Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Flyweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Muhammad Mokaev
The Punisher
13-0-0 (1 NC)
RESULT

Muhammad Mokaev def. Jafel Filho (Submission)

Submission · Round 3 · 4:32
Jafel Filho
Pastor
17-5-0
Saturday, March 18, 2023
The O2, London, United Kingdom

Muhammad Mokaev defeated Jafel Filho by Submission in round 3 (4:32) in the Flyweight bout of UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3, held Saturday, March 18, 2023 at The O2, London.

Fight stats

Muhammad Mokaev
Jafel Filho
0
Knockdowns
0
16 of 30
Significant strikes
9 of 37
53%
Sig. strike accuracy
24%
79 of 104
Total strikes
54 of 87
4 of 8
Takedowns
0 of 0
50%
Takedown accuracy
-
2
Submission attempts
2
0
Reversals
1
8:15
Control time
0:50
Significant strikes by target
4 of 15
Head
1 of 23
8 of 10
Body
2 of 2
4 of 5
Leg
6 of 12
12 of 25
Distance
9 of 36
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
4 of 5
Ground
0 of 1

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
9 of 13
Sig. str.
2 of 10
48 of 59
Total str.
12 of 21
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
1
3:40
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
7 of 17
Sig. str.
7 of 26
19 of 29
Total str.
33 of 56
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:20
Ctrl
0:02
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
0 of 0
Sig. str.
0 of 1
12 of 16
Total str.
9 of 10
3 of 5
Takedowns
0 of 0
2
Sub. att
1
3:15
Ctrl
0:48

Betting Odds

Muhammad Mokaev
-1130
92% implied win probability
Open: -841Best: -800
Jafel Filho
+697
13% implied win probability
Open: +527Best: +1480

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookMuhammad MokaevJafel Filho
BetAnything-950+510
BetOnline-950+650
BetUS-950+575
Betway-1000+600
Bovada-950+575
Cloudbet-855+646
DraftKings-1700+900
FanDuel-3500+1480
MyBookie-909+523
Pinnacle-2000+833
sportsbetio-5000+684
sports-interaction-800+510
unibet-835+575

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Muhammad Mokaev vs Jafel Filho?

Muhammad Mokaev defeated Jafel Filho by Submission in round 3 (4:32) in the Flyweight bout of UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3, held Saturday, March 18, 2023 at The O2, London.

Referee
Herb Dean
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Muhammad Mokaev 69%31% Jafel Filho

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Flyweight roster (107 fighters)

Muhammad Mokaev
Pressure Wrestler
9 edges
Jafel Filho
Submission Ace
2 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

79Power57
73Speed63
52Precision48
67Durability65
96Engine91
98Wrestling95
96Ground86

Biggest edge Muhammad Mokaev, Kick power +27

Attribute by attribute

Muhammad Mokaev is on the left of every row, Jafel Filho on the right.
65Punch power47
93Kick power66
51Punch speed49
94Kick speed77
52Accuracy48
98Takedowns95
94Ground striking72
98Submissions99
66Chin69
68Body strength60
96Cardio91

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

13-0-0 (1 NC)
Record
17-5-0
1804
Power Index rating
1662
7
Win Streak
0
26
Age
33
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'7"
170 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
68"
173 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Flyweight
Weight Class
Flyweight
Russia / United Kingdom
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

1.61
SLpM
1.78
45%
Str. Acc.
40%
1.35
SApM
1.76
57%
Str. Def.
50%

Grappling Profile

5.29
TD Avg.
2.40
41%
TD Acc.
47%
25%
TD Def.
50%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
1.80

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Muhammad Mokaev · 4-1
  • W
    WOW 31: Madrid · Jun 6, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 0:42 · Bantamweight
  • L
    Hype FC Brazil · Mar 11, 2026
    Submission · R1 · 7:46
  • W
    BRAVE CF 100 · Nov 7, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 0:08 · Flyweight
  • W
    971 FC 2 · Jun 14, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · Bantamweight
  • W
    Karate Combat 54 · May 2, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 1:20 · Bantamweight
Jafel Filho · 3-2
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot · Oct 11, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 4:42 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Klein · May 31, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • W
    ADXC 8 · Dec 6, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 4:27 · Flyweight

Career Averages

Based on 7 fights · 6 fights
20.3
Avg sig. strikes
15.5
4.43
Avg takedowns
1.50
6:30
Avg control time
2:50
47
Career high strikes
23
12
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Muhammad Mokaev
Strike target
Jafel Filho
54%
Head
52%
32%
Body
28%
15%
Leg
20%
Muhammad Mokaev
Strike position
Jafel Filho
71%
Distance
63%
5%
Clinch
15%
24%
Ground
22%