Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Flyweight5 rounds scheduled
WIN
Brandon Moreno
The Assassin Baby
23-10-2
RESULT

Brandon Moreno def. Steve Erceg (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 5 · 5:00
Steve Erceg
Astroboy
14-5-0
Saturday, March 29, 2025
Arena CDMX, México D.F., Mexico

Brandon Moreno defeated Steve Erceg by Unanimous Decision in round 5 (5:00) in the Flyweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg, held Saturday, March 29, 2025 at Arena CDMX, México D.F.. The judges scored it 49-46, 49-46, 49-46, Brandon Moreno won the decision.

Fight stats

Brandon Moreno
Steve Erceg
0
Knockdowns
0
89 of 176
Significant strikes
116 of 279
51%
Sig. strike accuracy
42%
95 of 182
Total strikes
119 of 282
1 of 5
Takedowns
0 of 0
20%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
1:25
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
59 of 138
Head
90 of 237
18 of 25
Body
11 of 24
12 of 13
Leg
15 of 18
87 of 174
Distance
115 of 278
2 of 2
Clinch
1 of 1
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
21 of 40
Sig. str.
25 of 68
21 of 40
Total str.
25 of 68
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
21 of 46
Sig. str.
27 of 48
21 of 46
Total str.
27 of 48
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
10 of 24
Sig. str.
20 of 50
10 of 24
Total str.
20 of 50
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 4
0
KD
0
19 of 35
Sig. str.
25 of 57
21 of 37
Total str.
26 of 58
0 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:27
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 5
0
KD
0
18 of 31
Sig. str.
19 of 56
22 of 35
Total str.
21 of 58
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:58
Ctrl
0:00

Judges' Scorecards

#MorenoErceg
1109
2109
3910
4109
5109
Total4946
#MorenoErceg
1109
2109
3910
4109
5109
Total4946
#MorenoErceg
1109
2109
3910
4109
5109
Total4946

Media Scores

16
Moreno
-
0
Erceg
49-46 Moreno×1248-47 Moreno×4
All 16 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

87%
Moreno
13%
Erceg
209 fan scorecards submitted
48-47 Moreno38.8%49-46 Moreno37.3%48-47 Erceg11%50-45 Moreno8.6%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
98%
Moreno
R2
57%
Erceg
R3
77%
Erceg
R4
90%
Moreno
R5
87%
Moreno

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Brandon Moreno
-309
76% implied win probability
Open: -186Best: -223
Steve Erceg
+259
28% implied win probability
Open: +158Best: +437

Average moneyline across 17 sportsbooks.

SportsbookBrandon MorenoSteve Erceg
4casters-223+210
Bet105-251+214
BetAnything-235+195
BetOnline-260+220
BetRivers-278+215
BetUS-260+214
Betway-667+375
Bookmaker-249+197
Bovada-245+210
Caesars-800+420
Circa-250+215
Cloudbet-1031+437
DraftKings-620+400
FanDuel-310+220
MyBookie-400+240
Pinnacle-251+214
SXBet-264+205

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg?

Brandon Moreno defeated Steve Erceg by Unanimous Decision in round 5 (5:00) in the Flyweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg, held Saturday, March 29, 2025 at Arena CDMX, México D.F.. The judges scored it 49-46, 49-46, 49-46, Brandon Moreno won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg?

The judges scored it 49-46, 49-46, 49-46, Brandon Moreno won the decision.

Was Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 87% of 209 fan cards scored it for Brandon Moreno; 100% of 16 media scores picked Brandon Moreno.

Full robbery index
Referee
Herb Dean
Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Brandon Moreno 68%32% Steve Erceg

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Flyweight roster (13 fighters)

Brandon Moreno
Volume Striker
10 edges
Steve Erceg
Complete Fighter
1 edge
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

92Power81
95Speed88
95Precision83
95Durability74
97Engine95
90Wrestling91
93Ground65

Biggest edge Brandon Moreno, Ground striking +38

Attribute by attribute

Brandon Moreno is on the left of every row, Steve Erceg on the right.
91Punch power86
92Kick power76
97Punch speed95
93Kick speed80
95Accuracy83
90Takedowns91
90Ground striking52
95Submissions77
97Chin70
93Body strength77
97Cardio95

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

23-10-2
Record
14-5-0
1829
Power Index rating
1700
0
Win Streak
0
32
Age
31
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'8"
173 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
68"
173 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Flyweight
Weight Class
Flyweight
Mexico
Nationality
Australia

Striking Profile

3.84
SLpM
4.56
44%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.64
SApM
4.14
59%
Str. Def.
55%

Grappling Profile

1.36
TD Avg.
1.09
39%
TD Acc.
27%
65%
TD Def.
67%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.40

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Brandon Moreno · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Kavanagh · Feb 28, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 2:24 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Albazi · Nov 2, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC Mexico City · Feb 25, 2024
    Split Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Flyweight
Steve Erceg · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov · Jul 25, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 4:21 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs Prates · May 2, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Hernandez · Aug 9, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC 305: Du Plessis vs Adesanya · Aug 17, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 4:04 · Flyweight

Career Averages

Based on 20 fights · 9 fights
65.4
Avg sig. strikes
62.8
1.55
Avg takedowns
1.00
3:05
Avg control time
1:33
147
Career high strikes
136
5
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Brandon Moreno
Strike target
Steve Erceg
74%
Head
74%
16%
Body
18%
10%
Leg
8%
Brandon Moreno
Strike position
Steve Erceg
88%
Distance
89%
6%
Clinch
10%
7%
Ground
2%