Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Featherweight3 rounds scheduled
Deniz Ilbay
EL PISTOLERO
9-3
RESULT

Karol Ryšavý def. Deniz Ilbay (SUB)

Submission · Round 1 · 3:49
WIN
Karol Ryšavý
Bomby
15-10-1
Saturday, January 17, 2026
PSD Bank Dome, Düsseldorf, Germany

Karol Ryšavý defeated Deniz Ilbay by Submission in round 1 (3:49) in the Featherweight bout of OKTAGON 82: ENGIZEK VS. JOTKO, held Saturday, January 17, 2026 at PSD Bank Dome, Düsseldorf.

Fight stats

Deniz Ilbay
Karol Ryšavý
-
Knockdowns
-
17
Significant strikes
7
-
Sig. strike accuracy
-
22
Total strikes
19
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
-
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
-
Reversals
-
-
Control time
-
Significant strikes by target
11
Head
6
3
Body
1
-
Leg
0
-
Distance
-
-
Clinch
-
-
Ground
-

By round

ROUND 1
-
KD
-
17
Sig. str.
7
22
Total str.
19
11
Head
6
3
Body
1
-
Distance
-
-
Clinch
-
-
Takedowns
-
-
Sub. att
-
-
Ctrl
-

Betting Odds

Deniz Ilbay
-506
83% implied win probability
Open: -350Best: -435
Karol Ryšavý
+333
23% implied win probability
Open: +243Best: +400

Average moneyline across 7 sportsbooks.

SportsbookDeniz IlbayKarol Ryšavý
BetOnline-550+400
BetUS-455+280
Betway-500+333
Bookmaker-498+350
Bovada-435+290
MyBookie-526+320
Stake-625+360

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Deniz Ilbay vs Karol Ryšavý?

Karol Ryšavý defeated Deniz Ilbay by Submission in round 1 (3:49) in the Featherweight bout of OKTAGON 82: ENGIZEK VS. JOTKO, held Saturday, January 17, 2026 at PSD Bank Dome, Düsseldorf.

Referee
Václav Přibyl
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Deniz Ilbay 55%45% Karol Ryšavý

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Deniz Ilbay
Knockout Artist
8 edges
Karol Ryšavý
Complete Fighter
3 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

95Power87
95Speed85
96Precision94
78Durability80
88Engine85
89Wrestling90
64Ground88

Biggest edge Karol Ryšavý, Submissions +50

Attribute by attribute

Deniz Ilbay is on the left of every row, Karol Ryšavý on the right.
98Punch power94
92Kick power80
98Punch speed96
92Kick speed73
96Accuracy94
89Takedowns90
85Ground striking83
43Submissions93
72Chin82
84Body strength78
88Cardio85

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

9-3
Record
15-10-1
1680
Power Index rating
1647
1
Win Streak
0
31
Age
33
5'6"
168 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
-
-
Stance
-
Featherweight
Weight Class
Featherweight
Germany
Nationality
Slovakia

Striking Profile

3.58
SLpM
4.24
-
Str. Acc.
-
3.61
SApM
3.36
-
Str. Def.
-

Grappling Profile

-
TD Avg.
-
-
TD Acc.
-
-
TD Def.
-
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Deniz Ilbay · 3-2
  • W
    OKTAGON 85: SEVERINO VS. KAKHOROV · Mar 7, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · 69 kg Catchweight
  • L
    OKTAGON 82: ENGIZEK VS. JOTKO · Jan 17, 2026
    Submission · R1 · 3:49 · Featherweight
  • L
    OKTAGON 69: HOLZER vs. ILBAY · Apr 5, 2025
    Submission · R4 · 4:14 · Featherweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 66: ENGIZEK vs. ONISZCZUK · Feb 1, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 0:33 · Featherweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 62: Eckerlin vs. Jungwirth · Oct 12, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 3:19 · Featherweight
Karol Ryšavý · 2-2-1
  • D
    OKTAGON 89: SEVERINO VS. ZHUMAGULOV · Jun 6, 2026
    Draw · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 82: ENGIZEK VS. JOTKO · Jan 17, 2026
    Submission · R1 · 3:49 · Featherweight
  • W
    CFN 5 · Nov 29, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 4:10 · Middleweight
  • L
    OKTAGON 77: ENGIZEK vs. HUMBURGER · Oct 4, 2025
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • L
    OKTAGON 72: VÉMOLA VS. VÉGH 3 · Jun 14, 2025
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight

Career Averages

Based on 8 fights · 18 fights
32.4
Avg sig. strikes
39.9
59
Career high strikes
106

Strike Distribution

Deniz Ilbay
Strike target
Karol Ryšavý
80%
Head
89%
20%
Body
11%