Heavyweight3 rounds scheduled
STARTS IN··d ··h ··m
Steven Asplund vs Guilherme Pat
Sunday, August 9, 2026
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States
Win probability
Steven Asplund 52%48% Guilherme Pat
Based on both fighters' current UFCal Elo ratings. See all Elo ratings
Tale of the Tape
7-2-0
Record
6-1-0
1510
Elo rating
1494
0
Win Streak
0
28
Age
32
6'5"
196 cm
Height
6'6"
198 cm
78"
198 cm
Reach
81"
206 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Heavyweight
Weight Class
Heavyweight
United States
Nationality
Brazil
Striking Profile
10.05
SLpM
2.70
51%
Str. Acc.
61%
6.64
SApM
2.03
50%
Str. Def.
51%
Grappling Profile
0.00
TD Avg.
0.00
0%
TD Acc.
0%
100%
TD Def.
100%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00
Recent form (last 5 fights)
Steven Asplund · 1-1
Guilherme Pat · 1-1
Career Averages
Based on 2 fights · 2 fights
115.5
Avg sig. strikes
40.5
0.00
Avg takedowns
0.00
0:08
Avg control time
0:22
170
Career high strikes
64
0
Career high TDs
0
Strike Distribution
Steven Asplund
Strike target
Guilherme Pat
87%
Head
77%
4%
Body
14%
8%
Leg
10%
Steven Asplund
Strike position
Guilherme Pat
97%
Distance
86%
2%
Clinch
14%
1%
Ground
0%
Betting Odds
Steven Asplund
-1011
91% implied win probability
Open: -3233Best: -1011
Guilherme Pat
-426
81% implied win probability
Open: -3233Best: -426
Average moneyline across 1 sportsbooks.
Line Movement
| Sportsbook | Steven Asplund | Guilherme Pat |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | -1011 | -426 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io