Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Welterweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Miguel Baeza
Caramel Thunder
10-4-0
RESULT

Miguel Baeza def. Hector Aldana (TKO)

TKO · Round 2 · 2:32
Hector Aldana
El Charro
4-3-0
Sunday, October 13, 2019
Amalie Arena, Tampa, United States

Miguel Baeza defeated Hector Aldana by TKO in round 2 (2:32) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs Waterson, held Sunday, October 13, 2019 at Amalie Arena, Tampa.

Fight stats

Miguel Baeza
Hector Aldana
1
Knockdowns
0
35 of 61
Significant strikes
8 of 42
57%
Sig. strike accuracy
19%
35 of 61
Total strikes
8 of 42
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
100%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
0:08
Significant strikes by target
16 of 38
Head
2 of 30
3 of 7
Body
0 of 4
16 of 16
Leg
6 of 8
29 of 51
Distance
8 of 42
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
6 of 10
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
14 of 28
Sig. str.
4 of 27
14 of 28
Total str.
4 of 27
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:03
ROUND 2
1
KD
0
21 of 33
Sig. str.
4 of 15
21 of 33
Total str.
4 of 15
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:05

Betting Odds

Miguel Baeza
-253
72% implied win probability
Open: -219Best: -207
Hector Aldana
+200
33% implied win probability
Open: +171Best: +217

Average moneyline across 6 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Miguel BaezaHector Aldana
30%40%50%60%70%Sep 29Oct 4Oct 8Oct 12Sep 29, 9:50 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -225 (69%)Oct 1, 7:20 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -232 (70%)Oct 2, 7:25 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -224 (69%)Oct 2, 7:25 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -224 (69%)Oct 3, 4:15 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -224 (69%)Oct 5, 5:35 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -220 (69%)Oct 5, 6:30 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -219 (69%)Oct 5, 6:30 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -219 (69%)Oct 5, 7:10 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -219 (69%)Oct 5, 8:10 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -219 (69%)Oct 6, 12:20 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -220 (69%)Oct 7, 4:50 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -215 (68%)Oct 7, 3:10 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -213 (68%)Oct 7, 3:10 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -213 (68%)Oct 8, 4:30 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -212 (68%)Oct 8, 4:30 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -212 (68%)Oct 9, 10:30 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -209 (68%)Oct 9, 10:30 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -209 (68%)Oct 9, 5:55 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -210 (68%)Oct 9, 5:55 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -210 (68%)Oct 10, 8:45 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -209 (68%)Oct 10, 8:45 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -209 (68%)Oct 10, 10:10 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -211 (68%)Oct 10, 10:10 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -211 (68%)Oct 11, 2:50 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -211 (68%)Oct 11, 2:50 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -214 (68%)Oct 11, 2:55 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -215 (68%)Oct 11, 2:55 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -215 (68%)Oct 11, 2:55 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -215 (68%)Oct 11, 2:55 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -214 (68%)Oct 11, 6:25 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -215 (68%)Oct 11, 8:05 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -219 (69%)Oct 11, 8:05 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -219 (69%)Oct 11, 12:32 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -219 (69%)Oct 11, 12:32 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -220 (69%)Oct 11, 3:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -221 (69%)Oct 11, 3:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -223 (69%)Oct 11, 3:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -223 (69%)Oct 11, 3:02 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -224 (69%)Oct 11, 5:15 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -223 (69%)Oct 11, 6:05 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -223 (69%)Oct 11, 8:40 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -223 (69%)Oct 11, 8:55 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -222 (69%)Oct 12, 1:35 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -222 (69%)Oct 12, 1:35 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -224 (69%)Oct 12, 4:00 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -224 (69%)Oct 12, 4:00 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -223 (69%)Oct 12, 6:10 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -223 (69%)Oct 12, 6:10 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -224 (69%)Oct 12, 8:10 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -224 (69%)Oct 12, 8:20 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -225 (69%)Oct 12, 8:20 AM UTC · Miguel Baeza -225 (69%)Oct 12, 1:50 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -225 (69%)Oct 12, 1:50 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -229 (70%)Oct 12, 3:30 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -229 (70%)Oct 12, 3:30 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -230 (70%)Oct 12, 7:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -230 (70%)Oct 12, 7:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -231 (70%)Oct 12, 7:05 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -231 (70%)Oct 12, 7:05 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -232 (70%)Oct 12, 7:50 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -234 (70%)Oct 12, 7:50 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -234 (70%)Oct 12, 8:20 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -240 (71%)Oct 12, 8:20 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -240 (71%)Oct 12, 8:20 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -241 (71%)Oct 12, 9:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -241 (71%)Oct 12, 9:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -245 (71%)Oct 12, 9:05 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -246 (71%)Oct 12, 9:10 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -246 (71%)Oct 12, 9:10 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -246 (71%)Oct 12, 9:10 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -247 (71%)Oct 12, 9:50 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -250 (71%)Oct 12, 9:50 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -250 (71%)Oct 12, 9:50 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -251 (72%)Oct 12, 10:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -253 (72%)Oct 12, 10:00 PM UTC · Miguel Baeza -253 (72%)Sep 29, 9:50 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +175 (36%)Oct 1, 7:20 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +175 (36%)Oct 2, 7:25 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +175 (36%)Oct 2, 7:25 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +172 (37%)Oct 3, 4:15 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +174 (36%)Oct 5, 5:35 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +172 (37%)Oct 5, 6:30 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +172 (37%)Oct 5, 6:30 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +170 (37%)Oct 5, 7:10 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +171 (37%)Oct 5, 8:10 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +170 (37%)Oct 6, 12:20 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +169 (37%)Oct 7, 4:50 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +169 (37%)Oct 7, 3:10 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +169 (37%)Oct 7, 3:10 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +168 (37%)Oct 8, 4:30 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +168 (37%)Oct 8, 4:30 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +167 (37%)Oct 9, 10:30 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +167 (37%)Oct 9, 10:30 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +166 (38%)Oct 9, 5:55 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +166 (38%)Oct 9, 5:55 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +168 (37%)Oct 10, 8:45 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +168 (37%)Oct 10, 8:45 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +167 (37%)Oct 10, 10:10 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +167 (37%)Oct 10, 10:10 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +168 (37%)Oct 11, 2:50 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +170 (37%)Oct 11, 2:50 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +170 (37%)Oct 11, 2:55 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +170 (37%)Oct 11, 2:55 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +171 (37%)Oct 11, 2:55 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +170 (37%)Oct 11, 2:55 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +170 (37%)Oct 11, 6:25 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +170 (37%)Oct 11, 8:05 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +170 (37%)Oct 11, 8:05 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +173 (37%)Oct 11, 12:32 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +174 (36%)Oct 11, 12:32 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +174 (36%)Oct 11, 3:00 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +174 (36%)Oct 11, 3:00 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +174 (36%)Oct 11, 3:00 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +176 (36%)Oct 11, 3:02 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +176 (36%)Oct 11, 5:15 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +176 (36%)Oct 11, 6:05 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +175 (36%)Oct 11, 8:40 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +176 (36%)Oct 11, 8:55 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +176 (36%)Oct 12, 1:35 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +177 (36%)Oct 12, 1:35 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +177 (36%)Oct 12, 4:00 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +176 (36%)Oct 12, 4:00 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +176 (36%)Oct 12, 6:10 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +177 (36%)Oct 12, 6:10 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +177 (36%)Oct 12, 8:10 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +178 (36%)Oct 12, 8:20 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +178 (36%)Oct 12, 8:20 AM UTC · Hector Aldana +179 (36%)Oct 12, 1:50 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +181 (36%)Oct 12, 1:50 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +181 (36%)Oct 12, 3:30 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +183 (35%)Oct 12, 3:30 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +183 (35%)Oct 12, 7:00 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +184 (35%)Oct 12, 7:00 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +184 (35%)Oct 12, 7:05 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +185 (35%)Oct 12, 7:05 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +185 (35%)Oct 12, 7:50 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +185 (35%)Oct 12, 7:50 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +186 (35%)Oct 12, 8:20 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +186 (35%)Oct 12, 8:20 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +191 (34%)Oct 12, 8:20 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +191 (34%)Oct 12, 9:00 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +194 (34%)Oct 12, 9:00 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +194 (34%)Oct 12, 9:05 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +194 (34%)Oct 12, 9:10 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +195 (34%)Oct 12, 9:10 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +196 (34%)Oct 12, 9:10 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +196 (34%)Oct 12, 9:50 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +196 (34%)Oct 12, 9:50 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +198 (34%)Oct 12, 9:50 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +198 (34%)Oct 12, 10:00 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +198 (34%)Oct 12, 10:00 PM UTC · Hector Aldana +200 (33%)-253+200
SportsbookMiguel BaezaHector Aldana
Bookmaker-270+210
Bovada-270+210
Cloudbet-269+217
Pinnacle-207+179
sports-interaction-275+195
unibet-240+188

