Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2
Women's Flyweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Ernesta Kareckaite
LithuaniaErnesta Kareckaite
“Heavy-Handed”
6-2-1
RESULT

Ernesta Kareckaite def. Nicolle Caliari (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Nicolle Caliari
BrazilNicolle Caliari
9-4-0
Saturday, January 11, 2025
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Ernesta Kareckaite defeated Nicolle Caliari by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Women's Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2, held Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 28-29, 29-28, 29-28, Ernesta Kareckaite won the decision.

Fight stats

Ernesta Kareckaite
Nicolle Caliari
0
Knockdowns
0
95 of 226
Significant strikes
67 of 166
42%
Sig. strike accuracy
40%
126 of 266
Total strikes
86 of 194
0 of 0
Takedowns
3 of 14
-
Takedown accuracy
21%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
1:33
Control time
3:34
Significant strikes by target
77 of 199
Head
36 of 120
18 of 26
Body
22 of 35
0 of 1
Leg
9 of 11
87 of 213
Distance
63 of 156
8 of 13
Clinch
3 of 5
0 of 0
Ground
1 of 5

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
27 of 63
Sig. str.
21 of 41
35 of 71
Total str.
25 of 45
0 of 0
Takedowns
2 of 7
0
Sub. att
0
0:34
Ctrl
1:49
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
36 of 86
Sig. str.
24 of 66
45 of 98
Total str.
28 of 72
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 3
0
Sub. att
0
0:59
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
32 of 77
Sig. str.
22 of 59
46 of 97
Total str.
33 of 77
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 4
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
1:45

Judges' Scorecards

Michael Bell
#KareckaiteCaliari
1910
2109
3910
Total2829
Sal D'Amato
#KareckaiteCaliari
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
Ron McCarthy
#KareckaiteCaliari
1109
2109
3910
Total2928

Media Scores

7
Kareckaite
-
4
Caliari
●29-28 Kareckaite×5●29-28 Caliari×4●30-27 Kareckaite×2
All 11 media scorecards▾

Fan Scorecards

68%
Kareckaite
32%
Caliari
28 fan scorecards submitted
●30-27 Kareckaite39.3%●29-28 Caliari32.1%●29-28 Kareckaite28.6%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
50%
Kareckaite
R2
96%
Kareckaite
R3
61%
Kareckaite

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Ernesta Kareckaite
-297
75% implied win probability
Open: -194Best: -255
Nicolle Caliari
+259
28% implied win probability
Open: +166Best: +600

Average moneyline across 17 sportsbooks.

SportsbookErnesta KareckaiteNicolle Caliari
4casters-278+243
Bet105-294+246
BetAnything-265+225
BetMGM-275+220
BetOnline-290+245
BetRivers-278+215
BetUS-266+216
Betway-1205+600
Bookmaker-280+219
Bovada-275+225
Caesars-275+225
Cloudbet-265+231
DraftKings-620+400
FanDuel-255+210
MyBookie-265+210
Pinnacle-271+229
SXBet-285+248

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Ernesta Kareckaite vs Nicolle Caliari?

Ernesta Kareckaite defeated Nicolle Caliari by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Women's Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2, held Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 28-29, 29-28, 29-28, Ernesta Kareckaite won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Ernesta Kareckaite vs Nicolle Caliari?

The judges scored it 28-29, 29-28, 29-28, Ernesta Kareckaite won the decision.

Was Ernesta Kareckaite vs Nicolle Caliari a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 68% of 28 fan cards scored it for Ernesta Kareckaite; 64% of 11 media scores picked Ernesta Kareckaite.

Full robbery index →
Referee
Kerry Hatley
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Ernesta Kareckaite 41%59% Nicolle Caliari

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

6-2-1
Record
9-4-0
1548
Power Index rating
1609
0
Win Streak
1
28
Age
29
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'3"
160 cm
71"
180 cm
Reach
62"
157 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Women's Flyweight
Weight Class
Women's Flyweight
Lithuania
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

7.28
SLpM
2.88
42%
Str. Acc.
39%
6.47
SApM
5.59
49%
Str. Def.
52%

Grappling Profile

0.75
TD Avg.
3.38
60%
TD Acc.
29%
81%
TD Def.
50%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
1.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Ernesta Kareckaite · 3-2
  • L
    Regina Tarin
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh · Feb 28, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Catchweight
  • W
    Nicolle Caliari
    UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
  • L
    Dione Barbosa
    UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg · May 4, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
  • W
    Carli Judice
    Contender Series 2023 · Sep 26, 2023
    Split Decision · Flyweight
  • W
    Ilona Wojda
    KOK 110: Vilnius · Mar 18, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · Bantamweight
Nicolle Caliari · 3-2
  • W
    Shauna Bannon
    UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa · May 16, 2026
    Submission · R3 · 3:08 · Women's Strawweight
  • L
    Carli Judice
    UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3 · Jul 19, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 1:30 · Women's Flyweight
  • L
    Ernesta Kareckaite
    UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
  • W
    Corinne Laframboise
    Contender Series 2024 · Sep 10, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 4:45 · Flyweight
  • W
    Daniela Antonelli
    Fight Music Show · Oct 29, 2023
    Submission · R2 · 3:34 · Flyweight

Career Averages

Based on 3 fights · 3 fights
84.3
Avg sig. strikes
39.7
0.67
Avg takedowns
2.67
2:05
Avg control time
4:37
105
Career high strikes
67
1
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Ernesta Kareckaite
Strike target
Nicolle Caliari
77%
Head
67%
18%
Body
23%
5%
Leg
10%
Ernesta Kareckaite
Strike position
Nicolle Caliari
87%
Distance
85%
10%
Clinch
6%
3%
Ground
9%