Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Catchweight3 rounds scheduled
RESULT

Myktybek Orolbai def. Tofiq Musayev (Submission)

Submission · Round 1 · 4:35
Saturday, June 21, 2025
Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Myktybek Orolbai defeated Tofiq Musayev by Submission in round 1 (4:35) in the Catchweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree Jr., held Saturday, June 21, 2025 at Baku Crystal Hall, Baku.

Fight stats

Tofiq Musayev
Myktybek Orolbai
0
Knockdowns
0
2 of 6
Significant strikes
2 of 7
33%
Sig. strike accuracy
29%
17 of 23
Total strikes
15 of 25
0 of 0
Takedowns
3 of 5
-
Takedown accuracy
60%
0
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
0:12
Control time
3:40
Significant strikes by target
0 of 4
Head
2 of 7
2 of 2
Body
0 of 0
0 of 0
Leg
0 of 0
2 of 6
Distance
1 of 4
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
0 of 0
Ground
1 of 3

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
2 of 6
Sig. str.
2 of 7
17 of 23
Total str.
15 of 25
0 of 0
Takedowns
3 of 5
0
Sub. att
1
0:12
Ctrl
3:40

Betting Odds

Tofiq Musayev
+153
40% implied win probability
Open: +132Best: +255
Myktybek Orolbai
-177
64% implied win probability
Open: -162Best: -157

Average moneyline across 18 sportsbooks.

SportsbookTofiq MusayevMyktybek Orolbai
4casters+171-179
4Cx+167-183
Bet105+160-182
BetAnything+145-175
BetMGM+135-160
BetOnline+155-180
BetRivers+128-165
BetUS+146-175
Betway+255-400
Bookmaker+131-165
Bovada+140-165
Caesars+135-160
Circa+152-175
Cloudbet+162-179
DraftKings+136-162
FanDuel+138-164
Pinnacle+139-157
SXBet+155-188

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tofiq Musayev vs Myktybek Orolbai?

Myktybek Orolbai defeated Tofiq Musayev by Submission in round 1 (4:35) in the Catchweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree Jr., held Saturday, June 21, 2025 at Baku Crystal Hall, Baku.

Referee
Rich Mitchell
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Tofiq Musayev 41%59% Myktybek Orolbai

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

24-6-0
Record
16-2-1
1723
Power Index rating
1782
2
Win Streak
3
36
Age
28
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
69"
175 cm
Reach
74"
188 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Catchweight
Weight Class
Catchweight
Azerbaijan
Nationality
Kyrgyzstan

Striking Profile

2.86
SLpM
2.78
43%
Str. Acc.
50%
2.79
SApM
2.70
48%
Str. Def.
51%

Grappling Profile

1.57
TD Avg.
8.77
50%
TD Acc.
59%
57%
TD Def.
40%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.50

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Tofiq Musayev · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Medić vs Rodriguez · Aug 1, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 4:07 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree Jr. · Jun 21, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 4:35 · Catchweight
  • W
    Rizin FF - Landmark Vol. 7 · Nov 4, 2023
    Knockout · R3 · 2:03 · Lightweight
  • W
    Rizin FF - Super Rizin 2 · Jul 30, 2023
    Knockout · R2 · 1:11 · Lightweight
Myktybek Orolbai · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Vallejos · Mar 14, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Qatar: Tsarukyan vs Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:46 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree Jr. · Jun 21, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 4:35 · Catchweight
  • L
    UFC 308: Topuria vs Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Catchweight
  • W
    UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg · May 4, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 3 fights · 6 fights
27.3
Avg sig. strikes
28.5
1.00
Avg takedowns
6.00
3:02
Avg control time
5:30
46
Career high strikes
65
3
Career high TDs
19

Strike Distribution

Tofiq Musayev
Strike target
Myktybek Orolbai
65%
Head
75%
21%
Body
13%
15%
Leg
12%
Tofiq Musayev
Strike position
Myktybek Orolbai
68%
Distance
67%
4%
Clinch
4%
28%
Ground
30%