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Miguel Baeza vs Hector Aldana?

Miguel Baeza defeated Hector Aldana by TKO in round 2 (2:32) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs Waterson, held Sunday, October 13, 2019 at Amalie Arena, Tampa.

Referee
Michael Cardoso
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Miguel Baeza 73%27% Hector Aldana

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

10-4-0
Record
4-3-0
1687
Power Index rating
1514
0
Win Streak
0
34
Age
38
6'2"
188 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
74"
188 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
United States
Nationality
Mexico

Striking Profile

4.09
SLpM
3.59
49%
Str. Acc.
38%
5.92
SApM
5.08
46%
Str. Def.
59%

Grappling Profile

0.36
TD Avg.
0.93
22%
TD Acc.
100%
54%
TD Def.
0%
2.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Miguel Baeza · 1-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Imavov · Jun 8, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Fury Pro Grappling 9 · Apr 4, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 6:07
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Luque vs Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
    TKO · R1 · 4:39 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021
    TKO · R3 · 1:02 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Sakai · Jun 5, 2021
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
Hector Aldana · 1-4
  • W
    Cage Gladiators · Sep 30, 2023
    Submission · R2 · 2:58 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs Waterson · Oct 13, 2019
    TKO · R2 · 2:32 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Ponzinibbio · Nov 18, 2018
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Edwards · Jun 23, 2018
    TKO · R2 · 4:45 · Welterweight
  • L
    The Ultimate Fighter Latin America Season 2 · Apr 21, 2015
    Submission · R1 · 1:02 · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 7 fights · 3 fights
39.7
Avg sig. strikes
38.7
0.29
Avg takedowns
0.67
0:25
Avg control time
0:21
104
Career high strikes
69
1
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Miguel Baeza
Strike target
Hector Aldana
42%
Head
55%
23%
Body
11%
35%
Leg
34%
Miguel Baeza
Strike position
Hector Aldana
91%
Distance
94%
2%
Clinch
5%
6%
Ground
1%