Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
Rafael Alves
The Turn
20-12-0
RESULT

Nurullo Aliev def. Rafael Alves (Decision)

Majority Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
WIN
Nurullo Aliev
Tajik Eagle
12-0-0
Saturday, February 25, 2023
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Nurullo Aliev defeated Rafael Alves by Majority Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs Allen, held Saturday, February 25, 2023 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-27, 29-27, 28-28, Nurullo Aliev won the decision.

Fight stats

Rafael Alves
Nurullo Aliev
0
Knockdowns
0
6 of 17
Significant strikes
19 of 45
35%
Sig. strike accuracy
42%
25 of 36
Total strikes
92 of 140
0 of 0
Takedowns
3 of 4
-
Takedown accuracy
75%
2
Submission attempts
0
1
Reversals
1
1:18
Control time
10:51
Significant strikes by target
2 of 11
Head
19 of 42
2 of 3
Body
0 of 1
2 of 3
Leg
0 of 2
6 of 17
Distance
1 of 10
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
0 of 0
Ground
18 of 35

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
4 of 9
Sig. str.
0 of 6
13 of 18
Total str.
9 of 16
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
3:27
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
0 of 3
Sig. str.
6 of 10
7 of 10
Total str.
47 of 59
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 1
1
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
4:13
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
2 of 5
Sig. str.
13 of 29
5 of 8
Total str.
36 of 65
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 1
1
Sub. att
0
1:18
Ctrl
3:11

Judges' Scorecards

#AlvesAliev
199
2910
3910
Total2729
#AlvesAliev
199
2910
3910
Total2729
#AlvesAliev
1108
2910
3910
Total2828
  • Aliev was docked 1 point in round 1 · Biting

Media Scores

0
Alves
-
17
Aliev
29-27 Aliev×17
All 17 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

9%
Alves
39%
Draw
52%
Aliev
23 fan scorecards submitted
29-27 Aliev47.8%28-28 Draw39.1%29-28 Aliev4.3%29-27 Alves4.3%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
61%
Draw
R2
87%
Aliev
R3
87%
Aliev

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Rafael Alves
+267
27% implied win probability
Open: +149Best: +542
Nurullo Aliev
-270
73% implied win probability
Open: -178Best: -180

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookRafael AlvesNurullo Aliev
BetAnything+160-210
BetOnline+165-190
BetUS+150-180
Betway+375-667
Bovada+165-200
Cloudbet+542-1000
DraftKings+155-180
FanDuel+460-750
MyBookie+152-188
Pinnacle+542-999
sportsbetio+303-769
sports-interaction+155-195
unibet+150-186

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Rafael Alves vs Nurullo Aliev?

Nurullo Aliev defeated Rafael Alves by Majority Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs Allen, held Saturday, February 25, 2023 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-27, 29-27, 28-28, Nurullo Aliev won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Rafael Alves vs Nurullo Aliev?

The judges scored it 29-27, 29-27, 28-28, Nurullo Aliev won the decision.

Was Rafael Alves vs Nurullo Aliev a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 100% of 17 media scores picked Nurullo Aliev.

Full robbery index
Referee
Mark Smith
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Rafael Alves 39%61% Nurullo Aliev

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)

Rafael Alves
Submission Ace
6 edges
Nurullo Aliev
Grappling Specialist
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

97Power55
96Speed59
76Precision67
71Durability78
67Engine93
58Wrestling98
80Ground93

Biggest edge Rafael Alves, Kick power +43

Attribute by attribute

Rafael Alves is on the left of every row, Nurullo Aliev on the right.
96Punch power55
97Kick power54
96Punch speed56
95Kick speed62
76Accuracy67
58Takedowns98
62Ground striking97
98Submissions89
73Chin73
69Body strength82
67Cardio93

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

20-12-0
Record
12-0-0
1618
Power Index rating
1697
0
Win Streak
4
35
Age
25
5'8"
173 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
68"
173 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
Brazil
Nationality
Tajikistan

Striking Profile

1.85
SLpM
2.29
48%
Str. Acc.
44%
3.30
SApM
1.59
58%
Str. Def.
55%

Grappling Profile

0.29
TD Avg.
3.48
25%
TD Acc.
51%
44%
TD Def.
80%
1.50
Sub. Avg.
0.50

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Rafael Alves · 4-1
  • W
    Gamebred Bareknuckle MMA · May 1, 2026
    Submission · R1 · 0:31
  • L
    Karate Combat 57 · Oct 31, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 0:59 · Welterweight
  • W
    Karate Combat 51 · Dec 19, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Catchweight
  • W
    Karate Combat 47 · Jun 28, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 1:22 · Welterweight
  • W
    Karate Combat 44 · Feb 23, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
Nurullo Aliev · 5-0
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov · Jul 25, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Qatar: Tsarukyan vs Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs Allen · Feb 25, 2023
    Majority Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Contender Series 2022 · Sep 20, 2022
    TKO · R1 · 4:36 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 4 fights · 4 fights
19.8
Avg sig. strikes
29.5
0.25
Avg takedowns
3.50
0:59
Avg control time
8:48
37
Career high strikes
51
1
Career high TDs
8

Strike Distribution

Rafael Alves
Strike target
Nurullo Aliev
62%
Head
82%
22%
Body
14%
16%
Leg
4%
Rafael Alves
Strike position
Nurullo Aliev
90%
Distance
63%
4%
Clinch
8%
6%
Ground
30%