Gagnon vs Kimura Result & Stats: Gagnon wins by SUB R1 · UFC 165, Sat, Sep 21, 2013

UFCUFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson

Mitch GagnonWIN

“The Machine” · 12-5-0

UDUDSUB

RESULT

Submission

ROUND 1 · 4:05

Bantamweight3 rounds scheduled

Full card

Dustin Kimura

“The Diamond” · 11-3-0

UDUDSUB

Saturday, September 21, 2013Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Canada

Mitch Gagnon defeated Dustin Kimura by Submission in round 1 (4:05) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson, held Saturday, September 21, 2013 at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto.

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The result

Mitch GagnonWIN

def. Dustin Kimura

Submission

Round 1 · 4:05

★ Submission of the Night

Referee: Yves Lavigne
Time format: 3 Rnd (5-5-5)

Who called it

Every forecast, graded against the result

Mitch GagnonDustin Kimura

40%Power Index✗ Missed60%

40%Market · 4 sportsbooks✗ Missed60%

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+. See the full Power Index

Betting Odds

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Mitch Gagnon

+143

41% implied win probability · Open: +164

Dustin Kimura

-169

63% implied win probability · Open: -204

Every sportsbook is in the Odds tab.

What happened

Mitch Gagnon out-landed Dustin Kimura 27 to 15 in significant strikes.

Tale of the tape

12-5-0

Record

11-3-0

Age

5'5" · 165 cm

Height

5'7" · 170 cm

65" · 165 cm

Reach

71" · 180 cm

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Win Streak

1707

Power Index

1780

2-3

Last 5

2-3

Green marks the edge where one exists: younger, taller, longer, the streak, the higher rating and the better recent form. Record and stance are facts, not edges.

Fight stats: totals

Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts

Mitch GagnonDustin Kimura

Knockdowns

27 / 57

Significant strikes

15 / 44

47%

Sig. strike accuracy

34%

27 / 58

Total strikes

15 / 44

1 / 2

Takedowns

0 / 0

Submission attempts

0:41

Control time

0:11

Where it landed

Significant strikes landed by target in this fight

Mitch GagnonDustin Kimura

1867%

Head

320%

519%

Body

640%

415%

Leg

640%

Where it happened

Where the landed significant strikes came from

Mitch Gagnon

74%19%

Dustin Kimura

93%

■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground

Range × target

Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell

Mitch Gagnon27 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

1212/36

44/8

44/4

Clinch

44/5

11/1

Ground

22/3

Dustin Kimura15 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

33/30

55/5

66/8

Clinch

11/1

Ground

Betting Odds

Mitch Gagnon

+143

41% implied win probability

Open: +164Best: +155

Dustin Kimura

-169

63% implied win probability

Open: -204Best: -163

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Sportsbook	Mitch Gagnon	Dustin Kimura
Bookmaker	+142	-163
Bovada	+155	-175
Pinnacle	+147	-163
sports-interaction	+130	-175

Odds are for information only.

Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API

Style & credentials

Mitch Gagnon

No background on record

Camp · Troop MMA · Canada

Dustin Kimura

No background on record

Sig. strikes by zone

Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes

64%

Head

56%

24%

Body

33%

12%

Leg

11%

Time in position

Where their significant strikes are thrown

Mitch Gagnonlast 8 fights

59%23%18%

Dustin Kimuralast 5 fights

78%11%11%

■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground

How good, really

Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words

Mitch Gagnon· from fights outside the UFC Dustin Kimura· from fights outside the UFC

Strikes landed / min

2.761.33

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Mitch Gagnon · Below avg · better than 30% of UFC fightersDustin Kimura · Poor · better than 3% of UFC fighters

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

2.213.82

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Mitch Gagnon · Elite · better than 87% of UFC fightersDustin Kimura · Below avg · better than 37% of UFC fighters

Takedowns landed / 15 min

1.160.93

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Mitch Gagnon · Average · better than 50% of UFC fightersDustin Kimura · Average · better than 41% of UFC fighters

Takedown accuracy

25%38%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Mitch Gagnon · Below avg · better than 20% of UFC fightersDustin Kimura · Average · better than 49% of UFC fighters

Takedown defence

66%50%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Mitch Gagnon · Average · better than 54% of UFC fightersDustin Kimura · Below avg · better than 24% of UFC fighters

Submission attempts / 15 min

1.902.20

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Mitch Gagnon · Elite · better than 95% of UFC fightersDustin Kimura · Elite · better than 96% of UFC fighters

Ranked against 1483 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.

