Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Heavyweight3 rounds scheduled
Tyson Pedro
Kangaroo Paws
10-5-0
RESULT

Rafael Xavier def. Tyson Pedro (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 4:59
WIN
Rafael Xavier
Kratos
15-9-0
Sunday, July 26, 2026
CareFirst Arena, Washington, D.C.

Rafael Xavier defeated Tyson Pedro by TKO in round 1 (4:59) in the Heavyweight bout of PFL Washington DC: Jean vs. Rodriguez, held Sunday, July 26, 2026 at CareFirst Arena, Washington.

Fight stats

Tyson Pedro
Rafael Xavier
0
Knockdowns
0
9 of 17
Significant strikes
29 of 42
53%
Sig. strike accuracy
69%
9 of 17
Total strikes
29 of 42
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
-
Reversals
-
0:00
Control time
0:13
Significant strikes by target
1 of 5
Head
18 of 27
3 of 5
Body
2 of 5
5 of 7
Leg
9 of 10
9 of 17
Distance
18 of 31
0 of 0
Clinch
11 of 11
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
9 of 17
Sig. str.
29 of 42
9 of 17
Total str.
29 of 42
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:13

Betting Odds

Tyson Pedro
+121
45% implied win probability
Open: -113Best: +135
Rafael Xavier
-151
60% implied win probability
Open: -109Best: -138

Average moneyline across 16 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Tyson PedroRafael Xavier
40%50%60%Jul 22Jul 23Jul 25Jul 26Jul 22, 8:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro -138 (58%)Jul 22, 10:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro -127 (56%)Jul 23, 12:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro -133 (57%)Jul 23, 2:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro -124 (55%)Jul 23, 6:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro -113 (53%)Jul 23, 8:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro -121 (55%)Jul 23, 10:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro -122 (55%)Jul 23, 12:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro -123 (55%)Jul 23, 2:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro -121 (55%)Jul 23, 4:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro -104 (51%)Jul 23, 6:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro -107 (52%)Jul 23, 8:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro -107 (52%)Jul 23, 10:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro -108 (52%)Jul 24, 12:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro -107 (52%)Jul 24, 2:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro -103 (51%)Jul 24, 4:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro +101 (50%)Jul 24, 6:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro +104 (49%)Jul 24, 8:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro +105 (49%)Jul 24, 10:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro +103 (49%)Jul 24, 12:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro +101 (50%)Jul 24, 2:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro +103 (49%)Jul 24, 8:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro +104 (49%)Jul 24, 10:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro +106 (49%)Jul 25, 12:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro +113 (47%)Jul 25, 4:20 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro +112 (47%)Jul 25, 4:51 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro +111 (47%)Jul 25, 8:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro +112 (47%)Jul 25, 10:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro +112 (47%)Jul 25, 12:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro +115 (47%)Jul 25, 2:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro +122 (45%)Jul 25, 4:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro +124 (45%)Jul 25, 6:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro +120 (45%)Jul 25, 8:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro +119 (46%)Jul 25, 10:50 PM UTC · Tyson Pedro +111 (47%)Jul 26, 12:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro +104 (49%)Jul 26, 2:50 AM UTC · Tyson Pedro +121 (45%)Jul 22, 8:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier +112 (47%)Jul 22, 10:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier +104 (49%)Jul 23, 12:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier +104 (49%)Jul 23, 2:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -101 (50%)Jul 23, 6:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -110 (52%)Jul 23, 8:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -103 (51%)Jul 23, 10:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -102 (50%)Jul 23, 12:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -101 (50%)Jul 23, 2:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -104 (51%)Jul 23, 4:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -123 (55%)Jul 23, 6:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -120 (55%)Jul 23, 8:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -119 (54%)Jul 23, 10:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -119 (54%)Jul 24, 12:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -120 (55%)Jul 24, 2:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -123 (55%)Jul 24, 4:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -127 (56%)Jul 24, 6:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -132 (57%)Jul 24, 8:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -133 (57%)Jul 24, 10:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -131 (57%)Jul 24, 12:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -129 (56%)Jul 24, 2:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -131 (57%)Jul 24, 8:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -133 (57%)Jul 24, 10:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -135 (57%)Jul 25, 12:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -142 (59%)Jul 25, 4:20 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -142 (59%)Jul 25, 4:51 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -141 (59%)Jul 25, 8:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -141 (59%)Jul 25, 10:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -142 (59%)Jul 25, 12:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -145 (59%)Jul 25, 2:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -152 (60%)Jul 25, 4:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -155 (61%)Jul 25, 6:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -151 (60%)Jul 25, 8:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -150 (60%)Jul 25, 10:50 PM UTC · Rafael Xavier -139 (58%)Jul 26, 12:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -131 (57%)Jul 26, 2:50 AM UTC · Rafael Xavier -151 (60%)+121-151
SportsbookTyson PedroRafael Xavier
Bet105+133-162
BetAnything+118-148
BetMGM+125-150
BetOnline+125-145
BetUS+100-140
Betway+120-150
Bookmaker+118-138
Bovada+135-165
Cloudbet+119-145
DraftKings+120-142
FanDuel+120-142
Pinnacle+134-163
ProphetX+117-152
Stake+115-159
SXBet+109-187
YouWager+125-145

