Ultimate Fighting Calendar
FlyweightPerformance of the Night3 rounds scheduled
Matt Schnell
Danger
17-11-0 (1 NC)
RESULT

Steve Erceg def. Matt Schnell (TKO)

TKO · Round 2 · 0:26
WIN
Steve Erceg
Astroboy
14-5-0
Saturday, March 2, 2024
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Steve Erceg defeated Matt Schnell by TKO in round 2 (0:26) in the Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Gaziev, held Saturday, March 2, 2024 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Matt Schnell
Steve Erceg
0
Knockdowns
1
22 of 78
Significant strikes
34 of 72
28%
Sig. strike accuracy
47%
25 of 84
Total strikes
34 of 72
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
-
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
0:05
Significant strikes by target
18 of 70
Head
24 of 60
1 of 5
Body
9 of 11
3 of 3
Leg
1 of 1
21 of 74
Distance
30 of 67
1 of 4
Clinch
4 of 5
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
20 of 69
Sig. str.
32 of 67
23 of 75
Total str.
32 of 67
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:04
ROUND 2
0
KD
1
2 of 9
Sig. str.
2 of 5
2 of 9
Total str.
2 of 5
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:01

Betting Odds

Matt Schnell
+346
22% implied win probability
Open: +221Best: +400
Steve Erceg
-486
83% implied win probability
Open: -284Best: -410

Average moneyline across 12 sportsbooks.

SportsbookMatt SchnellSteve Erceg
BetAnything+285-460
BetOnline+360-460
BetUS+335-460
Betway+350-450
Bovada+375-500
Cloudbet+375-469
DraftKings+350-520
FanDuel+290-410
MyBookie+400-550
Pinnacle+324-600
SXBet+344-535
unibet+360-480

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Matt Schnell vs Steve Erceg?

Steve Erceg defeated Matt Schnell by TKO in round 2 (0:26) in the Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Gaziev, held Saturday, March 2, 2024 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Referee
Chris Tognoni
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Matt Schnell 37%63% Steve Erceg

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Flyweight roster (107 fighters)

Matt Schnell
Submission Ace
2 edges
Steve Erceg
Complete Fighter
8 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

50Power81
64Speed88
63Precision83
67Durability74
95Engine95
66Wrestling91
82Ground65

Biggest edge Steve Erceg, Punch power +38

Attribute by attribute

Matt Schnell is on the left of every row, Steve Erceg on the right.
48Punch power86
52Kick power76
71Punch speed95
57Kick speed80
63Accuracy83
66Takedowns91
67Ground striking52
96Submissions77
63Chin70
70Body strength77
95Cardio95

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

17-11-0 (1 NC)
Record
14-5-0
1645
Power Index rating
1734
0
Win Streak
0
36
Age
31
5'8"
173 cm
Height
5'8"
173 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
68"
173 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Flyweight
Weight Class
Flyweight
United States
Nationality
Australia

Striking Profile

4.05
SLpM
4.56
40%
Str. Acc.
46%
4.18
SApM
4.14
54%
Str. Def.
55%

Grappling Profile

0.59
TD Avg.
1.09
45%
TD Acc.
27%
43%
TD Def.
67%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
0.40

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Matt Schnell · 1-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs Bonfim · Jun 6, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 2:28 · Catchweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs Brown · Nov 8, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 2:54 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs Prates · Apr 26, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • L
    Submission Hunter Pro 95 · Jan 19, 2025
    Submission
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady · Sep 7, 2024
    Submission · R2 · 0:29 · Bantamweight
Steve Erceg · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov · Jul 25, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 4:21 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs Prates · May 2, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Hernandez · Aug 9, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC 305: Du Plessis vs Adesanya · Aug 17, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 4:04 · Flyweight

Career Averages

Based on 16 fights · 9 fights
28.1
Avg sig. strikes
62.8
0.31
Avg takedowns
1.00
0:32
Avg control time
1:33
85
Career high strikes
136
2
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Matt Schnell
Strike target
Steve Erceg
74%
Head
74%
10%
Body
18%
16%
Leg
8%
Matt Schnell
Strike position
Steve Erceg
82%
Distance
89%
8%
Clinch
10%
10%
Ground
2%