Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov
Light Heavyweight5 rounds scheduled
WIN
Magomed Ankalaev
RussiaMagomed Ankalaev
22-2-1 (1 NC)
RESULT

Magomed Ankalaev def. Bogdan Guskov (TKO)

TKO · Round 5 · 2:41
Bogdan Guskov
UzbekistanBogdan Guskov
“Hitman”
18-4-1
Saturday, July 25, 2026
Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West, United Arab Emirates

Magomed Ankalaev defeated Bogdan Guskov by TKO in round 5 (2:41) in the Light Heavyweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov, held Saturday, July 25, 2026 at Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West.

Fight stats

Magomed Ankalaev
Bogdan Guskov
0
Knockdowns
0
54 of 113
Significant strikes
39 of 63
48%
Sig. strike accuracy
62%
156 of 235
Total strikes
45 of 70
2 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 0
50%
Takedown accuracy
-
3
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
8:26
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
19 of 63
Head
2 of 21
26 of 39
Body
3 of 4
9 of 11
Leg
34 of 38
44 of 98
Distance
39 of 63
4 of 4
Clinch
0 of 0
6 of 11
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
19 of 39
Sig. str.
11 of 22
19 of 39
Total str.
11 of 22
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
14 of 29
Sig. str.
12 of 17
29 of 44
Total str.
15 of 21
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:21
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
15 of 33
Sig. str.
15 of 22
15 of 33
Total str.
15 of 22
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 4
0
KD
0
3 of 5
Sig. str.
1 of 1
56 of 69
Total str.
4 of 4
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
3
Sub. att
0
4:50
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 5
0
KD
0
3 of 7
Sig. str.
0 of 1
37 of 50
Total str.
0 of 1
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
1
2:15
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Magomed Ankalaev
-586
85% implied win probability
Open: -555Best: -457
Bogdan Guskov
+625
14% implied win probability
Open: +360Best: +3233

