Saturday, October 5, 2024Delta Center, Salt Lake City, United States
Mario Bautista defeated Jose Aldo by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr., held Saturday, October 5, 2024 at Delta Center, Salt Lake City. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 28-29, Mario Bautista won the decision.
Ask UFCalendar AI
Jose Aldo vs Mario Bautista
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Jose AldoMario Bautista
0
Knockdowns0
51 / 117
Significant strikes49 / 142
44%
Sig. strike accuracy35%
65 / 139
Total strikes90 / 196
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 10
0:00
Control time7:15
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Jose AldoMario Bautista
4180%2653%
Head
612%1224%
Body
48%1122%
Leg
Where it happened
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
68%32%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Jose Aldo51 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
3737/100
55/7
44/4
Clinch
11/2
11/1
0
Ground
33/3
0
0
Mario Bautista49 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
2424/109
1212/18
88/9
Clinch
22/2
00/1
33/3
Ground
0
0
0
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round · the judges' scores under each
Jose AldoMario Bautista
R1
13
20
10-910-910-9
R2
21
19
10-910-910-9
R3
17
10
10-910-910-9
Bars share one scale across rounds. Each chip is one judge's score for the round, coloured by who they gave it to.
Round 1Judges: Mario Bautista
0
Knockdowns0
13 / 26
Significant strikes20 / 53
50%
Sig. strike accuracy38%
20 / 38
Total strikes40 / 81
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 2
0:00
Control time2:20
Round 2Judges: Jose Aldo
0
Knockdowns0
21 / 43
Significant strikes19 / 53
49%
Sig. strike accuracy36%
25 / 50
Total strikes31 / 65
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 4
0:00
Control time2:14
Round 3Judges: Mario Bautista
0
Knockdowns0
17 / 48
Significant strikes10 / 36
35%
Sig. strike accuracy28%
20 / 51
Total strikes19 / 50
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 4
0:00
Control time2:41
Judges' Scorecards
Media Scores
9
Jose Aldo
9
Mario Bautista
●29-28 Bautista×9●29-28 Aldo×9
All 18 media scorecards
- Brian Knapp · Sherdog.com29-28Bautista
- Seán Sheehan · SevereMMA.com29-28Bautista
- CombatPress.com29-28Bautista
- John Pollock · POST Wrestling29-28Bautista
- Danny Segura · MMAJunkie.com29-28Bautista
- Jake Noecker · Cageside Press29-28Bautista
- Matthew Wells · MMAJunkie.com29-28Bautista
- Keith Shillan · Sherdog.com29-28Bautista
- Val Dewar · Cageside Press29-28Bautista
- MMAFighting.com29-28Aldo
- Jay Pettry · Sherdog.com29-28Aldo
- Zane Simon · The MMA Vivisection29-28Aldo
- Steve Duncan · mma.uno29-28Aldo
- Daniel Yanofsky · The Sporting News29-28Aldo
- Ryan Frederick · WrestlingObserver.com29-28Aldo
- Dayne Fox · Sherdog.com29-28Aldo
- Drake Riggs · Uncrowned29-28Aldo
- Tyler Treese · Sherdog.com29-28Aldo
Fan Scorecards
872 fan scorecards submitted
84%
Jose Aldo
2%
Draw
14%
Mario Bautista
●29-28 Aldo77.1%●29-28 Bautista13.3%●30-27 Aldo6.9%●29-29 Draw1.5%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
88%
Bautista
R2
96%
Aldo
R3
83%
Aldo
Betting Odds
Jose Aldo
+110
48% implied win probability
Open: +132Best: +150
Mario Bautista
-132
57% implied win probability
Open: -163Best: -105
Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Jose Aldo | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | -125 | -105 |
| BetOnline | -101 | -119 |
| BetRivers | +102 | -127 |
| BetUS | +105 | -135 |
| Betway | +105 | -143 |
| Bovada | +112 | -130 |
| Caesars | +115 | -135 |
| Cloudbet | +115 | -126 |
| DraftKings | +150 | -195 |
| FanDuel | +110 | -130 |
| mybookie | +110 | -140 |
| Pinnacle | +120 | -135 |
| SXBet | +111 | -133 |
Odds are for information only.
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API
Insights
- Mario Bautista lands 5.52 significant strikes a minute, more than 93% of UFC fighters.
- Jose Aldo stops 92% of takedowns, better than 95% of UFC fighters.
- Mario Bautista lands 2.49 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than 80% of UFC fighters.
- Jose Aldo spends 81% of fight time at distance.
Style & credentials
Jose Aldo
BJJMuay ThaiCapoeira
- 2014Black belt · OtherRoberto Leitao / Marco Ruas panel
- 2011UFC Featherweight ChampionshipUFC
- 2009WEC Featherweight ChampionshipWEC
- 2017Competitor · IBJJF Masters InternationalMaster 1 lightweight, black belt
Mario Bautista
No background on record
Camp · MMA LAB · United StatesSig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
67%61%
Head
21%26%
Body
12%13%
Leg
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Jose Aldolast 4 fights
81%13%
Mario Bautistalast 9 fights
61%19%20%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Jose Aldo· from fights outside the UFC Mario Bautista· from fights outside the UFC
Strikes landed / min
3.575.52
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Jose Aldo · Average · better than 57% of UFC fightersMario Bautista · Elite · better than 93% of UFC fighters
Strikes taken / minfewer is better
4.214.17
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Jose Aldo · Below avg · better than 26% of UFC fightersMario Bautista · Below avg · better than 27% of UFC fighters
Takedowns landed / 15 min
0.512.49
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Jose Aldo · Below avg · better than 22% of UFC fightersMario Bautista · Good · better than 80% of UFC fighters
Takedown accuracy
50%39%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Jose Aldo · Good · better than 74% of UFC fightersMario Bautista · Average · better than 53% of UFC fighters
Takedown defence
92%57%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Jose Aldo · Elite · better than 95% of UFC fightersMario Bautista · Below avg · better than 36% of UFC fighters
Submission attempts / 15 min
0.201.10
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Jose Aldo · Below avg · better than 32% of UFC fightersMario Bautista · Good · better than 83% of UFC fighters
Ranked against 1483 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
3.57
Strikes landed / min5.52
4.21
Strikes taken / minfewer is better4.17
0.51 / 1.0
Takedowns landed / 15 min2.49 / 6.4
50%
Takedown accuracy39%
92%
Takedown defence57%
1:55
Control time / fight2:24
0.20
Submission attempts / 15 min1.10
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Jose Aldo23 UFC fights · 1354 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
60%806/2227
19%255/390
12%159/185
Clinch
3%34/46
2%22/23
0%0/0
Ground
5%73/116
0%3/3
0%2/2
Mario Bautista15 UFC fights · 864 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
47%410/1140
21%182/239
12%103/124
Clinch
8%68/89
4%38/42
1%5/5
Ground
6%53/73
1%5/5
0%0/0
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Jose Aldo24 of 43 ended early · 56%19 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
8 early stoppages have no logged time
Mario Bautista12 of 21 ended early · 57%9 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended
Recent form · last 5
Jose Aldo2-3
- LUFC 315: Muhammad vs Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
- LUFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr. · Oct 5, 2024Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- WUFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg · May 4, 2024Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- LUFC 278: Usman vs Edwards 2 · Aug 20, 2022Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- W
Full record · 43 fightsShow less
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Neal · Dec 19, 2020Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- L
- L
- LUFC 237: Namajunas vs Andrade · May 11, 2019Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
- W
- W
- L
- L
- WUFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · Jul 9, 2016Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Interim Featherweight
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- WUFC 136: EDGAR vs. MAYNARD III · Oct 8, 2011Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Featherweight
- WUFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · Apr 30, 2011Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Featherweight
- W
- W
- W
- W
- WChris MickleWEC 39: Brown vs. Garcia · Feb 28, 2009TKO · R1 · 1:39 · Featherweight
- W
- W
- WAlexandre NogueiraWEC 34: Faber vs. Pulver · Jun 1, 2008TKO · R2 · 3:22 · Featherweight
- WAlexandre Franca NogueiraWEC 34: Faber vs. Pulver · May 31, 2008TKO · R2 · 3:22 · Featherweight
- W
- W
- WThiago MellerRio de Janeiro Regional · May 20, 2006DEC
- LLuciano AzevedoJungle Fight · Nov 26, 2005Submission
- WMicky YoungUnited Kingdom Regional · Oct 15, 2005TKO
- W
- WAnderson SilverioMeca World Vale Tudo · Jul 9, 2005Submission
- WAritano Silva BarbosaRio de Janeiro Regional · May 12, 2005TKO
- WLuiz de PaulaShooto Brasil · Mar 19, 2005Submission
- WHudson RochaShooto Brasil · Oct 23, 2004TKO
- WTBAAmazonas Regional · Aug 10, 2004TKO
Mario Bautista4-1
- WUFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2 · Jul 11, 2026Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira · Feb 7, 2026Submission · R2 · 4:46 · Bantamweight
- LUFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane · Oct 25, 2025Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- WUFC 316: Dvalishvili vs O'Malley 2 · Jun 7, 2025Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- W
Full record · 21 fightsShow less
- WUFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Walker 2 · Jan 13, 2024Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- WUFC 292: Sterling vs O'Malley · Aug 19, 2023Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Yan vs Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023Submission · R1 · 3:18 · Bantamweight
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs Gamrot · Jun 25, 2022Submission · R1 · 2:27 · Bantamweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Walker vs Hill · Feb 19, 2022Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- L
- W
- WJin Soo SonUFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs Edwards · Jul 20, 2019Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs Dillashaw · Jan 19, 2019Submission · R1 · 3:31 · Bantamweight
- WJuan Pablo GonzálezCombate 26: Mexico vs. USA · Oct 13, 2018Unanimous Decision · Bantamweight
- WA.J. RobbLFA 44: Frincu vs. Aguilera · Jun 29, 2018Submission · R2 · 3:30 · Bantamweight
- WRaphael MontiniLFA 31: Moffett vs. Le · Jan 19, 2018TKO · R2 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
- WDeMarcus BrownSMASH Global 6 · Sep 28, 2017Submission · R1 · 4:46 · Featherweight
- WDevon ChavezTachi PF 32 · Aug 3, 2017Submission · R2 · 0:59 · Bantamweight
- WJesse OrtaIron Boy MMA 6 · May 20, 2017TKO · R1 · 1:28 · Bantamweight
Frequently asked questions
Who won Jose Aldo vs Mario Bautista?
Mario Bautista defeated Jose Aldo by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr., held Saturday, October 5, 2024 at Delta Center, Salt Lake City. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 28-29, Mario Bautista won the decision.
What were the judges' scorecards for Jose Aldo vs Mario Bautista?
The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 28-29, Mario Bautista won the decision.
Was Jose Aldo vs Mario Bautista a robbery?
Many scored it for Jose Aldo: 84% of 872 fan cards scored it for Jose Aldo; 50% of 18 media scores picked Mario Bautista. The judges gave it to Mario Bautista.