Lucas Fernando defeated Rafael Tobias by TKO in round 3 (1:10) in the Light Heavyweight bout of UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry, held Saturday, August 15, 2026 at Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia.
Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Where it happened
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round · the judges' scores under each
Bars share one scale across rounds. Each chip is one judge's score for the round, coloured by who they gave it to.
Judges' Scorecards
| # | Tobias | Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | 10 |
| # | Tobias | Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | 10 |
| # | Tobias | Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | 10 |
Betting Odds
Average moneyline across 19 sportsbooks.
Line Movement
| Sportsbook | Rafael Tobias | Lucas Fernando | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4casters | +244 | -267 | |
| 4Cx | +239 | -274 | |
| Bet105 | +246 | -285 | |
| BetAnything | +210 | -275 | |
| BetMGM | +240 | -300 | |
| BetOnline | +219 | -265 | |
| BetRivers | +220 | -286 | |
| BetUS | +226 | -275 | |
| Betway | +210 | -275 | |
| Bookmaker | +234 | -285 | |
| Bovada | +240 | -290 | |
| Caesars | +240 | -300 | |
| Circa | +235 | -300 | |
| Cloudbet | +240 | -303 | |
| DraftKings | +235 | -290 | |
| FanDuel | +240 | -295 | |
| HardRockBet | +220 | -275 | |
| Kalshi | +257 | -257 | |
| mybookie | +214 | -275 | |
| Pinnacle | +246 | -285 | |
| Polymarket | +233 | -245 | |
| ProphetX | +245 | -270 | |
| Stake | +210 | -278 | |
| SXBet | +259 | ||
| YouWager | +225 | -270 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. UFC Odds API
Insights
- Rafael Tobias absorbs 5.95 significant strikes a minute, more than 95% of UFC fighters.
- Rafael Tobias stops 100% of takedowns, better than 97% of UFC fighters.
- Rafael Tobias spends 78% of fight time at distance.
Style & credentials
No background on record
Camp · Chute Boxe - Monstro · BrazilNo background on record
Camp · Rizzo RVT · BrazilSig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Ranked against 1498 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
2 early stoppages have no logged time
1 early stoppage has no logged time
Recent form · last 5
- LLucas FernandoUFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry · Aug 15, 2026TKO · R3 · 1:10 · Light Heavyweight
- LUFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2 · Mar 7, 2026Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
- WJair de OliveiraDana White's Contender Series 83 · Sep 23, 2025Submission · R1 · 3:39 · Light Heavyweight
- WWellington LopesTKO Palmasnet 3 · Apr 12, 2025TKO · Light Heavyweight
- WMarcelo Alejandro Nuñez SparlingFFC 79: Sordi vs. Lezama · Aug 1, 2024TKO · R1 · 1:10 · Light Heavyweight
Full record · 17 fightsShow less
- WWillyanedson PaivaFight Music Show · Apr 21, 2024Unanimous Decision · Light Heavyweight
- WGuilherme CunhaFighter Stars 3 · Apr 6, 2024Submission · R1 · 1:11 · Heavyweight
- WLuis OliveiraCastro Fight Night 2 · Dec 9, 2023Submission · R1 · 2:03 · Light Heavyweight
- LMiguel PortoLFA 162: Conceição vs. Lopes · Jul 7, 2023TKO · R2 · 2:02 · Light Heavyweight
- WDiego FrigottoSpartacus MMA · Apr 15, 2023TKO · R1 · 2:08 · Light Heavyweight
- WRick MartinSpartacus MMA 34 · Mar 25, 2023Submission · R1 · 4:00 · Light Heavyweight
- WNathan OliveiraSpartacus MMA 19 · Oct 29, 2022Unanimous Decision · Catchweight
- WAlexandre BorgesSpartacus MMA 12 · Sep 10, 2022TKO · Light Heavyweight
- WHaroldo MesquitaSpartacus MMA 9 · Aug 20, 2022Submission · R1 · 4:13 · Light Heavyweight
- WSombay SilvinoCWB Fight League 28 · Jul 28, 2022Unanimous Decision · Middleweight
- WGuilherme CenaBrazilian Fighting Series 8 · Apr 16, 2022Submission · R2 · 3:10 · Middleweight
- WRoger FreitasMetanoia FC · Mar 19, 2022TKO · R1 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
- W
- WLeon SoaresLFA 234: Fernando vs. Soares · May 29, 2026TKO · R1 · 2:28 · Light Heavyweight
- WPhillip LatuLFA 214: Fernando vs. Latu · Aug 15, 2025TKO · R1 · 1:03 · Light Heavyweight
- WPedro OliveiraLFA 191: Prado vs. Lopes · Aug 30, 2024Unanimous Decision · Middleweight
- WJoão Paulo SilvaLFA 183: Cantanhede vs. Guimarães · May 3, 2024Unanimous Decision · Middleweight
Full record · 17 fightsShow less
- L
- LDana White's Contender Series 57 · Aug 8, 2023Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- WJansey SilvaLFA 154: Fernando vs. Silva · Mar 10, 2023TKO · R4 · 2:34 · Middleweight
- W
- WRodrigo LimaLFA 126: Bilharinho vs. Delano · Mar 11, 2022Unanimous Decision · Middleweight
- W
- LDiego DiasShooto Brasil 100 · Aug 23, 2020Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
- WWallace LopesShooto Brasil 99 · Dec 20, 2019Submission · Welterweight
- WRafael SilvaFederação Fight 9 · Dec 8, 2018Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
- WPaulo Henrique LaiaRBFC 9 · Jul 7, 2018Submission · R1 · 4:15 · Welterweight
- WDaylon FariasPanthers and Fight Night 1 · Nov 25, 2017TKO · R1 · 2:34
- WMateus SilvaRBFC 7 · Jul 8, 2017TKO · R1 · 2:56 · Welterweight
Frequently asked questions
Who won Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando?
Lucas Fernando defeated Rafael Tobias by TKO in round 3 (1:10) in the Light Heavyweight bout of UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry, held Saturday, August 15, 2026 at Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia.