Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Flyweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Jafel Filho
Pastor
17-5-0
RESULT

Jafel Filho def. Clayton Carpenter (Submission)

Submission · Round 1 · 4:42
Saturday, October 11, 2025
Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Jafel Filho defeated Clayton Carpenter by Submission in round 1 (4:42) in the Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot, held Saturday, October 11, 2025 at Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro.

Fight stats

Jafel Filho
Clayton Carpenter
0
Knockdowns
0
5 of 13
Significant strikes
7 of 21
38%
Sig. strike accuracy
33%
28 of 38
Total strikes
12 of 27
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
100%
Takedown accuracy
-
1
Submission attempts
0
1
Reversals
1
2:23
Control time
1:04
Significant strikes by target
1 of 6
Head
2 of 9
0 of 1
Body
3 of 8
4 of 6
Leg
2 of 4
4 of 11
Distance
5 of 18
1 of 2
Clinch
2 of 3
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
5 of 13
Sig. str.
7 of 21
28 of 38
Total str.
12 of 27
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
1
Sub. att
0
2:23
Ctrl
1:04

Betting Odds

Jafel Filho
-119
54% implied win probability
Open: -119Best: -108
Clayton Carpenter
+102
50% implied win probability
Open: -101Best: +108

Average moneyline across 20 sportsbooks.

SportsbookJafel FilhoClayton Carpenter
4casters-108+104
4Cx-112+103
Bet105-116+104
BetAnything-125-105
BetMGM-125+105
BetOnline-125+105
BetRivers-112-112
BetUS-125+105
Betway-120-105
Bookmaker-128+108
Bovada-125+106
Caesars-125+105
Circa-115-105
Cloudbet-116+107
DraftKings-120+100
FanDuel-124+106
MyBookie-125+102
Pinnacle-118+105
Stake-110-103
SXBet-119+102

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Jafel Filho vs Clayton Carpenter?

Jafel Filho defeated Clayton Carpenter by Submission in round 1 (4:42) in the Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot, held Saturday, October 11, 2025 at Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro.

Referee
Osiris Maia
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Jafel Filho 42%58% Clayton Carpenter

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Flyweight roster (107 fighters)

Jafel Filho
Submission Ace
4 edges
Clayton Carpenter
Submission Ace
7 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

57Power79
63Speed72
48Precision49
65Durability75
91Engine81
95Wrestling85
86Ground81

Biggest edge Clayton Carpenter, Kick power +29

Attribute by attribute

Jafel Filho is on the left of every row, Clayton Carpenter on the right.
47Punch power63
66Kick power95
49Punch speed50
77Kick speed94
48Accuracy49
95Takedowns85
72Ground striking63
99Submissions98
69Chin86
60Body strength63
91Cardio81

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

17-5-0
Record
8-3-0
1662
Power Index rating
1716
0
Win Streak
0
33
Age
30
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'6"
168 cm
68"
173 cm
Reach
66"
168 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Flyweight
Weight Class
Flyweight
Brazil
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

1.78
SLpM
3.88
40%
Str. Acc.
50%
1.76
SApM
4.47
50%
Str. Def.
49%

Grappling Profile

2.40
TD Avg.
1.75
47%
TD Acc.
35%
50%
TD Def.
50%
1.80
Sub. Avg.
1.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Jafel Filho · 3-2
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot · Oct 11, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 4:42 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Klein · May 31, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • W
    ADXC 8 · Dec 6, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 4:27 · Flyweight
Clayton Carpenter · 2-3
  • L
    UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland · May 9, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot · Oct 11, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 4:42 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC 311: Makhachev vs Moicano · Jan 18, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Taira · Oct 12, 2024
    Submission · R2 · 2:12 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs Blanchfield · Feb 18, 2023
    Submission · R1 · 3:13 · Flyweight

Career Averages

Based on 6 fights · 5 fights
15.5
Avg sig. strikes
30.8
1.50
Avg takedowns
0.80
2:50
Avg control time
2:14
23
Career high strikes
68
4
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Jafel Filho
Strike target
Clayton Carpenter
52%
Head
45%
28%
Body
29%
20%
Leg
25%
Jafel Filho
Strike position
Clayton Carpenter
63%
Distance
74%
15%
Clinch
9%
22%
Ground
17%