Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway
Bantamweight★ Performance of the Night3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Renan Barao
BrazilRenan Barao
“The Baron”
34-9-0 (1 NC)
RESULT

Renan Barao def. Mitch Gagnon (Submission)

Submission · Round 3 · 3:53
Mitch Gagnon
CanadaMitch Gagnon
“The Machine”
12-5-0
Saturday, December 20, 2014
Ginasio José Corrêa, Centro, Barueri, Brazil

Renan Barao defeated Mitch Gagnon by Submission in round 3 (3:53) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway, held Saturday, December 20, 2014 at Ginasio José Corrêa, Centro, Barueri.

Fight stats

Renan Barao
Mitch Gagnon
1
Knockdowns
0
59 of 138
Significant strikes
58 of 111
43%
Sig. strike accuracy
52%
64 of 143
Total strikes
66 of 119
2 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 7
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
1
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
2:22
Control time
4:15
Significant strikes by target
29 of 98
Head
32 of 76
18 of 27
Body
17 of 26
12 of 13
Leg
9 of 9
34 of 105
Distance
45 of 95
25 of 32
Clinch
13 of 16
0 of 1
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
1
KD
0
17 of 52
Sig. str.
25 of 47
18 of 53
Total str.
26 of 48
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:31
Ctrl
0:40
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
25 of 52
Sig. str.
22 of 47
27 of 54
Total str.
23 of 48
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
0:42
Ctrl
2:20
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
17 of 34
Sig. str.
11 of 17
19 of 36
Total str.
17 of 23
2 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 4
1
Sub. att
0
1:09
Ctrl
1:15

Betting Odds

Renan Barao
-950
90% implied win probability
Open: -681Best: -769
Mitch Gagnon
+569
15% implied win probability
Open: +526Best: +700

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

SportsbookRenan BaraoMitch Gagnon
Bookmaker-1000+625
Bovada-1100+450
Pinnacle-1000+700
sports-interaction-769+500

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Renan Barao vs Mitch Gagnon?

Renan Barao defeated Mitch Gagnon by Submission in round 3 (3:53) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway, held Saturday, December 20, 2014 at Ginasio José Corrêa, Centro, Barueri.

Referee
Mario Yamasaki
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Renan Barao 64%36% Mitch Gagnon

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Bantamweight roster (170 fighters)

Renan Barao
Complete Fighter
8 edges
Mitch Gagnon
Submission Ace
3 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

71Power79
85Speed73
70Precision66
81Durability69
97Engine72
94Wrestling87
75Ground97

Biggest edge Mitch Gagnon, Ground striking +40

Attribute by attribute

Renan Barao is on the left of every row, Mitch Gagnon on the right.
58Punch power97
83Kick power61
86Punch speed78
83Kick speed68
70Accuracy66
94Takedowns87
55Ground striking95
94Submissions98
85Chin77
77Body strength61
97Cardio72

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

34-9-0 (1 NC)
Record
12-5-0
1893
Power Index rating
1792
0
Win Streak
0
39
Age
41
5'6"
168 cm
Height
5'5"
165 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
65"
165 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bantamweight
Weight Class
Bantamweight
Brazil
Nationality
Canada

Striking Profile

3.78
SLpM
2.76
36%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.90
SApM
2.21
57%
Str. Def.
61%

Grappling Profile

1.49
TD Avg.
1.16
41%
TD Acc.
25%
91%
TD Def.
65%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
1.90

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Renan Barao · 0-4-1
  • D
    Arman Ospanov
    Alash Pride 108 · May 27, 2025
    Decision · Lightweight
  • L
    Walter Zamora
    Fera Championship · Oct 7, 2023
    Split Decision · Featherweight
  • L
    Simão Peixoto
    Solidário Fight Combat 1 · Dec 17, 2022
    Submission
  • L
    Douglas Silva de Andrade
    UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs Souza · Nov 17, 2019
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • L
    Luke Sanders
    UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs Velasquez · Feb 18, 2019
    TKO · R2 · 1:01 · Bantamweight
Mitch Gagnon · 2-3
  • L
    Cole Smith
    UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs Cowboy · May 5, 2019
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • L
    Matthew Lopez
    UFC 206: Holloway vs Pettis · Dec 11, 2016
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • L
    Renan Barao
    UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · Dec 20, 2014
    Submission · R3 · 3:53 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Roman Salazar
    UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs MacDonald · Oct 4, 2014
    Submission · R1 · 2:06 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Tim Gorman
    UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · Apr 16, 2014
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight

Career Averages

Based on 17 fights · 8 fights
54.2
Avg sig. strikes
26.9
1.41
Avg takedowns
0.75
2:11
Avg control time
2:08
116
Career high strikes
58
6
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Renan Barao
Strike target
Mitch Gagnon
58%
Head
64%
23%
Body
24%
19%
Leg
12%
Renan Barao
Strike position
Mitch Gagnon
84%
Distance
59%
12%
Clinch
23%
5%
Ground
18%