Striking & grappling

Same scale left and right on every row

2.76

Strikes landed / min

1.33

2.21

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

3.82

1.16 / 4.6

Takedowns landed / 15 min

0.93 / 2.4

25%

Takedown accuracy

38%

66%

Takedown defence

50%

2:08

Control time / fight

0:42

1.90

Submission attempts / 15 min

2.20

Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.

Where the strikes land

Range × target

Mitch Gagnon8 UFC fights · 215 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

36%77/253

13%27/46

10%22/28

Clinch

13%27/51

9%20/23

1%3/3

Ground

16%34/54

2%5/5

0%0/0

Dustin Kimura5 UFC fights · 64 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

47%30/242

20%13/24

11%7/12

Clinch

0%0/2

11%7/8

0%0/0

Ground

9%6/12

2%1/1

0%0/0

Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.

When it ends

Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended

Mitch Gagnon13 of 17 ended early · 76%4 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

3 early stoppages have no logged time

Dustin Kimura11 of 14 ended early · 79%3 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

3 early stoppages have no logged time

finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended

Recent form · last 5

Mitch Gagnon2-3

L
Cole Smith
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs Cowboy · May 4, 2019
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
L
Matthew Lopez
UFC 206: Holloway vs Pettis · Dec 10, 2016
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
L
Renan Barao
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · Dec 20, 2014
Submission · R3 · 3:53 · Bantamweight
W
Roman Salazar
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs MacDonald · Oct 4, 2014
Submission · R1 · 2:06 · Bantamweight
W
Tim Gorman
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · Apr 16, 2014
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight

Full record · 17 fights

W
Dustin Kimura
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · Sep 21, 2013
Submission · R1 · 4:05 · Bantamweight
W
Walel Watson
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · Sep 22, 2012
Submission · R1 · 1:09 · Bantamweight
L
Bryan Caraway
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · Jul 21, 2012
Submission · R3 · 1:39 · Bantamweight
W
Bo Harris
Ringside MMA 12 · Oct 21, 2011
Submission · R1 · 2:09 · Bantamweight
W
Réjean Groulx
Ringside MMA 10 · Apr 9, 2011
TKO · R3 · 3:47 · Featherweight
W
Guillaume Lamarche
Ringside MMA 6 · Apr 10, 2010
Submission · R1 · 0:52 · Featherweight
W
Stephane Bernadel
Wreck MMA 1 · Dec 12, 2009
Submission · R1 · 0:38 · Featherweight
W
Jeff Harrison
Warrior One · Oct 10, 2009
Submission
W
Eugenio Carpine
Ringside MMA 1 · May 30, 2009
Submission · R1 · 1:29
L
William Romero
Quebec Regional · Feb 27, 2009
DEC
W
Gabriel Lavallée
Quebec Regional · Nov 8, 2008
Submission
W
Dimitri Waardenburg
Quebec Regional · Sep 13, 2008
Submission

Dustin Kimura2-3

L
Henry Cejudo
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs Miocic · Dec 13, 2014
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
L
George Roop
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · Apr 16, 2014
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
W
Jon Delos Reyes
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · Jan 4, 2014
Submission · R1 · 2:13 · Bantamweight
L
Mitch Gagnon
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · Sep 21, 2013
Submission · R1 · 4:05 · Bantamweight
W
Chico Camus
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · Feb 2, 2013
Submission · R3 · 1:50 · Bantamweight

Full record · 14 fights

W
Guy DeLumeau
PXC 34 · Nov 17, 2012
TKO · R3 · 4:44 · Featherweight
W
Damaso Pereira
Destiny MMA · Sep 8, 2012
TKO
W
Toby Misech
King of the Cage · Jul 14, 2012
Submission
W
Eddie Perrells
X-1 World Events 42 · Aug 13, 2011
Submission · R1 · 2:49 · Featherweight
W
Kurrent Cockett
X-1 World Events 40 · Mar 11, 2011
Submission · R1 · 2:58 · Featherweight
W
Sadhu Bott
X-1 World Events 37 · Nov 6, 2010
Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
W
Chris Willems
X-1 World Events 36 · Sep 11, 2010
Submission · R1 · 2:55 · Featherweight
W
Spencer Higa
X-1 World Events 34 · Jun 4, 2010
Submission · R2 · 0:57 · Featherweight
W
Jake Noble
Destiny MMA · Aug 22, 2009
Submission

Full comparison →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Mitch Gagnon vs Dustin Kimura?

Mitch Gagnon defeated Dustin Kimura by Submission in round 1 (4:05) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson, held Saturday, September 21, 2013 at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto.