Sam Patterson def. Santiago Ponzinibbio (TKO)
Sam Patterson defeated Santiago Ponzinibbio by TKO in round 2 (3:06) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov, held Saturday, July 25, 2026 at Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West.
Fight stats
By round
Betting Odds
Average moneyline across 25 sportsbooks.
Line Movement
| Sportsbook | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Sam Patterson |
|---|---|---|
| 4casters | +439 | -486 |
| 4Cx | +432 | -644 |
| Bet105 | +354 | -450 |
| BetAnything | +340 | -550 |
| BetMGM | +425 | -600 |
| BetOnline | +425 | -600 |
| BetRivers | +340 | -588 |
| BetUS | +399 | -550 |
| Betway | +350 | -500 |
| Bookmaker | +371 | -480 |
| Bovada | +450 | -600 |
| Caesars | +380 | -500 |
| Circa | +525 | -710 |
| Cloudbet | +420 | -588 |
| DraftKings | +370 | -485 |
| FanDuel | +390 | -510 |
| HardRockBet | +350 | -525 |
| Kalshi | +3233 | -3233 |
| MyBookie | +400 | -575 |
| Pinnacle | +378 | -455 |
| Polymarket | +488 | -525 |
| ProphetX | +480 | -560 |
| Stake | +420 | -556 |
| SXBet | +900 | -684 |
| YouWager | +440 | -580 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io
Frequently asked questions
Who won Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sam Patterson?
Sam Patterson defeated Santiago Ponzinibbio by TKO in round 2 (3:06) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov, held Saturday, July 25, 2026 at Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West.
Pre-fight comparison▾
UFCalendar model win probability
What drove this number
- Age & prime39.8Age30.26.8y past primeprime fading
- Opposition level (Power Index)45%Power Index win expectancy55%1570.0UFCalendar Power Index rating1604.0
- Pre-UFC pedigree96%Pre-UFC win rate83%22.0Pre-UFC wins10.055%Pre-UFC finish rate40%
- UFC record20.0UFC experience6.012.0UFC wins4.00.0Win streak0.0
- Layoff & stance448.0Layoff126.00.0Southpaw matchup0.00.0Switch stance0.0
Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+.
Win probability
What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index
Fight DNA
Head to headUFCalendar's style model · Welterweight roster (258 fighters)
Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap
Style shape
Biggest edge Sam Patterson, Submissions +42
Attribute by attribute
Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.
Tale of the Tape
Style Matchup
- Black belt · BJJ
- Nitrix 77kg Champion · Nitrix Champion Fight
- Sao Jose SuperFight 77kg Champion · Sao Jose SuperFight
- Black Monster 77kg Champion · Black Monster
Camp American Top Team · Coconut Creek, US
No background on record