Saturday, August 16, 2025United Center, Chicago, United States
Carlos Prates defeated Geoff Neal by TKO in round 1 (4:59) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev: Du Plessis vs Chimaev, held Saturday, August 16, 2025 at United Center, Chicago.
Geoff Neal vs Carlos Prates
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Geoff NealCarlos Prates
0
Knockdowns1
25 / 49
Significant strikes32 / 60
51%
Sig. strike accuracy53%
26 / 50
Total strikes32 / 60
0 / 1
Takedowns0 / 0
0:15
Control time0:00
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Geoff NealCarlos Prates
1664%1753%
Head
416%825%
Body
520%722%
Leg
Where it happened
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
97%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Geoff Neal25 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
1414/34
44/6
55/5
Clinch
22/4
0
0
Ground
0
0
0
Carlos Prates32 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
1717/43
88/8
77/7
Clinch
00/2
0
0
Ground
0
0
0
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round
Geoff NealCarlos Prates
R1
25
32
Bars share one scale across rounds. The side that landed more is solid.
Round 1
0
Knockdowns1
25 / 49
Significant strikes32 / 60
51%
Sig. strike accuracy53%
26 / 50
Total strikes32 / 60
0 / 1
Takedowns0 / 0
0:15
Control time0:00
Betting Odds
Geoff Neal
+161
38% implied win probability
Open: +217Best: +205
Carlos Prates
-190
66% implied win probability
Open: -268Best: -160
Average moneyline across 18 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Geoff Neal | Carlos Prates | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4casters | +163 | -171 | |
| 4Cx | +159 | -176 | |
| Bet105 | +142 | -160 | |
| BetAnything | +150 | -175 | |
| BetOnline | +155 | -180 | |
| BetUS | +146 | -175 | |
| Betway | +163 | -200 | |
| Bookmaker | +180 | -225 | |
| Bovada | +205 | -245 | |
| Caesars | +170 | -205 | |
| Circa | +152 | -175 | |
| Cloudbet | +147 | -161 | |
| DraftKings | +145 | -175 | |
| FanDuel | +168 | -200 | |
| mybookie | +193 | -255 | |
| Pinnacle | +168 | -191 | |
| Stake | +150 | -250 | |
| SXBet | +143 | -171 |
Odds are for information only.
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API
Insights
- Carlos Prates absorbs 4.30 significant strikes a minute, more than 77% of UFC fighters.
- Geoff Neal absorbs 5.50 significant strikes a minute, more than 92% of UFC fighters.
- Geoff Neal lands 5.02 significant strikes a minute, more than 87% of UFC fighters.
- Geoff Neal stops 87% of takedowns, better than 93% of UFC fighters.
Style & credentials
Geoff Neal
BoxingBJJ
- —Purple belt · BJJ
- 2017Contract winner · DWCSwelterweight
- —Champion · Texas Regional Amateur
- —Amateur MMA 6-1Record
Carlos Prates
No background on record
Camp · Fighting Nerds · BrazilSig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
85%60%
Head
9%19%
Body
6%21%
Leg
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Geoff Neallast 6 fights
80%19%
Carlos Prateslast 9 fights
74%17%9%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Geoff Neal Carlos Prates
Strikes landed / min
5.024.41
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Geoff Neal · Elite · better than 87% of UFC fightersCarlos Prates · Good · better than 76% of UFC fighters
Strikes taken / minfewer is better
5.504.30
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Geoff Neal · Poor · better than 8% of UFC fightersCarlos Prates · Below avg · better than 23% of UFC fighters
Takedowns landed / 15 min
0.540.18
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Geoff Neal · Below avg · better than 23% of UFC fightersCarlos Prates · Poor · better than 10% of UFC fighters
Takedown accuracy
45%100%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Geoff Neal · Good · better than 67% of UFC fightersCarlos Prates · Elite · better than 98% of UFC fighters
Takedown defence
87%77%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Geoff Neal · Elite · better than 93% of UFC fightersCarlos Prates · Good · better than 80% of UFC fighters
Submission attempts / 15 min
0.100.00
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Geoff Neal · Below avg · better than 24% of UFC fightersCarlos Prates · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters
Ranked against 1499 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
5.02
Strikes landed / min4.41
5.50
Strikes taken / minfewer is better4.30
0.54 / 1.2
Takedowns landed / 15 min0.18 / 0.2
45%
Takedown accuracy100%
87%
Takedown defence77%
1:20
Control time / fight0:28
0.10
