Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Welterweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Argentine Dagger
31-10-0
RESULT

Santiago Ponzinibbio def. Carlston Harris (TKO)

TKO · Round 3 · 3:13
Carlston Harris
Mocambique
19-8-0
Saturday, January 11, 2025
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Santiago Ponzinibbio defeated Carlston Harris by TKO in round 3 (3:13) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2, held Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Santiago Ponzinibbio
Carlston Harris
1
Knockdowns
1
76 of 175
Significant strikes
73 of 196
43%
Sig. strike accuracy
37%
76 of 175
Total strikes
78 of 211
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 5
-
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:38
Control time
0:17
Significant strikes by target
57 of 151
Head
40 of 142
8 of 11
Body
19 of 39
11 of 13
Leg
14 of 15
72 of 165
Distance
73 of 195
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
4 of 10
Ground
0 of 1

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
1
22 of 48
Sig. str.
37 of 79
22 of 48
Total str.
37 of 79
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:08
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
27 of 70
Sig. str.
28 of 86
27 of 70
Total str.
28 of 86
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
1
KD
0
27 of 57
Sig. str.
8 of 31
27 of 57
Total str.
13 of 46
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
0:38
Ctrl
0:09

Betting Odds

Santiago Ponzinibbio
-123
55% implied win probability
Open: +111Best: +250
Carlston Harris
+118
46% implied win probability
Open: -130Best: +140

Average moneyline across 17 sportsbooks.

SportsbookSantiago PonzinibbioCarlston Harris
4casters-146+130
Bet105-157+139
BetAnything-150+130
BetMGM-155+130
BetOnline-158+138
BetRivers-134+108
BetUS-155+125
Betway+150-200
Bookmaker-165+134
Bovada-163+140
Caesars-160+135
Cloudbet-159+121
DraftKings+250-620
FanDuel-154+130
MyBookie-144+118
Pinnacle-148+130
SXBet-158+129

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Carlston Harris?

Santiago Ponzinibbio defeated Carlston Harris by TKO in round 3 (3:13) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2, held Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Referee
Kerry Hatley
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Santiago Ponzinibbio 43%57% Carlston Harris

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Welterweight roster (258 fighters)

Santiago Ponzinibbio
Striking Technician
8 edges
Carlston Harris
Submission Ace
3 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

91Power84
93Speed64
96Precision58
96Durability77
95Engine81
61Wrestling86
58Ground90

Biggest edge Carlston Harris, Submissions +42

Attribute by attribute

Santiago Ponzinibbio is on the left of every row, Carlston Harris on the right.
95Punch power88
87Kick power80
97Punch speed64
88Kick speed64
96Accuracy58
61Takedowns86
61Ground striking83
54Submissions96
96Chin77
96Body strength76
95Cardio81

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

31-10-0
Record
19-8-0
1711
Power Index rating
1757
0
Win Streak
0
39
Age
39
6'0"
183 cm
Height
6'0"
183 cm
73"
185 cm
Reach
76"
193 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
Argentina
Nationality
Guyana

Striking Profile

4.67
SLpM
3.34
40%
Str. Acc.
42%
4.79
SApM
3.50
61%
Str. Def.
51%

Grappling Profile

0.58
TD Avg.
1.13
26%
TD Acc.
20%
71%
TD Def.
55%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.50

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Santiago Ponzinibbio · 1-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov · Jul 25, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 3:06 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Figueiredo · May 3, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 1:12 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 3:13 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 287: Pereira vs Adesanya 2 · Apr 8, 2023
    TKO · R3 · 3:16 · Welterweight
Carlston Harris · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Song vs Figueiredo · May 30, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 3:13 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs Murphy · May 18, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 1:30 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Font · Aug 5, 2023
    Submission · R3 · 1:50 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Yan vs Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 21 fights · 8 fights
52.2
Avg sig. strikes
27.6
0.43
Avg takedowns
0.63
0:33
Avg control time
1:34
121
Career high strikes
73
3
Career high TDs
5

Strike Distribution

Santiago Ponzinibbio
Strike target
Carlston Harris
71%
Head
62%
12%
Body
26%
17%
Leg
12%
Santiago Ponzinibbio
Strike position
Carlston Harris
95%
Distance
82%
2%
Clinch
6%
3%
Ground
12%