Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Thiago Moises
RESULT

Thiago Moises def. Melquizael Costa (Submission)

Submission · Round 2 · 4:05
Melquizael Costa
The Dalmatian
26-8-0
Saturday, January 21, 2023
Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Thiago Moises defeated Melquizael Costa by Submission in round 2 (4:05) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 283: Teixeira vs Hill, held Saturday, January 21, 2023 at Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro.

Fight stats

Thiago Moises
Melquizael Costa
0
Knockdowns
0
22 of 33
Significant strikes
23 of 50
67%
Sig. strike accuracy
46%
45 of 58
Total strikes
43 of 71
4 of 7
Takedowns
0 of 0
57%
Takedown accuracy
-
1
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
5:31
Control time
0:02
Significant strikes by target
14 of 25
Head
2 of 19
7 of 7
Body
10 of 18
1 of 1
Leg
11 of 13
11 of 21
Distance
21 of 45
1 of 2
Clinch
2 of 5
10 of 10
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
9 of 16
Sig. str.
16 of 30
17 of 24
Total str.
28 of 43
1 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
2:49
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
13 of 17
Sig. str.
7 of 20
28 of 34
Total str.
15 of 28
3 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 0
1
Sub. att
0
2:42
Ctrl
0:02

Betting Odds

Thiago Moises
-426
81% implied win probability
Open: -338Best: -370
Melquizael Costa
+297
25% implied win probability
Open: +256Best: +360

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookThiago MoisesMelquizael Costa
BetAnything-390+255
BetOnline-410+310
BetUS-375+275
Betway-455+280
Bovada-425+315
Cloudbet-855+339
DraftKings-380+290
FanDuel-400+280
MyBookie-370+265
Pinnacle-384+300
sportsbetio-435+287
sports-interaction-535+360
unibet-400+300

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Thiago Moises vs Melquizael Costa?

Thiago Moises defeated Melquizael Costa by Submission in round 2 (4:05) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 283: Teixeira vs Hill, held Saturday, January 21, 2023 at Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro.

Referee
Osiris Maia
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Thiago Moises 63%37% Melquizael Costa

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Thiago Moises
Submission Ace
5 edges
Melquizael Costa
Knockout Artist
6 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

74Power82
73Speed86
61Precision73
80Durability72
93Engine94
92Wrestling91
95Ground79

Biggest edge Thiago Moises, Ground striking +30

Attribute by attribute

Thiago Moises is on the left of every row, Melquizael Costa on the right.
65Punch power67
82Kick power96
61Punch speed74
84Kick speed97
61Accuracy73
92Takedowns91
93Ground striking63
96Submissions94
87Chin71
73Body strength72
93Cardio94

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

19-10-0
Record
26-8-0
1786
Power Index rating
1695
0
Win Streak
0
31
Age
29
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
71"
180 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
Brazil
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

2.52
SLpM
4.29
42%
Str. Acc.
47%
4.40
SApM
3.19
52%
Str. Def.
50%

Grappling Profile

1.37
TD Avg.
1.53
29%
TD Acc.
35%
52%
TD Def.
50%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.80

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Thiago Moises · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Malott · Apr 18, 2026
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales · May 17, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 3:37 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Imavov · Jun 8, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
    TKO · R3 · 0:15 · Lightweight
Melquizael Costa · 4-1
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa · May 16, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 4:56 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Kape · Dec 14, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 1:14 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales · May 17, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight

Career Averages

Based on 16 fights · 10 fights
27.1
Avg sig. strikes
46.2
1.06
Avg takedowns
1.10
2:29
Avg control time
1:48
66
Career high strikes
102
4
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Thiago Moises
Strike target
Melquizael Costa
63%
Head
47%
13%
Body
30%
24%
Leg
23%
Thiago Moises
Strike position
Melquizael Costa
75%
Distance
83%
6%
Clinch
9%
19%
Ground
8%