Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs Song
Welterweight3 rounds scheduled
Ding Meng
ChinaDing Meng
“The Assassin”
35-10-0
STARTS IN··d ··h ··m

Ding Meng vs Cameron Nelson

Cameron Nelson
CanadaCameron Nelson
7-1-0
Saturday, August 29, 2026
Oriental Sports Center, Pudong District, China

UFCalendar model win probability

Ding Meng 57%43% Cameron Nelson

What drove this number

  • Opposition level (Power Index)
    58%Power Index win expectancy42%
    1715.0UFCalendar Power Index rating1661.0
  • Age & prime
    31.9Age28.1
    prime fadingin prime
  • Pre-UFC pedigree
    4.0Pre-UFC losses1.0
    17.0Pre-UFC wins7.0
    81%Pre-UFC win rate88%
  • UFC record
    5.0UFC experience0.0
    0.0Win streak0.0
    1.0UFC wins0.0
  • Size & reach
    74.0Height71.0
    73.0Reach72.0

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+.

Win probability

Ding Meng 58%42% Cameron Nelson

Based on both fighters' current UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

35-10-0
Record
7-1-0
1715
Power Index rating
1662
0
Win Streak
0
31
Age
28
6'2"
188 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
73"
185 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
China
Nationality
Canada

Style Matchup

SandaKickboxing
vs
BJJ
Ding Meng
  • 2025A1 Combat Welterweight Championship · Urijah Faber's A1 Combat
  • 2022JCK Welterweight (次中量级) Bounty Challenge championship · JCK (JCK MMA / 战觉城 - Jue Cheng King)
  • 2016WLF season-finale Welterweight (次中量级) gold belt · WLF (Wu Lin Feng / 武林风)
  • 2024Competitor · DWCS

Camp Team Oyama · Irvine, California, US

Cameron Nelson
  • Brown belt · BJJ · Renzo Gracie PEI (Matt MacGrath lineage; Renzo Gracie Halifax affiliation, formerly Lot 36 BJJ)
  • 2026FLA Welterweight Champion · Fight League Atlantic
  • Finalist · Submission Series
  • Amateur MMA 3-0 · Record

Camp Renzo Gracie PEI · 119 Kent Street, Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island, Canada

Striking Profile

3.80
SLpM
0.00
45%
Str. Acc.
0%
4.33
SApM
0.00
51%
Str. Def.
0%

Grappling Profile

0.50
TD Avg.
0.00
50%
TD Acc.
0%
0%
TD Def.
0%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Ding Meng · 3-2
  • L
    Jose Henrique
    UFC Fight Night: Song vs Figueiredo · May 30, 2026
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Mirali Huseynov
    Urijah Faber's A1 Combat 30 · Oct 4, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 2:45 · Welterweight
  • L
    Rami Hamed
    DWCS 8.1 · Aug 13, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Kuerbanjiang Tuluosibake
    JCK Fight Night 72 · Oct 28, 2023
    TKO · R3 · 0:23 · Welterweight
  • W
    Qi Wang
    JCK Fight Night 2022-2023 · Jul 9, 2023
    TKO · R2 · 1:30 · Welterweight
Cameron Nelson · 5-0
  • W
    Luis Guerrero
    FLA 25 · Jun 6, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 1:47 · Welterweight
  • W
    João Machado
    FLA 23 · Feb 7, 2026
    Submission · R2 · 2:13 · Welterweight
  • W
    Kenyon Moore
    FLA 21 · Sep 20, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:43 · Welterweight
  • W
    Manuel Garcia
    FLA 18 · Feb 1, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
  • W
    Ryan Rohovich
    FLA 16 · Sep 21, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 2 fights · 0 fights
57.0
Avg sig. strikes
-
0.50
Avg takedowns
-
1:36
Avg control time
-
63
Career high strikes
-
1
Career high TDs
-

Strike Distribution

Ding Meng
Strike target
Cameron Nelson
23%
Head
-
26%
Body
-
51%
Leg
-
Ding Meng
Strike position
Cameron Nelson
94%
Distance
-
5%
Clinch
-
1%
Ground
-

Betting Odds

Ding Meng
-145
59% implied win probability
Open: -118Best: -133
Cameron Nelson
+123
45% implied win probability
Open: -112Best: +137

