Ultimate Fighting Calendar
OKTAGONOKTAGON 85: SEVERINO VS. KAKHOROV
69 kg Catchweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Deniz Ilbay
GermanyDeniz Ilbay
“EL PISTOLERO”
9-3
RESULT

Deniz Ilbay def. Adrian Hamerski (DEC)

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Adrian Hamerski
PolandAdrian Hamerski
“ADI”
4-3-0
Saturday, March 7, 2026
Barclays Arena, Hamburg, Germany

Deniz Ilbay defeated Adrian Hamerski by Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the 69 kg Catchweight bout of OKTAGON 85: SEVERINO VS. KAKHOROV, held Saturday, March 7, 2026 at Barclays Arena, Hamburg.

Fight stats

Deniz Ilbay
Adrian Hamerski
-
Knockdowns
-
59
Significant strikes
102
-
Sig. strike accuracy
-
84
Total strikes
114
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
-
Reversals
-
-
Control time
-
Significant strikes by target
34
Head
78
16
Body
23
-
Leg
-
-
Distance
-
-
Clinch
-
-
Ground
-

By round

ROUND 1
-
KD
-
11
Sig. str.
49
21
Total str.
51
2
Head
40
2
Body
8
-
Distance
-
-
Clinch
-
-
Takedowns
-
-
Sub. att
-
-
Ctrl
-
ROUND 2
-
KD
-
32
Sig. str.
24
43
Total str.
26
21
Head
15
10
Body
9
-
Distance
-
-
Clinch
-
-
Takedowns
-
-
Sub. att
-
-
Ctrl
-
ROUND 3
-
KD
-
16
Sig. str.
29
20
Total str.
37
11
Head
23
4
Body
6
-
Distance
-
-
Clinch
-
-
Takedowns
-
-
Sub. att
-
-
Ctrl
-

Judges' Scorecards

Clemens Werner
#IlbayHamerski
1910
2109
3109
Total--
Jan Voborník
#IlbayHamerski
1910
2109
3109
Total--
Eva Borodacova
#IlbayHamerski
1910
2109
3109
Total--

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Deniz Ilbay
-448
82% implied win probability
Open: -302Best: -357
Adrian Hamerski
+318
24% implied win probability
Open: +221Best: +367

Average moneyline across 6 sportsbooks.

SportsbookDeniz IlbayAdrian Hamerski
BetOnline-450+350
Betway-549+350
Bookmaker-510+367
Bovada-500+325
Cloudbet-357+268
Stake-385+245

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Deniz Ilbay vs Adrian Hamerski?

Deniz Ilbay defeated Adrian Hamerski by Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the 69 kg Catchweight bout of OKTAGON 85: SEVERINO VS. KAKHOROV, held Saturday, March 7, 2026 at Barclays Arena, Hamburg.

Referee
Pavel Touš
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Deniz Ilbay 68%32% Adrian Hamerski

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

9-3
Record
4-3-0
1645
Power Index rating
1512
1
Win Streak
0
31
Age
29
5'6"
168 cm
Height
6'0"
183 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
-
Stance
-
69 kg Catchweight
Weight Class
69 kg Catchweight
Germany
Nationality
Poland

Striking Profile

3.58
SLpM
6.95
-
Str. Acc.
-
3.61
SApM
4.92
-
Str. Def.
-

Grappling Profile

-
TD Avg.
-
-
TD Acc.
-
-
TD Def.
-
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Deniz Ilbay · 3-2
  • W
    Adrian Hamerski
    OKTAGON 85: SEVERINO VS. KAKHOROV · Mar 7, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · 69 kg Catchweight
  • L
    Karol Ryšavý
    OKTAGON 82: ENGIZEK VS. JOTKO · Jan 17, 2026
    Submission · R1 · 3:49 · Featherweight
  • L
    Max Holzer
    OKTAGON 69: HOLZER vs. ILBAY · Apr 5, 2025
    Submission · R4 · 4:14 · Featherweight
  • W
    Vladimír Lengál
    OKTAGON 66: ENGIZEK vs. ONISZCZUK · Feb 1, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 0:33 · Featherweight
  • W
    Michael Deiga-Scheck
    OKTAGON 62: Eckerlin vs. Jungwirth · Oct 12, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 3:19 · Featherweight
Adrian Hamerski · 2-3
  • L
    Deniz Ilbay
    OKTAGON 85: SEVERINO VS. KAKHOROV · Mar 7, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · 69 kg Catchweight
  • L
    Radek Roušal
    OKTAGON 74: BOLANDER VS. SZABOVÁ · Aug 9, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 1:09 · Featherweight
  • W
    Mariusz Michalczuk
    Strife 13 · Apr 12, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 0:40 · Featherweight
  • L
    Andrii Misiuk
    Strife 11 · Dec 14, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 4:55 · Catchweight
  • W
    Hiderlandson Ribeiro
    Strife Tube 3 · Feb 16, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 5:00 · Catchweight

Career Averages

Based on 8 fights · 2 fights
32.4
Avg sig. strikes
73.5
59
Career high strikes
102

Strike Distribution

Deniz Ilbay
Strike target
Adrian Hamerski
80%
Head
70%
20%
Body
30%