Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
RESULT
Axel Sola def. Ismael Bonfim (Submission)
Submission · Round 1 · 4:44
Saturday, July 25, 2026
Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West, United Arab Emirates
Axel Sola defeated Ismael Bonfim by Submission in round 1 (4:44) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov, held Saturday, July 25, 2026 at Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West.
Fight stats
Ismael Bonfim
Axel Sola
0
Knockdowns
1
1 of 3
Significant strikes
33 of 44
33%
Sig. strike accuracy
75%
1 of 3
Total strikes
77 of 96
1 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 0
33%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
2:03
Control time
2:03
Significant strikes by target
0 of 1
Head
31 of 42
0 of 0
Body
2 of 2
1 of 2
Leg
0 of 0
1 of 3
Distance
2 of 4
0 of 0
Clinch
25 of 25
0 of 0
Ground
6 of 15
By round
ROUND 1
0
KD
1
1 of 3
Sig. str.
33 of 44
1 of 3
Total str.
77 of 96
1 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
1
2:03
Ctrl
2:03
Betting Odds
Ismael Bonfim
+203
33% implied win probability
Open: +154Best: +1011
Axel Sola
-204
67% implied win probability
Open: -207Best: -182
Average moneyline across 24 sportsbooks.
Line Movement
| Sportsbook | Ismael Bonfim | Axel Sola |
|---|---|---|
| 4casters | +171 | -188 |
| 4Cx | +167 | -191 |
| Bet105 | +172 | -196 |
| BetAnything | +170 | -200 |
| BetMGM | +165 | -200 |
| BetOnline | +182 | -212 |
| BetRivers | +160 | -200 |
| BetUS | +158 | -190 |
| Betway | +163 | -200 |
| Bookmaker | +163 | -190 |
| Bovada | +168 | -198 |
| Caesars | +180 | -220 |
| Circa | +175 | -200 |
| Cloudbet | +160 | -196 |
| DraftKings | +160 | -192 |
| FanDuel | +172 | -200 |
| HardRockBet | +160 | -200 |
| Kalshi | +1011 | -1150 |
| MyBookie | +165 | -206 |
| Pinnacle | +164 | -186 |
| Polymarket | +170 | -186 |
| ProphetX | +180 | -182 |
| Stake | +170 | -196 |
| SXBet | +150 | |
| YouWager | +172 | -205 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io
Frequently asked questions
Who won Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola?
Axel Sola defeated Ismael Bonfim by Submission in round 1 (4:44) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov, held Saturday, July 25, 2026 at Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West.
Referee
Marc Goddard
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾
UFCalendar model win probability (v1.2)
Ismael Bonfim 39%61% Axel Sola
What drove this number
- Striking55%Striking accuracy46%4.0Strikes absorbed/min5.356%Striking defense61%
- Layoff & stance0.0Southpaw matchup1.0259.0Layoff126.00.0Switch stance0.0
- Full career20.0Career wins11.026.0Career fights13.077%Career win rate85%
- Age & prime30.6Age28.9prime fadingin prime
- Size & reach71.0Reach74.068.0Height72.0
Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+.
Win probability
Ismael Bonfim 43%57% Axel Sola
What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index
Tale of the Tape
20-7-0
Record
12-1-1
1773
Power Index rating
1824
0
Win Streak
1
30
Age
28
5'8"
173 cm
Height
6'0"
183 cm
71"
180 cm
Reach
74"
188 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
Brazil
Nationality
France
Striking Profile
5.10
SLpM
4.50
54%
Str. Acc.
50%
3.96
SApM
4.53
62%
Str. Def.
61%
Grappling Profile
1.22
TD Avg.
1.89
33%
TD Acc.
36%
76%
TD Def.
66%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.50
Recent form (last 5 fights)
Ismael Bonfim · 1-4
Axel Sola · 4-1
Head-to-Head History
Career Averages
Based on 6 fights · 3 fights
38.0
Avg sig. strikes
47.7
0.67
Avg takedowns
1.33
0:38
Avg control time
2:29
111
Career high strikes
65
1
Career high TDs
3
Strike Distribution
Ismael Bonfim
Strike target
Axel Sola
64%
Head
84%
21%
Body
16%
15%
Leg
0%
Ismael Bonfim
Strike position
Axel Sola
90%
Distance
69%
8%
Clinch
24%
1%
Ground
7%