Average moneyline across 24 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Ding MengCameron Nelson
40%50%60%Aug 21Aug 23Aug 26Aug 28Aug 21, 12:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -100 (50%)Aug 21, 10:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -103 (51%)Aug 21, 4:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -102 (50%)Aug 21, 8:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -101 (50%)Aug 22, 12:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -101 (50%)Aug 22, 2:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -102 (50%)Aug 22, 4:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -113 (53%)Aug 22, 6:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -114 (53%)Aug 22, 10:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -114 (53%)Aug 23, 6:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -114 (53%)Aug 23, 8:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -115 (53%)Aug 23, 2:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -119 (54%)Aug 23, 4:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -122 (55%)Aug 23, 6:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -122 (55%)Aug 23, 8:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -124 (55%)Aug 23, 10:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -125 (56%)Aug 24, 12:52 AM UTC · Ding Meng -126 (56%)Aug 24, 2:59 AM UTC · Ding Meng -136 (58%)Aug 24, 4:20 AM UTC · Ding Meng -137 (58%)Aug 24, 6:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -139 (58%)Aug 24, 12:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -141 (59%)Aug 24, 2:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -143 (59%)Aug 24, 6:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -143 (59%)Aug 24, 8:57 PM UTC · Ding Meng -145 (59%)Aug 24, 10:51 PM UTC · Ding Meng -147 (60%)Aug 25, 12:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -146 (59%)Aug 25, 4:20 AM UTC · Ding Meng -147 (60%)Aug 25, 4:51 PM UTC · Ding Meng -150 (60%)Aug 26, 12:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -150 (60%)Aug 26, 2:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -151 (60%)Aug 26, 4:20 AM UTC · Ding Meng -148 (60%)Aug 26, 10:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -150 (60%)Aug 26, 6:23 PM UTC · Ding Meng -150 (60%)Aug 26, 10:51 PM UTC · Ding Meng -144 (59%)Aug 27, 12:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -142 (59%)Aug 27, 4:20 AM UTC · Ding Meng -143 (59%)Aug 27, 6:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -147 (60%)Aug 27, 8:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -146 (59%)Aug 27, 10:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -147 (60%)Aug 27, 12:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -144 (59%)Aug 27, 2:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -143 (59%)Aug 27, 4:51 PM UTC · Ding Meng -141 (59%)Aug 27, 6:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -140 (58%)Aug 27, 8:35 PM UTC · Ding Meng -142 (59%)Aug 27, 10:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -144 (59%)Aug 28, 12:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -144 (59%)Aug 28, 2:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -143 (59%)Aug 28, 6:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -145 (59%)Aug 28, 8:50 AM UTC · Ding Meng -144 (59%)Aug 28, 2:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -144 (59%)Aug 28, 4:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -148 (60%)Aug 28, 6:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -151 (60%)Aug 28, 8:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -147 (60%)Aug 28, 10:50 PM UTC · Ding Meng -145 (59%)Aug 21, 12:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson -118 (54%)Aug 21, 10:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson -119 (54%)Aug 21, 4:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson -119 (54%)Aug 21, 8:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson -120 (55%)Aug 22, 12:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson -119 (54%)Aug 22, 2:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson -118 (54%)Aug 22, 4:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson -107 (52%)Aug 22, 6:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson -107 (52%)Aug 22, 10:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson -106 (51%)Aug 23, 6:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson -105 (51%)Aug 23, 8:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson -104 (51%)Aug 23, 2:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson -100 (50%)Aug 23, 4:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +102 (50%)Aug 23, 6:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +103 (49%)Aug 23, 8:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +105 (49%)Aug 23, 10:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +105 (49%)Aug 24, 12:52 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +107 (48%)Aug 24, 2:59 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +115 (47%)Aug 24, 4:20 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +116 (46%)Aug 24, 6:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +117 (46%)Aug 24, 12:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +119 (46%)Aug 24, 2:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +120 (45%)Aug 24, 6:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +121 (45%)Aug 24, 8:57 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +122 (45%)Aug 24, 10:51 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +122 (45%)Aug 25, 12:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +122 (45%)Aug 25, 4:20 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +122 (45%)Aug 25, 4:51 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +125 (44%)Aug 26, 12:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +124 (45%)Aug 26, 2:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +126 (44%)Aug 26, 4:20 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +124 (45%)Aug 26, 10:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +126 (44%)Aug 26, 6:23 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +127 (44%)Aug 26, 10:51 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +121 (45%)Aug 27, 12:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +119 (46%)Aug 27, 4:20 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +119 (46%)Aug 27, 6:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +123 (45%)Aug 27, 8:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +123 (45%)Aug 27, 10:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +123 (45%)Aug 27, 12:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +121 (45%)Aug 27, 2:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +121 (45%)Aug 27, 4:51 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +120 (45%)Aug 27, 6:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +119 (46%)Aug 27, 8:35 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +121 (45%)Aug 27, 10:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +123 (45%)Aug 28, 12:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +122 (45%)Aug 28, 2:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +123 (45%)Aug 28, 6:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +123 (45%)Aug 28, 8:50 AM UTC · Cameron Nelson +123 (45%)Aug 28, 2:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +124 (45%)Aug 28, 4:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +126 (44%)Aug 28, 6:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +128 (44%)Aug 28, 8:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +125 (44%)Aug 28, 10:50 PM UTC · Cameron Nelson +123 (45%)-145+123
SportsbookDing MengCameron Nelson
4casters-142+131
4Cx-145+128
Bet105-141+125
BetAnything-140+110
BetMGM-150+125
BetOnline-142+122
BetRivers-147+118
BetUS-140+118
Betway-138+110
Bookmaker-145+125
Bovada-145+125
Caesars-140+120
Circa-140+120
Cloudbet-149+120
DraftKings-142+120
FanDuel-154+130
HardRockBet-145+125
Kalshi-138+133
MyBookie-147+120
Pinnacle-155+137
Polymarket-133+127
ProphetX-148+120
SXBet-168+131
YouWager-142+122

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io