UFCAnnounced

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov

Magomed Ankalaev

LIVE NOW

In the cageMike Davis vs Nurullo Aliev

Saturday, July 25, 2026

Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West

Bogdan Guskov

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UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov is an MMA event from Ultimate Fighting Championship, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 at Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West, United Arab Emirates. 18 fights are scheduled across the card. The main event features Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1) vs Bogdan Guskov (18-3-1) in the Light Heavyweight division. In the United States, the card streams live on Paramount+. Bout order and start times can shift during fight week — this page updates automatically as UFC confirms changes.

Model tickets

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+.

Safe ticket10.44×

Steve Erceg over Ramazan Temirov-105
Valter Walker over Thomas Petersen-178
Dustin Jacoby over Muhammad Saidov-175
Axel Sola over Ismael Bonfim-192
Nurullo Aliev over Mike Davis-231

Why these picks

Steve Erceg over Ramazan Temirov

Steve ErcegRamazan Temirov

Opposition level (Elo)
1551.0UFCal Elo rating1574.0
47%Elo win expectancy53%
-82.0Elo trend (last 3)–
Full career(small sample, gap discounted)
78%Career win rate90%
14.0Career wins19.0
18.0Career fights21.0
Size & reach
68.0Reach63.0
68.0Height64.0
UFC record
62%UFC win rate100%
8.0UFC experience2.0
5.0UFC wins2.0
Age & prime
31.0Age29.5
prime fadingin prime

Valter Walker over Thomas Petersen

Valter WalkerThomas Petersen

Opposition level (Elo)
1626.0UFCal Elo rating1489.0
69%Elo win expectancy31%
–Elo trend (last 3)-56.0
Age & prime
28.6Age31.3
in primeprime fading
Size & reach
78.0Reach74.0
78.0Height73.0
Striking
43%Striking defense56%
52%Striking accuracy58%
2.8Strikes absorbed/min2.6
Pre-UFC pedigree
100%Pre-UFC win rate89%
0.0Pre-UFC losses1.0
55%Pre-UFC finish rate88%

Axel Sola over Ismael Bonfim

Axel SolaIsmael Bonfim

Striking
46%Striking accuracy55%
5.3Strikes absorbed/min4.0
61%Striking defense56%
Layoff & stance
1.0Southpaw matchup0.0
126.0Layoff259.0
0.0Switch stance0.0
Full career
11.0Career wins20.0
13.0Career fights26.0
85%Career win rate77%
Age & prime
28.9Age30.6
in primeprime fading
Size & reach
74.0Reach71.0
72.0Height68.0

Nurullo Aliev over Mike Davis

Nurullo AlievMike Davis

Age & prime
25.6Age33.8
in prime0.8y past prime
Striking
1.7Strikes absorbed/min4.8
42%Striking accuracy54%
2.3Strikes landed/min4.7
Pre-UFC pedigree
100%Pre-UFC win rate78%
0.0Pre-UFC losses2.0
25%Pre-UFC finish rate86%
Full career
100%Career win rate75%
11.0Career fights16.0
11.0Career wins12.0
Opposition level (Elo)
51%Elo win expectancy49%
1599.0UFCal Elo rating1589.0

Model 9.7% to hit · books 8%

Upset ticket12.51×

Damian Rzepecki over Magomed Zaynukov+240
Tyrell Fortune over Rizvan Kuniev+268

Why these picks

Damian Rzepecki over Magomed Zaynukov

Damian RzepeckiMagomed Zaynukov

Age & prime
24.7Age31.6
in primeprime fading
Full career(small sample, gap discounted)
10.0Career wins8.0
100%Career win rate100%
10.0Career fights8.0
Pre-UFC pedigree
0.0Pre-UFC losses0.0
70%Pre-UFC finish rate62%
10.0Pre-UFC wins8.0
Size & reach
71.0Reach68.0
70.0Height70.0
UFC record(small sample, gap discounted)
0.0Win streak0.0
0.0UFC wins0.0
0.0UFC experience0.0

Tyrell Fortune over Rizvan Kuniev

Tyrell FortuneRizvan Kuniev

Opposition level (Elo)(small sample, gap discounted)
49%Elo win expectancy51%
1532.0UFCal Elo rating1540.0
Grappling
3.0Takedowns /15 min0.0
0.7Control conceded3.4
100%Takedown defense91%
Age & prime
36.1Age34.4
3.1y past prime1.4y past prime
Full career
83%Career win rate78%
15.0Career wins14.0
3550.0Career length5404.0
Striking
57%Striking defense46%
51%Striking accuracy44%
2.0Strikes landed/min2.9

Model 26.1% to hit · books 7.4%

Main card

#1Magomed Ankalaev21-2-1vs#9Bogdan Guskov18-3-1
72%28%AI-534/+409
What drove this number
- Opposition level (Elo)
  59%Elo win expectancy41%
  1699.0UFCal Elo rating1633.0
- Full career
  91%Career win rate86%
  21.0Career wins18.0
  4571.0Career length3870.0
- UFC record
  14.0UFC experience5.0
  0.0Win streak4.0
  86%UFC win rate80%
- Grappling
  0.6Control conceded5.0
  88%Takedown defense57%
  0.7Takedowns /15 min0.0
- Striking
  57%Striking defense45%
  2.6Strikes absorbed/min3.3
  54%Striking accuracy55%
Light Heavyweight5 roundsAnalyze matchup →
Approx.
5:48 PM UTC
#10Steve Erceg14-4-0vsRamazan Temirov19-2-0
62%38%AI-108/-108
What drove this number
- Opposition level (Elo)
  1551.0UFCal Elo rating1574.0
  47%Elo win expectancy53%
  -82.0Elo trend (last 3)–
- Full career(small sample, gap discounted)
  78%Career win rate90%
  14.0Career wins19.0
  18.0Career fights21.0
- Size & reach
  68.0Reach63.0
  68.0Height64.0
- UFC record
  62%UFC win rate100%
  8.0UFC experience2.0
  5.0UFC wins2.0
- Age & prime
  31.0Age29.5
  prime fadingin prime
Flyweight3 roundsAnalyze matchup →
Approx.
5:21 PM UTC
Magomed Zaynukov8-0-0vsDamian Rzepecki10-0-0
37%63%AI-265/+223
What drove this number
- Age & prime
  31.6Age24.7
  prime fadingin prime
- Full career(small sample, gap discounted)
  8.0Career wins10.0
  100%Career win rate100%
  8.0Career fights10.0
- Pre-UFC pedigree
  0.0Pre-UFC losses0.0
  62%Pre-UFC finish rate70%
  8.0Pre-UFC wins10.0
- Size & reach
  68.0Reach71.0
  70.0Height70.0
- UFC record(small sample, gap discounted)
  0.0Win streak0.0
  0.0UFC wins0.0
  0.0UFC experience0.0
Lightweight3 roundsAnalyze matchup →
Approx.
4:54 PM UTC
#8Rizvan Kuniev14-3-1vs#9Tyrell Fortune18-3-0
58%42%AI-335/+276
What drove this number
- Opposition level (Elo)(small sample, gap discounted)
  51%Elo win expectancy49%
  1540.0UFCal Elo rating1532.0
- Grappling
  0.0Takedowns /15 min3.0
  3.4Control conceded0.7
  91%Takedown defense100%
- Age & prime
  34.4Age36.1
  1.4y past prime3.1y past prime
- Full career
  78%Career win rate83%
  14.0Career wins15.0
  5404.0Career length3550.0
- Striking
  46%Striking defense57%
  44%Striking accuracy51%
  2.9Strikes landed/min2.0
Heavyweight3 roundsAnalyze matchup →
Approx.
4:27 PM UTC
Abubakar Vagaev24-4-0vsSaygid Izagakhmaev22-3-0
60%40%AI-233/+198
What drove this number
- Opposition level (Elo)
  1664.0UFCal Elo rating1547.0
  66%Elo win expectancy34%
  –Elo trend (last 3)47.0
- Full career
  14.0Career wins22.0
  15.0Career fights25.0
  93%Career win rate88%
- Age & prime
  33.3Age31.9
  0.3y past primeprime fading
- UFC record
  3.0Win streak0.0
  13.0UFC experience4.0
  92%UFC win rate75%
- Layoff & stance
  532.0Layoff245.0
  0.0Southpaw matchup0.0
  0.0Switch stance0.0
Welterweight3 roundsAnalyze matchup →
Approx.
4:00 PM UTC

