Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor 2
Welterweight★ Fight of the Night5 rounds scheduled
Nate Diaz
United StatesNate Diaz
22-13-0
RESULT

Conor McGregor def. Nate Diaz (Decision)

Majority Decision · Round 5 · 5:00
WIN
Conor McGregor
IrelandConor McGregor
“The Notorious”
22-7-0
Sunday, August 21, 2016
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States

Conor McGregor defeated Nate Diaz by Majority Decision in round 5 (5:00) in the Welterweight main event of UFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor 2, held Sunday, August 21, 2016 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 48-47, 48-47, 47-47, Conor McGregor won the decision.

Fight stats

Nate Diaz
Conor McGregor
0
Knockdowns
3
166 of 343
Significant strikes
164 of 286
48%
Sig. strike accuracy
57%
252 of 435
Total strikes
197 of 322
1 of 7
Takedowns
0 of 1
14%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
5:50
Control time
1:31
Significant strikes by target
107 of 256
Head
98 of 212
50 of 71
Body
26 of 29
9 of 16
Leg
40 of 45
88 of 227
Distance
137 of 253
77 of 112
Clinch
27 of 32
1 of 4
Ground
0 of 1

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
1
25 of 73
Sig. str.
34 of 58
25 of 73
Total str.
34 of 58
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:05
ROUND 2
0
KD
2
37 of 76
Sig. str.
34 of 70
51 of 92
Total str.
36 of 73
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:30
Ctrl
0:15
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
49 of 87
Sig. str.
26 of 45
79 of 117
Total str.
37 of 58
0 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:31
Ctrl
0:34
ROUND 4
0
KD
0
36 of 63
Sig. str.
46 of 76
48 of 76
Total str.
56 of 86
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:07
Ctrl
0:11
ROUND 5
0
KD
0
19 of 44
Sig. str.
24 of 37
49 of 77
Total str.
34 of 47
1 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
2:42
Ctrl
0:26

Judges' Scorecards

Derek Cleary
#DiazMcGregor
1910
2910
3109
4910
5109
Total4748
Jeff Mullen
#DiazMcGregor
1910
2910
3109
4910
5109
Total4748
Glenn Trowbridge
#DiazMcGregor
1910
2910
3108
4910
5109
Total4747

Media Scores

1
Diaz
4
Draw
14
McGregor
●48-47 McGregor×12●47-47 Draw×4●49-47 McGregor●47-46 McGregor●48-47 Diaz
All 19 media scorecards▾

Fan Scorecards

19%
Diaz
14%
Draw
67%
McGregor
3,586 fan scorecards submitted
●48-47 McGregor49.2%●48-47 Diaz11.5%●47-47 Draw10.8%●48-46 McGregor8.3%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
86%
McGregor
R2
80%
McGregor
R3
77%
Diaz
R4
87%
McGregor
R5
91%
Diaz

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Nate Diaz
+118
46% implied win probability
Open: +104Best: +122
Conor McGregor
-140
58% implied win probability
Open: -129Best: -130

Average moneyline across 6 sportsbooks.

SportsbookNate DiazConor McGregor
BetOnline+122-142
Bookmaker+117-143
Bovada+120-150
Pinnacle+122-135
sports-interaction+105-130
unibet+120-143

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Nate Diaz vs Conor McGregor?

Conor McGregor defeated Nate Diaz by Majority Decision in round 5 (5:00) in the Welterweight main event of UFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor 2, held Sunday, August 21, 2016 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 48-47, 48-47, 47-47, Conor McGregor won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Nate Diaz vs Conor McGregor?

The judges scored it 48-47, 48-47, 47-47, Conor McGregor won the decision.

Was Nate Diaz vs Conor McGregor a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 67% of 3586 fan cards scored it for Conor McGregor; 93% of 15 media scores picked Conor McGregor.

Full robbery index →
Referee
John McCarthy
Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Nate Diaz 46%54% Conor McGregor

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Nate Diaz
Submission Ace
3 edges
Conor McGregor
Knockout Artist
8 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

65Power96
58Speed97
73Precision100
81Durability94
96Engine88
58Wrestling84
82Ground89

Biggest edge Conor McGregor, Punch speed +40

Attribute by attribute

Nate Diaz is on the left of every row, Conor McGregor on the right.
76Punch power100
54Kick power92
60Punch speed100
56Kick speed94
73Accuracy100
58Takedowns84
67Ground striking94
97Submissions84
96Chin95
66Body strength93
96Cardio88

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

22-13-0
Record
22-7-0
1861
Power Index rating
1889
1
Win Streak
0
41
Age
38
6'0"
183 cm
Height
5'9"
175 cm
76"
193 cm
Reach
74"
188 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
United States
Nationality
Ireland

Striking Profile

4.57
SLpM
5.27
45%
Str. Acc.
49%
3.77
SApM
4.71
52%
Str. Def.
53%

Grappling Profile

1.05
TD Avg.
0.66
30%
TD Acc.
55%
41%
TD Def.
66%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.10

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Nate Diaz · 2-3
  • L
    Mike Perry
    Rousey vs. Carano · May 16, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Jorge Masvidal
    Diaz vs. Masvidal 2 · Jul 6, 2024
    Majority Decision
  • L
    Jake Paul
    Paul vs. Diaz · Aug 5, 2023
    Unanimous Decision
  • W
    Tony Ferguson
    UFC 279: Diaz vs Ferguson · Sep 10, 2022
    Submission · R4 · 2:52 · Welterweight
  • L
    Leon Edwards
    UFC 263: Adesanya vs Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
Conor McGregor · 1-4
  • L
    Max Holloway
    UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2 · Jul 11, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 1:09 · Welterweight
  • L
    Dustin Poirier
    UFC 264: Poirier vs McGregor 3 · Jul 10, 2021
    TKO · R1 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    Dustin Poirier
    UFC 257: Poirier vs McGregor 2 · Jan 24, 2021
    TKO · R2 · 2:32 · Lightweight
  • W
    Donald Cerrone
    UFC 246: McGregor vs Cowboy · Jan 19, 2020
    TKO · R1 · 0:40 · Welterweight
  • L
    Khabib Nurmagomedov
    UFC 229: Khabib vs McGregor · Oct 7, 2018
    Submission · R4 · 3:03 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 27 fights · 15 fights
57.2
Avg sig. strikes
39.9
0.67
Avg takedowns
0.33
1:45
Avg control time
0:55
238
Career high strikes
164
5
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Nate Diaz
Strike target
Conor McGregor
74%
Head
70%
17%
Body
17%
9%
Leg
13%
Nate Diaz
Strike position
Conor McGregor
73%
Distance
77%
22%
Clinch
10%
5%
Ground
13%