Diyar Nurgozhay defeated Rafael Tobias by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Light Heavyweight bout of UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2, held Saturday, March 7, 2026 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 30-27, 29-28, 29-28, Diyar Nurgozhay won the decision.
Rafael Tobias vs Diyar Nurgozhay
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Where it happened
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round · the judges' scores under each
Bars share one scale across rounds. Each chip is one judge's score for the round, coloured by who they gave it to.
Judges' Scorecards
Media Scores
All 11 media scorecards
- Ryan Frederick · WrestlingObserver.com30-27Nurgozhay
- Keith Shillan · Sherdog.com30-27Nurgozhay
- Jake Noecker · Home of Fight30-27Nurgozhay
- Steve Duncan · mma.uno30-27Nurgozhay
- Matthew Wells · MMAJunkie.com30-27Nurgozhay
- Jay Pettry · Sherdog.com30-27Nurgozhay
- Ben Duffy · Sherdog.com30-27Nurgozhay
- Dayne Fox · Sherdog.com30-27Nurgozhay
- John Pollock · POST Wrestling30-27Nurgozhay
- Zane Simon · The MMA Vivisection29-28Nurgozhay
- CombatPress.com29-28Nurgozhay
Fan Scorecards
32 fan scorecards submitted
Betting Odds
Average moneyline across 21 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Rafael Tobias | Diyar Nurgozhay | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4casters | -162 | +152 | |
| 4Cx | -166 | +148 | |
| Bet105 | -164 | +145 | |
| BetAnything | -175 | +145 | |
| BetMGM | -165 | +135 | |
| BetOnline | -170 | +145 | |
| BetRivers | +1000 | -5000 | |
| BetUS | -180 | +150 | |
| Betway | -175 | +140 | |
| Bookmaker | -170 | +148 | |
| Bovada | -163 | +137 | |
| Caesars | -175 | +145 | |
| Circa | -170 | +150 | |
| Cloudbet | -158 | +140 | |
| DraftKings | -170 | +142 | |
| FanDuel | -172 | +144 | |
| HardRockBet | -190 | +150 | |
| mybookie | -179 | +145 | |
| Pinnacle | -163 | +144 | |
| Stake | -152 | +139 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io
Insights
- Diyar Nurgozhay lands 5.19 significant strikes a minute, more than 89% of UFC fighters.
- Rafael Tobias absorbs 5.95 significant strikes a minute, more than 95% of UFC fighters.
- Diyar Nurgozhay's last two losses were both stopped early.
- Rafael Tobias stops 100% of takedowns, better than 97% of UFC fighters.
Style & credentials
No background on record
Camp · Chute Boxe - Monstro · BrazilNo background on record
Camp · Arlan MMA Pro Team · KazakhstanSig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Ranked against 1498 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
2 early stoppages have no logged time
1 early stoppage has no logged time
Recent form · last 5
- LLucas FernandoUFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry · Aug 15, 2026TKO · R3 · 1:10 · Light Heavyweight
- LUFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2 · Mar 7, 2026Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
- WJair de OliveiraDana White's Contender Series 83 · Sep 23, 2025Submission · R1 · 3:39 · Light Heavyweight
- WWellington LopesTKO Palmasnet 3 · Apr 12, 2025TKO · Light Heavyweight
- WMarcelo Alejandro Nuñez SparlingFFC 79: Sordi vs. Lezama · Aug 1, 2024TKO · R1 · 1:10 · Light Heavyweight
Full record · 17 fightsShow less
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- L
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- WUFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2 · Mar 7, 2026Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
- LUran SatybaldievUFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang · Aug 23, 2025Submission · R1 · 2:45 · Light Heavyweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025Submission · R2 · 1:28 · Light Heavyweight
- WDana White's Contender Series 74 · Oct 1, 2024Knockout · R2 · 3:34 · Light Heavyweight
Full record · 14 fightsShow less
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Rafael Tobias vs Diyar Nurgozhay?
Diyar Nurgozhay defeated Rafael Tobias by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Light Heavyweight bout of UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2, held Saturday, March 7, 2026 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 30-27, 29-28, 29-28, Diyar Nurgozhay won the decision.
What were the judges' scorecards for Rafael Tobias vs Diyar Nurgozhay?
The judges scored it 30-27, 29-28, 29-28, Diyar Nurgozhay won the decision.
Was Rafael Tobias vs Diyar Nurgozhay a robbery?
Public scoring backed the judges: 91% of 32 fan cards scored it for Diyar Nurgozhay; 100% of 11 media scores picked Diyar Nurgozhay.