Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Thiago Moises
RESULT

Thiago Moises def. Trey Ogden (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Trey Ogden
Shamurai
18-7-0 (1 NC)
Saturday, January 11, 2025
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Thiago Moises defeated Trey Ogden by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2, held Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 29-28, Thiago Moises won the decision.

Fight stats

Thiago Moises
Trey Ogden
0
Knockdowns
0
55 of 94
Significant strikes
59 of 95
59%
Sig. strike accuracy
62%
75 of 124
Total strikes
117 of 168
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 1
-
Takedown accuracy
100%
0
Submission attempts
0
1
Reversals
0
7:30
Control time
0:11
Significant strikes by target
36 of 65
Head
24 of 57
2 of 4
Body
7 of 9
17 of 25
Leg
28 of 29
22 of 51
Distance
58 of 94
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
33 of 43
Ground
1 of 1

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
12 of 28
Sig. str.
36 of 58
12 of 28
Total str.
36 of 58
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
32 of 44
Sig. str.
19 of 29
42 of 54
Total str.
51 of 70
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
3:23
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
11 of 22
Sig. str.
4 of 8
21 of 42
Total str.
30 of 40
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
4:07
Ctrl
0:11

Judges' Scorecards

#MoisesOgden
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
#MoisesOgden
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
#MoisesOgden
1910
2109
3109
Total2928

Media Scores

11
Moises
-
0
Ogden
29-28 Moises×11
All 11 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

100%
Moises
0%
Ogden
21 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Moises95.2%29-27 Moises4.8%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
100%
Ogden
R2
95%
Moises
R3
100%
Moises

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Thiago Moises
-158
61% implied win probability
Open: -177Best: +240
Trey Ogden
+314
24% implied win probability
Open: +146Best: +3000

Average moneyline across 17 sportsbooks.

SportsbookThiago MoisesTrey Ogden
4casters-160+144
Bet105-160+141
BetAnything-155+125
BetMGM-275+200
BetOnline-155+135
BetRivers-162+130
BetUS-170+140
Betway+240-350
Bookmaker-155+126
Bovada-160+135
Caesars-170+140
Cloudbet-508+287
DraftKings-20000+3000
FanDuel-162+136
MyBookie-300+190
Pinnacle-159+140
SXBet-165+147

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Thiago Moises vs Trey Ogden?

Thiago Moises defeated Trey Ogden by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2, held Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 29-28, Thiago Moises won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Thiago Moises vs Trey Ogden?

The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 29-28, Thiago Moises won the decision.

Was Thiago Moises vs Trey Ogden a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 100% of 11 media scores picked Thiago Moises.

Full robbery index
Referee
Chris Tognoni
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Thiago Moises 58%42% Trey Ogden

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)

Thiago Moises
Submission Ace
2 edges
Trey Ogden
Grappling Specialist
9 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

74Power86
73Speed83
61Precision86
80Durability89
93Engine94
92Wrestling96
95Ground73

Biggest edge Thiago Moises, Ground striking +35

Attribute by attribute

Thiago Moises is on the left of every row, Trey Ogden on the right.
65Punch power76
82Kick power96
61Punch speed68
84Kick speed98
61Accuracy86
92Takedowns96
93Ground striking58
96Submissions88
87Chin93
73Body strength85
93Cardio94

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

19-10-0
Record
18-7-0 (1 NC)
1785
Power Index rating
1732
0
Win Streak
0
31
Age
36
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
Brazil
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

2.52
SLpM
3.20
42%
Str. Acc.
50%
4.40
SApM
3.49
52%
Str. Def.
55%

Grappling Profile

1.37
TD Avg.
1.89
29%
TD Acc.
32%
52%
TD Def.
100%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.70

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Thiago Moises · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Malott · Apr 18, 2026
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales · May 17, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 3:37 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Imavov · Jun 8, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
    TKO · R3 · 0:15 · Lightweight
Trey Ogden · 3-2
  • L
    EBI 26: The Welterweights · Nov 15, 2025
    Submission
  • W
    EBI 26: The Welterweights · Nov 15, 2025
    Submission
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 16 fights · 6 fights
27.1
Avg sig. strikes
45.3
1.06
Avg takedowns
1.67
2:29
Avg control time
3:58
66
Career high strikes
71
4
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Thiago Moises
Strike target
Trey Ogden
63%
Head
43%
13%
Body
21%
24%
Leg
37%
Thiago Moises
Strike position
Trey Ogden
75%
Distance
95%
6%
Clinch
2%
19%
Ground
3%