Ultimate Fighting Calendar
WelterweightPerformance of the Night3 rounds scheduled
Matt Brown
The Immortal
26-19-0
RESULT

Miguel Baeza def. Matt Brown (TKO)

TKO · Round 2 · 0:18
WIN
Miguel Baeza
Caramel Thunder
10-4-0
Saturday, May 16, 2020
VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville, United States

Miguel Baeza defeated Matt Brown by TKO in round 2 (0:18) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Harris, held Saturday, May 16, 2020 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville.

Fight stats

Matt Brown
Miguel Baeza
0
Knockdowns
2
33 of 61
Significant strikes
37 of 73
54%
Sig. strike accuracy
51%
33 of 61
Total strikes
42 of 79
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:10
Control time
0:57
Significant strikes by target
25 of 51
Head
21 of 54
8 of 10
Body
5 of 7
0 of 0
Leg
11 of 12
21 of 44
Distance
29 of 62
12 of 17
Clinch
1 of 2
0 of 0
Ground
7 of 9

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
1
33 of 59
Sig. str.
32 of 65
33 of 59
Total str.
37 of 71
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:10
Ctrl
0:55
ROUND 2
0
KD
1
0 of 2
Sig. str.
5 of 8
0 of 2
Total str.
5 of 8
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:02

Betting Odds

Matt Brown
+127
44% implied win probability
Open: +158Best: +137
Miguel Baeza
-155
61% implied win probability
Open: -197Best: -146

Average moneyline across 8 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Matt BrownMiguel Baeza
40%50%60%70%May 8May 11May 14May 17May 8, 8:30 AM UTC · Matt Brown +135 (43%)May 8, 6:35 PM UTC · Matt Brown +150 (40%)May 11, 3:35 PM UTC · Matt Brown +158 (39%)May 11, 4:25 PM UTC · Matt Brown +162 (38%)May 14, 4:35 AM UTC · Matt Brown +163 (38%)May 14, 5:05 AM UTC · Matt Brown +165 (38%)May 14, 10:50 AM UTC · Matt Brown +165 (38%)May 14, 2:00 PM UTC · Matt Brown +167 (37%)May 14, 4:47 PM UTC · Matt Brown +166 (38%)May 14, 8:00 PM UTC · Matt Brown +165 (38%)May 14, 9:07 PM UTC · Matt Brown +164 (38%)May 14, 10:40 PM UTC · Matt Brown +164 (38%)May 14, 10:41 PM UTC · Matt Brown +163 (38%)May 14, 10:45 PM UTC · Matt Brown +159 (39%)May 14, 10:47 PM UTC · Matt Brown +157 (39%)May 14, 10:57 PM UTC · Matt Brown +156 (39%)May 14, 11:40 PM UTC · Matt Brown +154 (39%)May 14, 11:55 PM UTC · Matt Brown +150 (40%)May 15, 1:45 AM UTC · Matt Brown +149 (40%)May 15, 1:50 AM UTC · Matt Brown +147 (40%)May 15, 2:07 AM UTC · Matt Brown +146 (41%)May 15, 11:41 AM UTC · Matt Brown +145 (41%)May 15, 12:40 PM UTC · Matt Brown +143 (41%)May 15, 12:45 PM UTC · Matt Brown +141 (41%)May 15, 12:59 PM UTC · Matt Brown +139 (42%)May 15, 1:00 PM UTC · Matt Brown +137 (42%)May 15, 1:10 PM UTC · Matt Brown +138 (42%)May 15, 1:20 PM UTC · Matt Brown +138 (42%)May 15, 1:50 PM UTC · Matt Brown +136 (42%)May 15, 2:00 PM UTC · Matt Brown +136 (42%)May 15, 5:05 PM UTC · Matt Brown +135 (43%)May 15, 6:55 PM UTC · Matt Brown +135 (43%)May 15, 7:35 PM UTC · Matt Brown +133 (43%)May 15, 7:51 PM UTC · Matt Brown +131 (43%)May 15, 8:45 PM UTC · Matt Brown +129 (44%)May 15, 9:09 PM UTC · Matt Brown +128 (44%)May 15, 11:41 PM UTC · Matt Brown +129 (44%)May 16, 12:50 AM UTC · Matt Brown +128 (44%)May 16, 5:35 AM UTC · Matt Brown +129 (44%)May 16, 2:15 PM UTC · Matt Brown +128 (44%)May 16, 2:20 PM UTC · Matt Brown +128 (44%)May 16, 4:19 PM UTC · Matt Brown +129 (44%)May 16, 6:00 PM UTC · Matt Brown +128 (44%)May 16, 6:50 PM UTC · Matt Brown +127 (44%)May 16, 8:00 PM UTC · Matt Brown +127 (44%)May 16, 8:35 PM UTC · Matt Brown +125 (44%)May 16, 8:45 PM UTC · Matt Brown +125 (44%)May 16, 9:05 PM UTC · Matt Brown +124 (45%)May 16, 9:14 PM UTC · Matt Brown +118 (46%)May 16, 9:40 PM UTC · Matt Brown +118 (46%)May 16, 10:35 PM UTC · Matt Brown +116 (46%)May 16, 10:50 PM UTC · Matt Brown +116 (46%)May 16, 11:00 PM UTC · Matt Brown +117 (46%)May 16, 11:00 PM UTC · Matt Brown +116 (46%)May 16, 11:25 PM UTC · Matt Brown +117 (46%)May 16, 11:51 PM UTC · Matt Brown +120 (45%)May 17, 12:10 AM UTC · Matt Brown +121 (45%)May 17, 12:20 AM UTC · Matt Brown +123 (45%)May 17, 12:25 AM UTC · Matt Brown +125 (44%)May 17, 12:30 AM UTC · Matt Brown +124 (45%)May 17, 12:35 AM UTC · Matt Brown +127 (44%)May 17, 12:35 AM UTC · Matt Brown +128 (44%)May 17, 12:40 AM UTC · Matt Brown +127 (44%)May 8, 8:30 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -165 (62%)May 8, 6:35 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -200 (67%)May 11, 3:35 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -204 (67%)May 11, 4:25 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -203 (67%)May 14, 4:35 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -205 (67%)May 14, 5:05 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -206 (67%)May 14, 10:50 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -208 (68%)May 14, 2:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -209 (68%)May 14, 4:47 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -209 (68%)May 14, 8:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -206 (67%)May 14, 9:07 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -206 (67%)May 14, 10:40 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -207 (67%)May 14, 10:41 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -204 (67%)May 14, 10:45 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -198 (66%)May 14, 10:47 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -196 (66%)May 14, 10:57 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -194 (66%)May 14, 11:40 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -191 (66%)May 14, 11:55 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -187 (65%)May 15, 1:45 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -184 (65%)May 15, 1:50 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -183 (65%)May 15, 2:07 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -181 (64%)May 15, 11:41 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -177 (64%)May 15, 12:40 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -176 (64%)May 15, 12:45 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -175 (64%)May 15, 12:59 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -172 (63%)May 15, 1:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -168 (63%)May 15, 1:10 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -168 (63%)May 15, 1:20 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -169 (63%)May 15, 1:50 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -168 (63%)May 15, 2:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -166 (62%)May 15, 5:05 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -166 (62%)May 15, 6:55 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -165 (62%)May 15, 7:35 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -164 (62%)May 15, 7:51 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -161 (62%)May 15, 8:45 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -160 (62%)May 15, 9:09 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -158 (61%)May 15, 11:41 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -156 (61%)May 16, 12:50 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -156 (61%)May 16, 5:35 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -156 (61%)May 16, 2:15 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -156 (61%)May 16, 2:20 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -155 (61%)May 16, 4:19 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -157 (61%)May 16, 6:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -155 (61%)May 16, 6:50 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -155 (61%)May 16, 8:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -154 (61%)May 16, 8:35 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -153 (60%)May 16, 8:45 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -152 (60%)May 16, 9:05 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -150 (60%)May 16, 9:14 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -144 (59%)May 16, 9:40 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -145 (59%)May 16, 10:35 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -143 (59%)May 16, 10:50 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -142 (59%)May 16, 11:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -142 (59%)May 16, 11:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -142 (59%)May 16, 11:25 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -145 (59%)May 16, 11:51 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -146 (59%)May 17, 12:10 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -148 (60%)May 17, 12:20 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -149 (60%)May 17, 12:25 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -151 (60%)May 17, 12:30 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -151 (60%)May 17, 12:35 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -153 (60%)May 17, 12:35 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -156 (61%)May 17, 12:40 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -155 (61%)+127-155
SportsbookMatt BrownMiguel Baeza
BetOnline+133-153
Bookmaker+118-148
Bovada+135-165
Cloudbet+137-156
Pinnacle+129-146
sportsbetio+119-159
sports-interaction+120-155
unibet+127-159

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Matt Brown vs Miguel Baeza?

Miguel Baeza defeated Matt Brown by TKO in round 2 (0:18) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Harris, held Saturday, May 16, 2020 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville.

Referee
Jason Herzog
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Matt Brown 47%53% Miguel Baeza

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Welterweight roster (258 fighters)

Matt Brown
Knockout Artist
7 edges
Miguel Baeza
Submission Ace
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

93Power87
93Speed87
96Precision72
93Durability83
67Engine68
90Wrestling46
96Ground77

Biggest edge Matt Brown, Takedowns +44

Attribute by attribute

Matt Brown is on the left of every row, Miguel Baeza on the right.
98Punch power76
88Kick power98
96Punch speed76
90Kick speed98
96Accuracy72
90Takedowns46
98Ground striking56
93Submissions97
93Chin91
93Body strength74
67Cardio68

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

26-19-0
Record
10-4-0
1683
Power Index rating
1706
1
Win Streak
0
45
Age
33
6'0"
183 cm
Height
6'2"
188 cm
75"
191 cm
Reach
74"
188 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
United States
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

3.76
SLpM
4.09
55%
Str. Acc.
49%
2.92
SApM
5.92
55%
Str. Def.
46%

Grappling Profile

1.68
TD Avg.
0.36
46%
TD Acc.
22%
63%
TD Def.
54%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
2.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Matt Brown · 2-3
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Almeida · May 13, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 4:09 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: The Korean Zombie vs Ige · Jun 19, 2021
    TKO · R2 · 3:02 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Kattar · Jan 16, 2021
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Harris · May 16, 2020
    TKO · R2 · 0:18 · Welterweight
Miguel Baeza · 1-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Imavov · Jun 8, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Fury Pro Grappling 9 · Apr 4, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 6:07
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Luque vs Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
    TKO · R1 · 4:39 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021
    TKO · R3 · 1:02 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Sakai · Jun 5, 2021
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 30 fights · 7 fights
34.6
Avg sig. strikes
39.7
1.03
Avg takedowns
0.29
1:59
Avg control time
0:25
118
Career high strikes
104
5
Career high TDs
1

Strike Distribution

Matt Brown
Strike target
Miguel Baeza
61%
Head
42%
30%
Body
23%
9%
Leg
35%
Matt Brown
Strike position
Miguel Baeza
56%
Distance
91%
27%
Clinch
2%
17%
Ground
6%