Preliminary card

#13Valter Walker15-1-0vsThomas Petersen11-4-0
67%33%AI-176/+152
What drove this number
- Opposition level (Elo)
  1626.0UFCal Elo rating1489.0
  69%Elo win expectancy31%
  –Elo trend (last 3)-56.0
- Age & prime
  28.6Age31.3
  in primeprime fading
- Size & reach
  78.0Reach74.0
  78.0Height73.0
- Striking
  43%Striking defense56%
  52%Striking accuracy58%
  2.8Strikes absorbed/min2.6
- Pre-UFC pedigree
  100%Pre-UFC win rate89%
  0.0Pre-UFC losses1.0
  55%Pre-UFC finish rate88%
Heavyweight3 roundsAnalyze matchup →
Approx.
3:56 PM UTC
Dustin Jacoby22-9-1vsMuhammad Saidov9-0-0
Light Heavyweight3 roundsAnalyze matchup →
Approx.
3:29 PM UTC
Santiago Ponzinibbio30-9-0vsSam Patterson14-3-1
29%71%AI+386/-496
What drove this number
- Age & prime
  39.8Age30.2
  6.8y past primeprime fading
- Opposition level (Elo)
  45%Elo win expectancy55%
  1570.0UFCal Elo rating1604.0
- Pre-UFC pedigree
  96%Pre-UFC win rate83%
  22.0Pre-UFC wins10.0
  55%Pre-UFC finish rate40%
- UFC record
  20.0UFC experience6.0
  12.0UFC wins4.0
  0.0Win streak0.0
- Layoff & stance
  448.0Layoff126.0
  0.0Southpaw matchup0.0
  0.0Switch stance0.0
Welterweight3 roundsAnalyze matchup →
Approx.
3:02 PM UTC
Ismael Bonfim20-6-0vsAxel Sola11-1-1
39%61%AI+164/-192
What drove this number
- Striking
  55%Striking accuracy46%
  4.0Strikes absorbed/min5.3
  56%Striking defense61%
- Layoff & stance
  0.0Southpaw matchup1.0
  259.0Layoff126.0
  0.0Switch stance0.0
- Full career
  20.0Career wins11.0
  26.0Career fights13.0
  77%Career win rate85%
- Age & prime
  30.6Age28.9
  prime fadingin prime
- Size & reach
  71.0Reach74.0
  68.0Height72.0
Lightweight3 roundsAnalyze matchup →
Approx.
2:35 PM UTC
Magomed Tuchalov6-0-0vsBrendson Ribeiro17-10-0
63%37%AI-882/+615
What drove this number
- Pre-UFC pedigree
  0.0Pre-UFC losses5.0
  100%Pre-UFC win rate75%
  6.0Pre-UFC wins15.0
- Age & prime
  26.6Age29.9
  in primeprime fading
- Full career
  100%Career win rate63%
  6.0Career wins17.0
  6.0Career fights27.0
- UFC record
  0.0UFC experience7.0
  0.0Win streak0.0
  0.0UFC wins2.0
- Opposition level (Elo)
  –UFCal Elo rating1447.0
Light Heavyweight3 roundsAnalyze matchup →
Approx.
2:08 PM UTC
Mike Davis12-3-0vsNurullo Aliev11-0-0
30%70%AI+193/-228
What drove this number
- Age & prime
  33.8Age25.6
  0.8y past primein prime
- Striking
  4.8Strikes absorbed/min1.7
  54%Striking accuracy42%
  4.7Strikes landed/min2.3
- Pre-UFC pedigree
  78%Pre-UFC win rate100%
  2.0Pre-UFC losses0.0
  86%Pre-UFC finish rate25%
- Full career
  75%Career win rate100%
  16.0Career fights11.0
  12.0Career wins11.0
- Opposition level (Elo)
  49%Elo win expectancy51%
  1589.0UFCal Elo rating1599.0
Lightweight3 roundsAnalyze matchup →
LIVE
In the cage
Cody Gibson21-13-0vsAbdul Hussein16-2-0WIN
BantamweightRef: Mike Beltran
SUB
R3 · 3:07
Stats →

Cancelled fights

#1Magomed Ankalaev21-2-1vs#5Khalil Rountree Jr.14-7-0
Light Heavyweight3 rounds
CANCELLED
#3Umar Nurmagomedov20-1-0vs#8David Martinez15-1-0
Bantamweight3 rounds
CANCELLED
Islam Dulatov12-1-0vsWellington Turman18-8-0
Welterweight3 rounds
CANCELLED
Gokhan Saricam12-2-0vsLouie Sutherland11-5-0
Heavyweight3 rounds
CANCELLED
Abubakar Vagaev24-4-0vsMagomedrasul Gasanov23-2-0
Welterweight3 rounds
CANCELLED
Uran Satybaldiev10-1-0vsDustin Jacoby22-9-1
Light Heavyweight3 rounds
CANCELLED

Where to watch

How to watch UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov →