Saturday, October 10, 2026Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States
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Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Ernesta KareckaiteMelissa Gatto
0
Knockdowns0
48 / 121
Significant strikes41 / 79
40%
Sig. strike accuracy52%
104 / 180
Total strikes74 / 115
0 / 1
Takedowns1 / 11
0%
Takedown accuracy9%
0
Submission attempts2
4:10
Control time5:55
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Ernesta KareckaiteMelissa Gatto
3471%1639%
Head
1123%2049%
Body
36%512%
Leg
Where it happened
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
48%20%32%
DistanceClinchGround
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Ernesta Kareckaite48 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
2929/101
1010/11
33/3
Clinch
55/5
11/1
0
Ground
0
0
0
Melissa Gatto41 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
1212/40
1111/16
55/6
Clinch
44/6
99/11
0
Ground
0
0
0
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round · the judges' scores under each
Ernesta KareckaiteMelissa Gatto
R1
7
10
9-99-910-8
R2
30
27
10-910-910-9
R3
11
4
10-910-910-9
Bars share one scale across rounds. Each chip is one judge's score for the round, coloured by who they gave it to.
Round 1
0
Knockdowns0
7 / 16
Significant strikes10 / 17
44%
Sig. strike accuracy59%
31 / 42
Total strikes17 / 24
0 / 1
Takedowns0 / 4
0%
Takedown accuracy0%
0
Submission attempts1
3:06
Control time0:55
Round 2Judges: Ernesta Kareckaite
0
Knockdowns0
30 / 84
Significant strikes27 / 52
36%
Sig. strike accuracy52%
62 / 117
Total strikes35 / 60
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 5
1:04
Control time0:36
Round 3Judges: Melissa Gatto
0
Knockdowns0
11 / 21
Significant strikes4 / 10
52%
Sig. strike accuracy40%
11 / 21
Total strikes22 / 31
0 / 0
Takedowns1 / 2
0
Submission attempts1
0:00
Control time4:24
Judges' Scorecards
- − Kareckaite was docked 1 point in round 1 · Grabbing the fence
Media Scores
0
Ernesta Kareckaite
5
Draw
3
Melissa Gatto
●28-28 Draw×5●29-27 Gatto×3
All 8 media scorecards
- Dayne Fox · Sherdog.com28-28Draw
- CombatPress.com28-28Draw
- Steve Duncan · mma.uno28-28Draw
- Danny Segura · MMAJunkie.com28-28Draw
- Ryan Frederick · WrestlingObserver.com28-28Draw
- Brian Knapp · Sherdog.com29-27Gatto
- Tyler Treese · Sherdog.com29-27Gatto
- Mike Sloan · Sherdog.com29-27Gatto
Fan Scorecards
47 fan scorecards submitted
4%
Ernesta Kareckaite
55%
Draw
40%
Melissa Gatto
●28-28 Draw55.3%●29-27 Gatto29.8%●29-28 Gatto10.6%●28-27 Kareckaite2.1%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
53%
Draw
R2
100%
Kareckaite
R3
98%
Gatto
Betting Odds
Ernesta Kareckaite
+103
49% implied win probability
Open: +123
Melissa Gatto
-123
55% implied win probability
Open: -157
Average moneyline across 18 sportsbooks.
Line Movement
How it ends
Closing pricesErnesta Kareckaite
- KO/TKO+75410%
- Submission+29433%
- Decision+15034%
Melissa Gatto
- KO/TKO+16165%
- Submission+49914%
- Decision+14734%
Total rounds 2.5
Over
-361
Under
+270
Goes the distance
Yes
-336
No
+225
Moneyline by sportsbook
| Sportsbook | Ernesta Kareckaite | Melissa Gatto |
|---|---|---|
| 4casters | +109 | -116 |
| 4Cx | +107 | -122 |
| Bet105 | +105 | -118 |
| BetAnything | -105 | -125 |
| BetMGM | -105 | -115 |
| BetOnline | +111 | -130 |
| BetRivers | +104 | -128 |
| BetUS | +105 | -125 |
| Betway | -100 | -125 |
| Bookmaker | +102 | -122 |
| Bovada | +100 | -120 |
| Caesars | +100 | -120 |
| Circa | +105 | -125 |
| Cloudbet | +101 | -119 |
| DraftKings | +102 | -122 |
| FanDuel | +102 | -120 |
| HardRockBet | +105 | -130 |
| Kalshi | +113 | -117 |
| MyBookie | +113 | -139 |
| Pinnacle | +104 | -117 |
| Polymarket | +108 | -113 |
| ProphetX | +110 | -117 |
| SXBet | +116 | -117 |
| YouWager | +105 | -125 |
Odds are for information only.
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API
Insights
- Ernesta Kareckaite absorbs 5.72 significant strikes a minute, more than 94% of UFC fighters.
- Ernesta Kareckaite lands 6.47 significant strikes a minute, more than 97% of UFC fighters.
Style & credentials
Ernesta Kareckaite
KudoKickboxing
- 2023Hexagone MMA World Flyweight Championship (56.7 kg)Hexagone MMA
- 2023Contract winner · DWCS
- 2021Champion · Igf World Grappling Championships
- —Champion · Lithuanian Kudo Championships
Melissa Gatto
BJJKung Fu
- —Brown belt · BJJ
- —Champion · BJJ Regional Southern Brazil
- —Black belt · Other
Sig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
75%52%
Head
20%31%
Body
5%16%
Leg
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Ernesta Kareckaitelast 5 fights
65%18%17%
Melissa Gattolast 4 fights
46%22%32%
DistanceClinchGround
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Ernesta Kareckaite Melissa Gatto
Strikes landed / min
6.473.35
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Ernesta Kareckaite · Elite · better than 97% of UFC fightersMelissa Gatto · Average · better than 49% of UFC fighters
Strikes taken / minfewer is better
5.722.76
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Ernesta Kareckaite · Poor · better than 6% of UFC fightersMelissa Gatto · Good · better than 72% of UFC fighters
Takedowns landed / 15 min
0.601.64
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Ernesta Kareckaite · Below avg · better than 26% of UFC fightersMelissa Gatto · Good · better than 63% of UFC fighters
Takedown accuracy
50%23%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Ernesta Kareckaite · Good · better than 74% of UFC fightersMelissa Gatto · Poor · better than 18% of UFC fighters
Takedown defence
84%61%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Ernesta Kareckaite · Elite · better than 89% of UFC fightersMelissa Gatto · Average · better than 44% of UFC fighters
Submission attempts / 15 min
0.000.70
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Ernesta Kareckaite · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fightersMelissa Gatto · Good · better than 68% of UFC fighters
Ranked against 1497 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
6.47
Strikes landed / min3.35
5.72
Strikes taken / minfewer is better2.76
0.60 / 1.2
Takedowns landed / 15 min1.64 / 7.1
50%
Takedown accuracy23%
84%
Takedown defence61%
2:13
Control time / fight4:07
0.00
Submission attempts / 15 min0.70
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Ernesta Kareckaite5 UFC fights · 485 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
65%315/900
15%73/111
4%21/23
Clinch
9%45/71
5%23/29
0%0/0
Ground
1%5/12
0%0/0
1%3/11
Melissa Gatto7 UFC fights · 306 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
45%139/372
21%64/97
16%50/68
Clinch
2%7/17
10%32/43
0%0/0
Ground
5%14/15
0%0/0
0%0/0
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Ernesta Kareckaite2 of 9 ended early · 22%7 went the distance
2 early stoppages have no logged time
Melissa Gatto7 of 14 ended early · 50%7 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
2 early stoppages have no logged time
finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended
Recent form · last 5
Ernesta Kareckaite3-2
- LRegina TarinUFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh· Feb 28, 2026Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Catchweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2· Jan 11, 2025Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
- LUFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg· May 4, 2024Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
- WDana White's Contender Series 64· Sep 26, 2023Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
- WLaetitia BlotHexagone MMA 6· Jan 22, 2023Split Decision · Flyweight
Full record · 9 fightsShow less
- WKate BacikHexagone MMA 4· Aug 28, 2022Split Decision · Catchweight
- DLaetitia BlotHexagone MMA 2· Oct 30, 2021DEC · Flyweight
- WKlaudia PawickaBushido FC: Bushido Vilnius 2019· May 3, 2019TKO
- WTekle IaganashviliKOK 69: Vilnius· Mar 16, 2019TKO
Melissa Gatto2-3
- LUFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Duncan· Apr 4, 2026Majority Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
- W
- LUFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Magomedov· Jul 1, 2023Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
- LUFC 274: Oliveira vs Gaethje· May 7, 2022Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
- W
Full record · 14 fightsShow less
- W
- W
- DSidy RochaMato Grosso do Sul Regional· Jul 7, 2018DRAW
- WTBAParana Regional· May 5, 2018SUB
- WKethylen RothenburgNação Cyborg 1· Apr 7, 2018SUB · R1 · 1:36 · Bantamweight
- DEdna Oliveira AjalaBonito Eco Fight· Sep 23, 2017DRAW
- WRafaela ThomaziniCircuito Spartacus· Sep 9, 2017SUB
- WTaynara SilvaMato Grosso do Sul Regional· Aug 12, 2017DEC
- WAlessandra AlvesCircuito Spartacus· Dec 10, 2016DEC
Get this bout's result and round-by-round stats as JSON with the MMA Fight Data API →