Welterweight3 rounds scheduled
RESULT
Michael Oliveira def. Oban Elliott (TKO)
TKO · Round 1 · 1:49
Saturday, August 1, 2026
Belgrade Arena, BG, Serbia
Michael Oliveira defeated Oban Elliott by TKO in round 1 (1:49) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Medić vs Rodriguez, held Saturday, August 1, 2026 at Belgrade Arena, BG.
Fight stats
Oban Elliott
Michael Oliveira
0
Knockdowns
2
6 of 11
Significant strikes
14 of 25
55%
Sig. strike accuracy
56%
6 of 11
Total strikes
18 of 29
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
0:15
Significant strikes by target
4 of 8
Head
13 of 23
1 of 2
Body
1 of 2
1 of 1
Leg
0 of 0
6 of 11
Distance
4 of 11
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
0 of 0
Ground
10 of 14
By round
ROUND 1
0
KD
2
6 of 11
Sig. str.
14 of 25
6 of 11
Total str.
18 of 29
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:15
Betting Odds
Oban Elliott
+320
24% implied win probability
Open: +223Best: +809
Michael Oliveira
-377
79% implied win probability
Open: -352Best: -317
Average moneyline across 24 sportsbooks.
Line Movement
| Sportsbook | Oban Elliott | Michael Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| 4casters | +291 | -336 |
| 4Cx | +305 | -359 |
| Bet105 | +276 | -323 |
| BetAnything | +240 | -320 |
| BetMGM | +300 | -375 |
| BetOnline | +260 | -320 |
| BetRivers | +310 | -417 |
| BetUS | +279 | -350 |
| Betway | +275 | -350 |
| Bookmaker | +292 | -365 |
| Bovada | +300 | -380 |
| Caesars | +350 | -450 |
| Circa | +290 | -340 |
| Cloudbet | +300 | -385 |
| DraftKings | +300 | -380 |
| FanDuel | +300 | -375 |
| HardRockBet | +300 | -425 |
| Kalshi | +809 | -900 |
| MyBookie | +350 | -463 |
| Pinnacle | +294 | -346 |
| Polymarket | +300 | -317 |
| ProphetX | +320 | -350 |
| Stake | +330 | -417 |
| SXBet | +317 | |
| YouWager | +320 | -420 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io
Frequently asked questions
Who won Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira?
Michael Oliveira defeated Oban Elliott by TKO in round 1 (1:49) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Medić vs Rodriguez, held Saturday, August 1, 2026 at Belgrade Arena, BG.
Referee
Jacob Montalvo
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾
UFCalendar model win probability (v1.2)
Oban Elliott 43%57% Michael Oliveira
What drove this number
- Pre-UFC pedigree82%Pre-UFC win rate100%2.0Pre-UFC losses0.022%Pre-UFC finish rate89%
- Size & reach72.0Reach78.072.0Height73.0
- Opposition level (Power Index)1513.0UFCalendar Power Index rating-
- UFC record5.0UFC experience0.00.0Win streak0.03.0UFC wins0.0
- Full career75%Career win rate100%12.0Career wins9.016.0Career fights9.0
Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+.
Win probability
Oban Elliott 39%61% Michael Oliveira
What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index
Tale of the Tape
12-5-0
Record
10-0-0
1686
Power Index rating
1764
0
Win Streak
1
28
Age
28
6'0"
183 cm
Height
6'1"
185 cm
72"
183 cm
Reach
78"
198 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
Wales
Nationality
Brazil
Striking Profile
3.62
SLpM
8.28
48%
Str. Acc.
52%
2.36
SApM
3.35
60%
Str. Def.
64%
Grappling Profile
1.48
TD Avg.
0.00
38%
TD Acc.
0%
52%
TD Def.
100%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00
Recent form (last 5 fights)
Oban Elliott · 2-3
Michael Oliveira · 5-0
Head-to-Head History
Career Averages
Based on 6 fights · 1 fight
39.2
Avg sig. strikes
14.0
0.67
Avg takedowns
0.00
2:49
Avg control time
0:15
70
Career high strikes
14
3
Career high TDs
0
Strike Distribution
Oban Elliott
Strike target
Michael Oliveira
67%
Head
93%
15%
Body
7%
18%
Leg
0%
Oban Elliott
Strike position
Michael Oliveira
76%
Distance
29%
6%
Clinch
0%
18%
Ground
71%