Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Light Heavyweight3 rounds scheduled
DRAW

Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov

Bogdan Guskov
Hitman
18-4-1
Saturday, December 6, 2025
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States

Fight stats

Jan Blachowicz
Bogdan Guskov
1
Knockdowns
1
84 of 149
Significant strikes
80 of 140
56%
Sig. strike accuracy
57%
100 of 173
Total strikes
98 of 160
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
1
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:08
Control time
4:09
Significant strikes by target
56 of 112
Head
69 of 127
11 of 17
Body
2 of 3
17 of 20
Leg
9 of 10
74 of 135
Distance
52 of 96
2 of 3
Clinch
0 of 0
8 of 11
Ground
28 of 44

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
25 of 52
Sig. str.
21 of 44
25 of 52
Total str.
21 of 44
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
1
11 of 13
Sig. str.
32 of 51
25 of 35
Total str.
50 of 71
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
1
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
4:09
ROUND 3
1
KD
0
48 of 84
Sig. str.
27 of 45
50 of 86
Total str.
27 of 45
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:08
Ctrl
0:00

Judges' Scorecards

#BlachowiczGuskov
1109
2810
3109
Total2828
#BlachowiczGuskov
1109
2910
3109
Total2928
#BlachowiczGuskov
1109
2810
3109
Total2828

Media Scores

6
Blachowicz
8
Draw
0
Guskov
28-28 Draw×829-28 Blachowicz×6
All 14 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

36%
Blachowicz
60%
Draw
3%
Guskov
307 fan scorecards submitted
28-28 Draw59.9%29-28 Blachowicz34.5%29-27 Guskov1.6%28-27 Blachowicz1.6%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
97%
Blachowicz
R2
64%
Guskov
R3
97%
Blachowicz

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Jan Blachowicz
+121
45% implied win probability
Open: -114Best: +340
Bogdan Guskov
-128
56% implied win probability
Open: -116Best: -108

Average moneyline across 22 sportsbooks.

SportsbookJan BlachowiczBogdan Guskov
4casters+114-125
4Cx+107-124
Bet105+103-116
BetAnything-110-120
BetMGM+105-125
BetOnline+105-125
BetRivers+340-588
BetUS+105-125
Betway-105-120
Bookmaker-108-112
Bovada-108-108
Caesars-110-110
Circa+115-135
Cloudbet+104-117
DraftKings+105-125
FanDuel+270-380
HardRockBet-110-110
MyBookie+110-135
Pinnacle+103-116
Polymarket+108-113
Stake+112-122
SXBet-105-122

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Referee
Jason Herzog
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Light Heavyweight roster (15 fighters)

Jan Blachowicz
Knockout Artist
7 edges
Bogdan Guskov
Complete Fighter
3 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

96Power92
94Speed92
95Precision94
93Durability94
93Engine93
91Wrestling89
91Ground90

Biggest edge Jan Blachowicz, Kick power +9

Attribute by attribute

Jan Blachowicz is on the left of every row, Bogdan Guskov on the right.
95Punch power96
97Kick power88
94Punch speed93
93Kick speed90
95Accuracy94
91Takedowns89
91Ground striking93
91Submissions86
93Chin95
93Body strength92
93Cardio93

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

29-12-2
Record
18-4-1
0
Win Streak
0
43
Age
33
6'2"
188 cm
Height
6'3"
191 cm
78"
198 cm
Reach
76"
193 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Weight Class
Light Heavyweight
Poland
Nationality
Uzbekistan

Striking Profile

3.53
SLpM
3.60
50%
Str. Acc.
56%
3.23
SApM
3.50
51%
Str. Def.
46%

Grappling Profile

0.97
TD Avg.
0.00
48%
TD Acc.
0%
70%
TD Def.
54%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.70

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Jan Blachowicz · 0-3-2
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Medić vs Rodriguez · Aug 1, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 2:56 · Light Heavyweight
  • D
    UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025
    Majority Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs Brady · Mar 22, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC 291: Poirier vs Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • D
    UFC 282: Błachowicz vs Ankalaev · Dec 10, 2022
    Split Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
Bogdan Guskov · 3-1-1
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov · Jul 25, 2026
    TKO · R5 · 2:41 · Light Heavyweight
  • D
    UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025
    Majority Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs De Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 4:18 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    UFC 311: Makhachev vs Moicano · Jan 18, 2025
    Submission · R2 · 3:33 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez · Apr 27, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 3:16 · Light Heavyweight

Career Averages

Based on 23 fights · 7 fights
45.2
Avg sig. strikes
34.0
0.83
Avg takedowns
0.00
1:42
Avg control time
0:53
107
Career high strikes
80
4
Career high TDs
0

Strike Distribution

Jan Blachowicz
Strike target
Bogdan Guskov
61%
Head
74%
21%
Body
5%
18%
Leg
21%
Jan Blachowicz
Strike position
Bogdan Guskov
78%
Distance
66%
10%
Clinch
5%
11%
Ground
30%