Ultimate Fighting Calendar
LightweightPerformance of the Night3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Drew Dober
29-15-0 (1 NC)
RESULT

Drew Dober def. Rafael Alves (TKO)

TKO · Round 3 · 1:30
Rafael Alves
The Turn
20-12-0
Saturday, July 30, 2022
American Airlines Center, Dallas, United States

Drew Dober defeated Rafael Alves by TKO in round 3 (1:30) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 277: Peña vs Nunes, held Saturday, July 30, 2022 at American Airlines Center, Dallas.

Fight stats

Drew Dober
Rafael Alves
1
Knockdowns
0
62 of 151
Significant strikes
37 of 68
41%
Sig. strike accuracy
54%
62 of 151
Total strikes
46 of 80
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 3
-
Takedown accuracy
33%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:07
Control time
2:21
Significant strikes by target
38 of 121
Head
24 of 55
20 of 24
Body
8 of 8
4 of 6
Leg
5 of 5
60 of 149
Distance
31 of 60
0 of 0
Clinch
1 of 1
2 of 2
Ground
5 of 7

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
11 of 36
Sig. str.
11 of 22
11 of 36
Total str.
19 of 30
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
2:21
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
37 of 95
Sig. str.
20 of 38
37 of 95
Total str.
21 of 42
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:04
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
1
KD
0
14 of 20
Sig. str.
6 of 8
14 of 20
Total str.
6 of 8
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:03
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Drew Dober
-189
65% implied win probability
Open: -233Best: -147
Rafael Alves
+158
39% implied win probability
Open: +193Best: +270

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookDrew DoberRafael Alves
BetAnything-160+130
BetOnline-157+137
BetUS-160+130
Betway-400+255
Bovada-185+150
Cloudbet-147+106
DraftKings-390+270
FanDuel-270+200
MyBookie-165+135
Pinnacle-153+120
sportsbetio-182+134
sports-interaction-190+145
unibet-177+140

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Drew Dober vs Rafael Alves?

Drew Dober defeated Rafael Alves by TKO in round 3 (1:30) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 277: Peña vs Nunes, held Saturday, July 30, 2022 at American Airlines Center, Dallas.

Referee
Mike Beltran
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Drew Dober 68%32% Rafael Alves

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)

Drew Dober
Knockout Artist
6 edges
Rafael Alves
Submission Ace
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

95Power97
94Speed96
82Precision76
89Durability71
82Engine67
55Wrestling58
70Ground80

Biggest edge Rafael Alves, Submissions +37

Attribute by attribute

Drew Dober is on the left of every row, Rafael Alves on the right.
98Punch power96
91Kick power97
96Punch speed96
92Kick speed95
82Accuracy76
55Takedowns58
79Ground striking62
61Submissions98
94Chin73
84Body strength69
82Cardio67

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

29-15-0 (1 NC)
Record
20-12-0
1763
Power Index rating
1628
2
Win Streak
0
37
Age
35
5'8"
173 cm
Height
5'8"
173 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
68"
173 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

4.48
SLpM
1.85
41%
Str. Acc.
48%
4.33
SApM
3.30
53%
Str. Def.
58%

Grappling Profile

0.61
TD Avg.
0.29
16%
TD Acc.
25%
58%
TD Def.
44%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
1.50

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Drew Dober · 2-3
  • W
    UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2 · Mar 7, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 1:53 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Vancouver: De Ridder vs Hernandez · Oct 18, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 1:16 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 1:45 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
    TKO · R3 · 1:28 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Imavov · Feb 3, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Rafael Alves · 4-1
  • W
    Gamebred Bareknuckle MMA · May 1, 2026
    Submission · R1 · 0:31
  • L
    Karate Combat 57 · Oct 31, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 0:59 · Welterweight
  • W
    Karate Combat 51 · Dec 19, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Catchweight
  • W
    Karate Combat 47 · Jun 28, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 1:22 · Welterweight
  • W
    Karate Combat 44 · Feb 23, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 26 fights · 4 fights
37.4
Avg sig. strikes
19.8
0.35
Avg takedowns
0.25
1:05
Avg control time
0:59
145
Career high strikes
37
5
Career high TDs
1

Strike Distribution

Drew Dober
Strike target
Rafael Alves
63%
Head
62%
23%
Body
22%
14%
Leg
16%
Drew Dober
Strike position
Rafael Alves
80%
Distance
90%
11%
Clinch
4%
10%
Ground
6%