Average moneyline across 25 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Magomed AnkalaevBogdan Guskov
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Jul 14Jul 18Jul 22Jul 25Jul 14, 10:15 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -4900 (98%)Jul 14, 10:20 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -3233 (97%)Jul 14, 11:24 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1900 (95%)Jul 14, 11:45 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1900 (95%)Jul 15, 12:14 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -2400 (96%)Jul 15, 1:25 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 2:15 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -2400 (96%)Jul 15, 2:24 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 5:15 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -2400 (96%)Jul 15, 5:25 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 6:15 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1329 (93%)Jul 15, 6:20 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1011 (91%)Jul 15, 7:15 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1900 (95%)Jul 15, 7:35 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1329 (93%)Jul 15, 8:40 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1011 (91%)Jul 15, 9:45 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1329 (93%)Jul 15, 10:40 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1329 (93%)Jul 15, 12:21 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1329 (93%)Jul 15, 12:31 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 12:44 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1329 (93%)Jul 15, 1:34 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 1:39 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1329 (93%)Jul 15, 2:34 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1900 (95%)Jul 15, 2:44 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 3:34 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 3:39 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1329 (93%)Jul 15, 4:34 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 4:44 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1329 (93%)Jul 15, 5:34 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 6:34 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 6:55 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -490 (83%)Jul 15, 6:56 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -727 (88%)Jul 15, 6:59 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -672 (87%)Jul 15, 7:34 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -502 (83%)Jul 15, 8:22 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -508 (84%)Jul 15, 9:14 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -490 (83%)Jul 15, 10:04 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -490 (83%)Jul 15, 10:34 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -490 (83%)Jul 16, 12:30 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -469 (82%)Jul 17, 5:14 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -481 (83%)Jul 17, 12:45 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -480 (83%)Jul 18, 8:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -522 (84%)Jul 19, 2:50 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -530 (84%)Jul 19, 6:50 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -533 (84%)Jul 19, 12:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -531 (84%)Jul 19, 6:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -543 (84%)Jul 19, 10:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -535 (84%)Jul 20, 2:50 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -566 (85%)Jul 20, 4:50 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -551 (85%)Jul 20, 12:51 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -551 (85%)Jul 20, 4:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -548 (85%)Jul 20, 8:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -546 (85%)Jul 21, 2:50 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -549 (85%)Jul 21, 2:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -550 (85%)Jul 21, 8:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -554 (85%)Jul 22, 2:50 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -554 (85%)Jul 22, 12:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -554 (85%)Jul 22, 4:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -558 (85%)Jul 22, 10:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -567 (85%)Jul 23, 6:50 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -579 (85%)Jul 23, 2:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -579 (85%)Jul 23, 8:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -555 (85%)Jul 24, 6:50 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -554 (85%)Jul 24, 4:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -553 (85%)Jul 24, 8:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -552 (85%)Jul 25, 12:50 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -552 (85%)Jul 25, 4:21 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -539 (84%)Jul 25, 10:50 AM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -538 (84%)Jul 25, 2:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -529 (84%)Jul 25, 6:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -564 (85%)Jul 25, 8:50 PM UTC · Magomed Ankalaev -586 (85%)Jul 14, 10:15 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -4900 (98%)Jul 14, 10:20 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -3233 (97%)Jul 14, 11:24 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -1900 (95%)Jul 14, 11:45 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -1900 (95%)Jul 15, 12:14 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -2400 (96%)Jul 15, 1:25 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 2:15 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -1329 (93%)Jul 15, 2:24 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -1011 (91%)Jul 15, 5:15 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 5:25 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -2400 (96%)Jul 15, 6:15 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 6:20 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -1329 (93%)Jul 15, 7:15 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -1011 (91%)Jul 15, 7:35 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -2400 (96%)Jul 15, 8:40 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -1567 (94%)Jul 15, 9:45 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -1150 (92%)Jul 15, 10:40 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov -1150 (92%)Jul 15, 12:21 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +100 (50%)Jul 15, 12:31 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +138 (42%)Jul 15, 12:44 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +150 (40%)Jul 15, 1:34 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +156 (39%)Jul 15, 1:39 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +150 (40%)Jul 15, 2:34 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +156 (39%)Jul 15, 2:44 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +150 (40%)Jul 15, 3:34 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +150 (40%)Jul 15, 3:39 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +156 (39%)Jul 15, 4:34 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +150 (40%)Jul 15, 4:44 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +156 (39%)Jul 15, 5:34 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +150 (40%)Jul 15, 6:34 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +150 (40%)Jul 15, 6:55 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +200 (33%)Jul 15, 6:56 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +268 (27%)Jul 15, 6:59 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +250 (29%)Jul 15, 7:34 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +353 (22%)Jul 15, 8:22 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +357 (22%)Jul 15, 9:14 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +347 (22%)Jul 15, 10:04 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +347 (22%)Jul 15, 10:34 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +347 (22%)Jul 16, 12:30 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +347 (22%)Jul 17, 5:14 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +340 (23%)Jul 17, 12:45 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +343 (23%)Jul 18, 8:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +378 (21%)Jul 19, 2:50 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +385 (21%)Jul 19, 6:50 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +388 (20%)Jul 19, 12:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +387 (21%)Jul 19, 6:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +394 (20%)Jul 19, 10:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +391 (20%)Jul 20, 2:50 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +390 (20%)Jul 20, 4:50 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +388 (20%)Jul 20, 12:51 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +386 (21%)Jul 20, 4:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +392 (20%)Jul 20, 8:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +395 (20%)Jul 21, 2:50 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +397 (20%)Jul 21, 2:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +398 (20%)Jul 21, 8:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +401 (20%)Jul 22, 2:50 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +400 (20%)Jul 22, 12:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +401 (20%)Jul 22, 4:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +403 (20%)Jul 22, 10:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +412 (20%)Jul 23, 6:50 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +419 (19%)Jul 23, 2:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +419 (19%)Jul 23, 8:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +411 (20%)Jul 24, 6:50 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +412 (20%)Jul 24, 4:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +412 (20%)Jul 24, 8:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +416 (19%)Jul 25, 12:50 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +417 (19%)Jul 25, 4:21 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +412 (20%)Jul 25, 10:50 AM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +412 (20%)Jul 25, 2:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +409 (20%)Jul 25, 6:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +540 (16%)Jul 25, 8:50 PM UTC · Bogdan Guskov +625 (14%)-586+625
SportsbookMagomed AnkalaevBogdan Guskov
4casters-457+424
4Cx-457+416
Bet105-480+396
BetAnything-550+340
BetMGM-600+425
BetOnline-550+400
BetRivers-10000+1300
BetUS-550+399
Betway-549+400
Bookmaker-565+425
Bovada-515+400
Caesars-550+400
Circa-475+380
Cloudbet-526+390
DraftKings-485+370
FanDuel-590+430
HardRockBet-550+400
Kalshi-4900+3233
MyBookie-526+380
Pinnacle-470+389
Polymarket-488+335
ProphetX-8250+2400
Stake-556+420
SXBet-520+355
YouWager-520+410

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov?

Magomed Ankalaev defeated Bogdan Guskov by TKO in round 5 (2:41) in the Light Heavyweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov, held Saturday, July 25, 2026 at Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West.

Referee
Marc Goddard
Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

UFCalendar model win probability (v1.2)

Magomed Ankalaev 72%28% Bogdan Guskov

What drove this number

  • Opposition level (Power Index)
    59%Power Index win expectancy41%
    1699.0UFCalendar Power Index rating1633.0
  • Full career
    91%Career win rate86%
    21.0Career wins18.0
    4571.0Career length3870.0
  • UFC record
    14.0UFC experience5.0
    0.0Win streak4.0
    86%UFC win rate80%
  • Grappling
    0.6Control conceded5.0
    88%Takedown defense57%
    0.7Takedowns /15 min0.0
  • Striking
    57%Striking defense45%
    2.6Strikes absorbed/min3.3
    54%Striking accuracy55%

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+.

Win probability

Magomed Ankalaev 61%39% Bogdan Guskov

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Light Heavyweight roster (15 fighters)

Magomed Ankalaev
Striking Technician
6 edges
Bogdan Guskov
Complete Fighter
2 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

96Power92
97Speed92
95Precision94
94Durability94
96Engine93
89Wrestling89
89Ground90

Biggest edge Magomed Ankalaev, Kick power +8

Attribute by attribute

Magomed Ankalaev is on the left of every row, Bogdan Guskov on the right.
95Punch power96
96Kick power88
97Punch speed93
96Kick speed90
95Accuracy94
89Takedowns89
94Ground striking93
84Submissions86
95Chin95
92Body strength92
96Cardio93

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

22-2-1 (1 NC)
Record
18-4-1
1877
Power Index rating
1801
1
Win Streak
0
34
Age
33
6'3"
191 cm
Height
6'3"
191 cm
75"
191 cm
Reach
76"
193 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Weight Class
Light Heavyweight
Russia
Nationality
Uzbekistan

Striking Profile

3.52
SLpM
3.60
52%
Str. Acc.
56%
2.49
SApM
3.50
55%
Str. Def.
46%

Grappling Profile

0.85
TD Avg.
0.00
24%
TD Acc.
0%
87%
TD Def.
54%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.70

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Magomed Ankalaev · 4-1
  • W
    Bogdan Guskov
    UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov · Jul 25, 2026
    TKO · R5 · 2:41 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    Alex Pereira
    UFC 320: Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 · Oct 4, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 1:20 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Alex Pereira
    UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev · Mar 8, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Aleksandar Rakic
    UFC 308: Topuria vs Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Johnny Walker
    UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Walker 2 · Jan 13, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 2:42 · Light Heavyweight
Bogdan Guskov · 3-1-1
  • L
    Magomed Ankalaev
    UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov · Jul 25, 2026
    TKO · R5 · 2:41 · Light Heavyweight
  • D
    Jan Blachowicz
    UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025
    Majority Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Nikita Krylov
    UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs De Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 4:18 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Billy Elekana
    UFC 311: Makhachev vs Moicano · Jan 18, 2025
    Submission · R2 · 3:33 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Ryan Spann
    UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez · Apr 27, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 3:16 · Light Heavyweight

Career Averages

Based on 16 fights · 7 fights
45.7
Avg sig. strikes
34.0
0.69
Avg takedowns
0.00
3:41
Avg control time
0:53
94
Career high strikes
80
3
Career high TDs
0

Strike Distribution

Magomed Ankalaev
Strike target
Bogdan Guskov
54%
Head
74%
29%
Body
5%
17%
Leg
21%
Magomed Ankalaev
Strike position
Bogdan Guskov
72%
Distance
66%
10%
Clinch
5%
18%
Ground
30%