, 5:35 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -226 (69%)Nov 11, 10:35 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +165 (38%)Nov 13, 11:15 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +160 (38%)Nov 14, 7:30 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +178 (36%)Nov 16, 2:35 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +179 (36%)Nov 16, 4:32 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +181 (36%)Nov 16, 2:45 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +180 (36%)Nov 16, 2:52 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +176 (36%)Nov 16, 3:16 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +175 (36%)Nov 16, 7:00 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +173 (37%)Nov 17, 5:00 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +172 (37%)Nov 17, 5:20 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +170 (37%)Nov 17, 2:51 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +168 (37%)Nov 17, 4:00 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +167 (37%)Nov 18, 6:51 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +164 (38%)Nov 18, 7:58 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +162 (38%)Nov 18, 8:26 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +162 (38%)Nov 19, 3:42 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +160 (38%)Nov 20, 2:44 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +158 (39%)Nov 20, 3:48 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +158 (39%)Nov 21, 2:51 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +157 (39%)Nov 22, 7:01 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +156 (39%)Nov 22, 8:51 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +153 (40%)Nov 22, 2:00 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +153 (40%)Nov 22, 3:13 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +151 (40%)Nov 22, 4:11 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +148 (40%)Nov 22, 7:30 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +146 (41%)Nov 22, 10:00 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +147 (40%)Nov 23, 6:55 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +145 (41%)Nov 23, 4:10 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +144 (41%)Nov 23, 9:27 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +143 (41%)Nov 23, 10:27 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +141 (41%)Nov 23, 10:33 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +139 (42%)Nov 23, 11:35 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +137 (42%)Nov 24, 6:41 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +139 (42%)Nov 24, 7:40 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +136 (42%)Nov 24, 4:38 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +135 (43%)Nov 24, 6:09 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +133 (43%)Nov 24, 7:39 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +133 (43%)Nov 24, 9:02 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +131 (43%)Nov 25, 1:58 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +131 (43%)Nov 25, 4:24 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +130 (43%)Nov 25, 3:01 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +129 (44%)Nov 26, 5:22 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +130 (43%)Nov 26, 6:42 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +132 (43%)Nov 26, 12:41 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +132 (43%)Nov 26, 6:59 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +132 (43%)Nov 27, 3:46 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +133 (43%)Nov 27, 4:40 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +134 (43%)Nov 27, 6:16 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +136 (42%)Nov 27, 6:49 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +138 (42%)Nov 27, 9:41 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +139 (42%)Nov 27, 11:24 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +142 (41%)Nov 27, 11:28 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +143 (41%)Nov 28, 12:14 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +146 (41%)Nov 28, 2:13 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +147 (40%)Nov 28, 4:08 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +149 (40%)Nov 28, 7:56 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +151 (40%)Nov 28, 3:30 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +152 (40%)Nov 28, 6:30 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +153 (40%)Nov 28, 6:31 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +158 (39%)Nov 28, 8:40 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +161 (38%)Nov 28, 10:20 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +164 (38%)Nov 28, 10:32 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +165 (38%)Nov 28, 11:00 PM UTC · Takashi Sato +166 (38%)Nov 29, 1:00 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +168 (37%)Nov 29, 1:00 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +168 (37%)Nov 29, 1:45 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +169 (37%)Nov 29, 2:10 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +171 (37%)Nov 29, 2:25 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +171 (37%)Nov 29, 3:12 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +172 (37%)Nov 29, 3:32 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +174 (36%)Nov 29, 4:10 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +176 (36%)Nov 29, 4:25 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +175 (36%)Nov 29, 4:50 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +175 (36%)Nov 29, 5:05 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +176 (36%)Nov 29, 5:11 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +176 (36%)Nov 29, 5:20 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +180 (36%)Nov 29, 5:35 AM UTC · Takashi Sato +179 (36%)-226+179
SportsbookMiguel BaezaTakashi Sato
BetOnline-212+182
Bookmaker-240+190
Bovada-235+185
Cloudbet-222+187
DraftKings-210+165
FanDuel-280+210
MyBookie-220+180
Pinnacle-217+183
sportsbetio-263+169
sports-interaction-205+155
unibet-210+165

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Miguel Baeza vs Takashi Sato?

Miguel Baeza defeated Takashi Sato by Submission in round 2 (4:28) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Clark, held Sunday, November 29, 2020 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Referee
Dan Miragliotta
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Miguel Baeza 45%55% Takashi Sato

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Welterweight roster (258 fighters)

Miguel Baeza
Submission Ace
6 edges
Takashi Sato
Knockout Artist
5 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

87Power87
87Speed78
72Precision63
83Durability77
68Engine64
46Wrestling47
77Ground71

Biggest edge Miguel Baeza, Submissions +53

Attribute by attribute

Miguel Baeza is on the left of every row, Takashi Sato on the right.
76Punch power99
98Kick power74
76Punch speed95
98Kick speed61
72Accuracy63
46Takedowns47
56Ground striking97
97Submissions44
91Chin75
74Body strength78
68Cardio64

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

10-4-0
Record
16-7-0
1738
Power Index rating
1773
0
Win Streak
0
33
Age
36
6'2"
188 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
74"
188 cm
Reach
73"
185 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
United States
Nationality
Japan

Striking Profile

4.09
SLpM
2.21
49%
Str. Acc.
41%
5.92
SApM
3.73
46%
Str. Def.
44%

Grappling Profile

0.36
TD Avg.
0.76
22%
TD Acc.
37%
54%
TD Def.
60%
2.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Miguel Baeza · 1-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Imavov · Jun 8, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Fury Pro Grappling 9 · Apr 4, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 6:07
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Luque vs Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
    TKO · R1 · 4:39 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021
    TKO · R3 · 1:02 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Sakai · Jun 5, 2021
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
Takashi Sato · 0-5
  • L
    XFC Young Guns 7 & 8 · Apr 30, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 4:56 · Welterweight
  • L
    ZFN 2 · Dec 14, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Hill · May 20, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Santos vs Hill · Aug 6, 2022
    TKO · R1 · 0:44 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 7 fights · 7 fights
39.7
Avg sig. strikes
18.7
0.29
Avg takedowns
0.43
0:25
Avg control time
0:30
104
Career high strikes
30
1
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Miguel Baeza
Strike target
Takashi Sato
42%
Head
77%
23%
Body
18%
35%
Leg
5%
Miguel Baeza
Strike position
Takashi Sato
91%
Distance
58%
2%
Clinch
13%
6%
Ground
29%