Submission attempts / 15 min0.00
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Geoff Neal15 UFC fights · 700 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
68%478/1068
7%51/74
6%43/46
Clinch
9%64/99
2%11/12
0%1/1
Ground
7%52/75
0%0/0
0%0/0
Carlos Prates9 UFC fights · 369 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
53%196/451
18%65/89
21%76/91
Clinch
0%1/3
1%2/3
0%0/0
Ground
7%24/32
1%2/2
1%3/3
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Geoff Neal17 of 24 ended early · 71%7 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
Carlos Prates27 of 31 ended early · 87%4 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
6 early stoppages have no logged time
finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended
Recent form · last 5
Geoff Neal1-4
- L
- LUFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev: Du Plessis vs Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025TKO · R1 · 4:59 · Welterweight
- W
- LUFC 298: Volkanovski vs Topuria · Feb 17, 2024Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- L
Full record · 24 fightsShow less
- W
- WUFC 269: Oliveira vs Poirier · Dec 11, 2021Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Waterson - Event · May 8, 2021Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Neal · Dec 19, 2020Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- W
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs Dillashaw · Jan 19, 2019Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Medeiros · Feb 18, 2018Submission · R1 · 2:48 · Welterweight
- WChase WaldonDana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series 3 · Jul 25, 2017TKO · R1 · 1:56 · Middleweight
- WBilal WilliamsLFA 16: Bedford vs. Flick · Jul 14, 2017TKO · R1 · 4:43 · Welterweight
- L
- W
- W
- WChristopher AnthonyLegacy FC 32 · Jun 20, 2014Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
- WArmando ServinXKO 19 · Aug 17, 2013Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
- LMartin SanoEnemy of the State · Apr 19, 2013Submission · R3 · 1:25 · Welterweight
- WZack BoardXKO 17 · Jan 12, 2013TKO · R2 · 1:46 · Middleweight
- WDavid McAfeeBlood & Glory 1 · Aug 25, 2012Submission · R1 · 2:15 · Welterweight
Carlos Prates4-1
- WUFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs Prates · May 2, 2026TKO · R3 · 3:17 · Welterweight
- WVeChain UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev · Nov 15, 2025TKO · R2 · 1:28 · Welterweight
- WUFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev: Du Plessis vs Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025TKO · R1 · 4:59 · Welterweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs Prates · Apr 26, 2025Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- W
Full record · 31 fightsShow less
- W
- W
- W
- W
- WEduardo RamonLFA 154: Fernando vs. Silva · Mar 10, 2023TKO · R1 · 2:25 · Welterweight
- WMoacir RochaLFA 146: Barbosa vs. Santos · Nov 4, 2022TKO · R1 · 4:15 · Welterweight
- WCharles OliveiraSFT 37: Prates vs. Oliveira · Sep 3, 2022TKO · R1 · 3:14 · Welterweight
- WTaffarel BrasilSFT 35: Marajó vs. Manchinha · Jun 4, 2022TKO · R2 · 1:52 · Welterweight
- WAlan SilvaSFT 32: Nogueira vs. Marajó · Dec 18, 2021TKO · R1 · 1:21 · Lightweight
- W
- LGadzhimurad AbdulaevONE Warrior Series 6 · Jun 20, 2019Unanimous Decision · R3 · Welterweight
- WGunther KalundaONE Warrior Series 5 · Apr 25, 2019TKO · R2 · 4:45 · Welterweight
- WKuerbanjiang TuluosibakeWLF W.A.R.S. 30 · Dec 14, 2018TKO · R1 · 0:28 · Welterweight
- WJiang TaoChin Woo Men · Apr 7, 2017TKO · R2 · 3:35 · Welterweight
- LMikhail RomanchukChin Woo Men · Jan 7, 2017TKO · Welterweight
- WJiming SunChin Woo Men · Nov 6, 2016Submission · R1 · 4:58 · Welterweight
- WYousef WehbeFull Metal Dojo 8 · Jan 10, 2016Submission · R2 · 2:56 · Welterweight
- LAry SantosMMA Super Heroes 6 · Oct 25, 2014Submission · R1 · 3:24 · Lightweight
- WBruno PereiraSao Paulo Regional · Jun 14, 2014Submission
- LClaudiere FreitasPremium FC 3 · Nov 22, 2013Submission · R1 · 3:10 · Lightweight
- WTBASao Paulo Regional · Nov 10, 2013TKO
- LDiogo CavalcantiSFT 1 · Sep 20, 2013Submission · R1 · 4:54 · Lightweight
- WTBAMinas Gerais Regional · May 11, 2013DEC
- L
- WRenato da Silva Jr.Sao Paulo Regional · Mar 24, 2012TKO
- WSergio VieiraMax Fight · Mar 17, 2012TKO
Frequently asked questions
Who won Geoff Neal vs Carlos Prates?
Carlos Prates defeated Geoff Neal by TKO in round 1 (4:59) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev: Du Plessis vs Chimaev, held Saturday, August 16, 2025 at United Center, Chicago.