Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
Grant Dawson
United StatesGrant Dawson
“KGD”
24-3-1
STARTS IN··d ··h ··m

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev

Nurullo Aliev
TajikistanNurullo Aliev
“Tajik Eagle”
12-0-0
Saturday, October 24, 2026
Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West, United Arab Emirates

Win probability

Grant Dawson 67%33% Nurullo Aliev

Based on both fighters' current UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (24 fighters)

Grant Dawson
Grappling Specialist
9 edges
Nurullo Aliev
Grappling Specialist
2 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

89Power55
88Speed59
92Precision67
90Durability78
94Engine93
92Wrestling98
94Ground93

Biggest edge Grant Dawson, Punch power +35

Attribute by attribute

Grant Dawson is on the left of every row, Nurullo Aliev on the right.
90Punch power55
88Kick power54
87Punch speed56
89Kick speed62
92Accuracy67
92Takedowns98
93Ground striking97
94Submissions89
92Chin73
88Body strength82
94Cardio93

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

24-3-1
Record
12-0-0
1866
Power Index rating
1740
1
Win Streak
4
32
Age
25
5'10"
178 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
72"
183 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
Tajikistan

Striking Profile

3.14
SLpM
2.29
51%
Str. Acc.
44%
2.14
SApM
1.59
44%
Str. Def.
55%

Grappling Profile

3.58
TD Avg.
3.48
39%
TD Acc.
51%
66%
TD Def.
80%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.50

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Grant Dawson · 4-1
  • W
    Mateusz Rębecki
    UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland · May 9, 2026
    Submission · R3 · 4:42 · Lightweight
  • L
    Manuel Torres
    UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:25 · Lightweight
  • W
    Diego Ferreira
    UFC 311: Makhachev vs Moicano · Jan 18, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Rafa Garcia
    UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Taira · Oct 12, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 1:42 · Lightweight
  • W
    Joe Solecki
    UFC 302: Makhachev vs Poirier · Jun 1, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Nurullo Aliev · 5-0
  • W
    Mike Davis
    UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov · Jul 25, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Shem Rock
    UFC Qatar: Tsarukyan vs Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Joe Solecki
    UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Rafael Alves
    UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs Allen · Feb 25, 2023
    Majority Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Josh Wick
    Contender Series 2022 · Sep 20, 2022
    TKO · R1 · 4:36 · Lightweight

Common Opponents

Grant Dawson
Nurullo Aliev

Career Averages

Based on 15 fights · 4 fights
35.2
Avg sig. strikes
29.5
2.73
Avg takedowns
3.50
7:22
Avg control time
8:48
57
Career high strikes
51
7
Career high TDs
8

Strike Distribution

Grant Dawson
Strike target
Nurullo Aliev
69%
Head
82%
19%
Body
14%
13%
Leg
4%
Grant Dawson
Strike position
Nurullo Aliev
50%
Distance
63%
10%
Clinch
8%
40%
Ground
30%