Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Welterweight3 rounds scheduled
Jack Hermansson
The Joker
24-10-0
RESULT

Myktybek Orolbai def. Jack Hermansson (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 2:46
Saturday, November 22, 2025
ABHA Arena, Doha, Qatar

Myktybek Orolbai defeated Jack Hermansson by TKO in round 1 (2:46) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Qatar: Tsarukyan vs Hooker, held Saturday, November 22, 2025 at ABHA Arena, Doha.

Fight stats

Jack Hermansson
Myktybek Orolbai
0
Knockdowns
1
19 of 38
Significant strikes
15 of 33
50%
Sig. strike accuracy
45%
19 of 38
Total strikes
15 of 33
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
0:03
Significant strikes by target
9 of 25
Head
9 of 25
5 of 8
Body
3 of 5
5 of 5
Leg
3 of 3
17 of 36
Distance
13 of 31
2 of 2
Clinch
1 of 1
0 of 0
Ground
1 of 1

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
1
19 of 38
Sig. str.
15 of 33
19 of 38
Total str.
15 of 33
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:03

Betting Odds

Jack Hermansson
+165
38% implied win probability
Open: +165Best: +178
Myktybek Orolbai
-191
66% implied win probability
Open: -221Best: -125

Average moneyline across 22 sportsbooks.

SportsbookJack HermanssonMyktybek Orolbai
4casters+177-188
4Cx+173-188
Bet105+171-194
BetAnything+170-200
BetMGM+155-190
BetOnline+165-190
BetRivers+160-200
BetUS+170-205
Betway+175-225
Bookmaker+168-200
Bovada+178-205
Caesars+170-205
Circa+165-190
Cloudbet+105-125
DraftKings+170-205
FanDuel+166-198
HardRockBet+160-200
MyBookie+165-206
Pinnacle+168-191
Polymarket+170-178
Stake+155-179
SXBet+165-187

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai?

Myktybek Orolbai defeated Jack Hermansson by TKO in round 1 (2:46) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Qatar: Tsarukyan vs Hooker, held Saturday, November 22, 2025 at ABHA Arena, Doha.

Referee
Daniel Movahedi
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Jack Hermansson 46%54% Myktybek Orolbai

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Jack Hermansson
Complete Fighter
7 edges
Myktybek Orolbai
Grappling Specialist
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

71Power76
79Speed55
81Precision48
91Durability78
94Engine84
95Wrestling98
90Ground96

Biggest edge Myktybek Orolbai, Punch power +35

Attribute by attribute

Jack Hermansson is on the left of every row, Myktybek Orolbai on the right.
60Punch power95
82Kick power56
73Punch speed50
85Kick speed60
81Accuracy48
95Takedowns98
87Ground striking95
93Submissions96
88Chin82
94Body strength73
94Cardio84

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

24-10-0
Record
16-3-1
1783
Power Index rating
1812
0
Win Streak
0
38
Age
28
6'1"
185 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
77"
196 cm
Reach
74"
188 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
Sweden / Norway
Nationality
Kyrgyzstan

Style Matchup

Greco-Roman WrestlingBJJ
vs
-
Jack Hermansson
  • Black belt · BJJ · Eduardo 'Teta' Rios
  • 2014CWFC Middleweight Championship · Cage Warriors
  • 2010ECFF Middleweight Championship · East Coast Fight Factory
  • WFS Middleweight Championship · Warrior Fight Series

Camp Frontline Academy · Oslo, NO

Myktybek Orolbai

No background on record

Striking Profile

5.15
SLpM
2.70
45%
Str. Acc.
52%
3.72
SApM
2.49
56%
Str. Def.
52%

Grappling Profile

1.48
TD Avg.
8.22
29%
TD Acc.
59%
80%
TD Def.
36%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.40

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Jack Hermansson · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Qatar: Tsarukyan vs Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:46 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira · Jun 28, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 4:21 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs Pyfer · Feb 10, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland · Dec 4, 2022
    TKO · R2 · 4:06 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
Myktybek Orolbai · 3-2
  • L
    UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry · Aug 15, 2026
    Submission · R3 · 1:24 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Vallejos · Mar 14, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Qatar: Tsarukyan vs Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:46 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree Jr. · Jun 21, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 4:35 · Catchweight
  • L
    UFC 308: Topuria vs Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Catchweight

Career Averages

Based on 19 fights · 7 fights
55.2
Avg sig. strikes
28.1
1.05
Avg takedowns
5.71
1:51
Avg control time
5:37
148
Career high strikes
65
3
Career high TDs
19

Strike Distribution

Jack Hermansson
Strike target
Myktybek Orolbai
56%
Head
76%
20%
Body
13%
24%
Leg
11%
Jack Hermansson
Strike position
Myktybek Orolbai
77%
Distance
61%
7%
Clinch
3%
15%
Ground
36%