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tyson Pedro vs Rafael Xavier?

Rafael Xavier defeated Tyson Pedro by TKO in round 1 (4:59) in the Heavyweight bout of PFL Washington DC: Jean vs. Rodriguez, held Sunday, July 26, 2026 at CareFirst Arena, Washington.

Referee
Dan Miragliotta
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Tyson Pedro 42%58% Rafael Xavier

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Tyson Pedro
Knockout Artist
5 edges
Rafael Xavier
Knockout Artist
6 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

98Power97
98Speed87
98Precision99
84Durability78
57Engine62
47Wrestling46
79Ground69

Biggest edge Tyson Pedro, Submissions +52

Attribute by attribute

Tyson Pedro is on the left of every row, Rafael Xavier on the right.
97Punch power95
98Kick power99
98Punch speed75
98Kick speed99
98Accuracy99
47Takedowns46
63Ground striking95
94Submissions42
85Chin88
83Body strength68
57Cardio62

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

10-5-0
Record
15-9-0
1594
Power Index rating
1652
0
Win Streak
1
34
Age
35
6'3"
191 cm
Height
6'1"
185 cm
79"
201 cm
Reach
78"
198 cm
Orthodox
Stance
-
Heavyweight
Weight Class
Heavyweight
Australia
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

2.90
SLpM
3.06
59%
Str. Acc.
392%
2.39
SApM
1.76
56%
Str. Def.
-344%

Grappling Profile

0.76
TD Avg.
0.00
30%
TD Acc.
-
50%
TD Def.
57%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Tyson Pedro · 2-3
  • L
    PFL Washington DC: Jean vs. Rodriguez · Jul 26, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 4:59 · Heavyweight
  • L
    PFL Belfast: Kelly vs. Wilson · Apr 16, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Heavyweight
  • W
    Nowhere to Run · Feb 26, 2025
    TKO · R7 · 0:44 · Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Gaziev · Mar 2, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    UFC 293: Adesanya vs Strickland · Sep 9, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 2:12 · Light Heavyweight
Rafael Xavier · 3-2
  • W
    PFL Washington DC: Jean vs. Rodriguez · Jul 26, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 4:59 · Heavyweight
  • L
    PFL Sioux Falls: Storley vs. Zendeli · May 2, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Heavyweight
  • W
    Professional Fighters League - 2025 PFL World Tournament 7: Semifinals · Jun 27, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 0:27 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    Bellator Champions Series · Sep 14, 2024
    Split Decision · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 50: Keita vs. Samsonidse · Dec 9, 2023
    TKO · R2 · 1:27 · Light Heavyweight

Career Averages

Based on 13 fights · 9 fights
23.7
Avg sig. strikes
27.4
0.31
Avg takedowns
0.00
0:52
Avg control time
0:07
70
Career high strikes
73
2
Career high TDs
0

Strike Distribution

Tyson Pedro
Strike target
Rafael Xavier
56%
Head
75%
24%
Body
19%
21%
Leg
6%
Tyson Pedro
Strike position
Rafael Xavier
80%
Distance
74%
13%
Clinch
26%
7%
Ground
0%