Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Featherweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Deniz Ilbay
EL PISTOLERO
9-3
RESULT

Deniz Ilbay def. Marco Novák (TKO)

TKO · Round 3 · 4:29
Saturday, September 16, 2023
Festhalle Messe Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany

Deniz Ilbay defeated Marco Novák by TKO in round 3 (4:29) in the Featherweight bout of OKTAGON 46: Dalisda vs. Austin, held Saturday, September 16, 2023 at Festhalle Messe Frankfurt, Frankfurt.

Fight stats

Deniz Ilbay
Marco Novák
-
Knockdowns
-
24
Significant strikes
12
-
Sig. strike accuracy
-
113
Total strikes
83
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
-
Reversals
-
-
Control time
-
Significant strikes by target
21
Head
4
2
Body
0
-
Leg
-
-
Distance
-
-
Clinch
-
-
Ground
-

By round

ROUND 1
-
KD
-
5
Sig. str.
4
25
Total str.
31
5
Head
1
0
Body
0
-
Distance
-
-
Clinch
-
-
Takedowns
-
-
Sub. att
-
-
Ctrl
-
ROUND 2
-
KD
-
3
Sig. str.
5
14
Total str.
36
2
Head
3
0
Body
0
-
Distance
-
-
Clinch
-
-
Takedowns
-
-
Sub. att
-
-
Ctrl
-
ROUND 3
-
KD
-
16
Sig. str.
3
74
Total str.
16
14
Head
0
2
Body
0
-
Distance
-
-
Clinch
-
-
Takedowns
-
-
Sub. att
-
-
Ctrl
-

Betting Odds

Deniz Ilbay
-235
70% implied win probability
Open: -188Best: -215
Marco Novák
+172
37% implied win probability
Open: +142Best: +200

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

SportsbookDeniz IlbayMarco Novák
BetOnline-260+200
Betway-250+175
Bovada-220+165
unibet-215+150

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Deniz Ilbay vs Marco Novák?

Deniz Ilbay defeated Marco Novák by TKO in round 3 (4:29) in the Featherweight bout of OKTAGON 46: Dalisda vs. Austin, held Saturday, September 16, 2023 at Festhalle Messe Frankfurt, Frankfurt.

Referee
Vaclav Pribyl
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Deniz Ilbay 63%37% Marco Novák

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Featherweight roster (204 fighters)

Deniz Ilbay
Knockout Artist
4 edges
Marco Novák
Striking Technician
5 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

95Power95
95Speed96
96Precision94
78Durability80
88Engine88
89Wrestling92
64Ground72

Biggest edge Marco Novák, Submissions +15

Attribute by attribute

Deniz Ilbay is on the left of every row, Marco Novák on the right.
98Punch power93
92Kick power96
98Punch speed96
92Kick speed96
96Accuracy94
89Takedowns92
85Ground striking85
43Submissions58
72Chin77
84Body strength82
88Cardio88

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

9-3
Record
7-3-0
1647
Power Index rating
1557
1
Win Streak
0
31
Age
31
5'6"
168 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
-
-
Stance
-
Featherweight
Weight Class
Featherweight
Germany
Nationality
Slovakia

Striking Profile

3.58
SLpM
2.40
-
Str. Acc.
-
3.61
SApM
3.30
-
Str. Def.
-

Grappling Profile

-
TD Avg.
-
-
TD Acc.
-
-
TD Def.
-
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Deniz Ilbay · 3-2
  • W
    OKTAGON 85: SEVERINO VS. KAKHOROV · Mar 7, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · 69 kg Catchweight
  • L
    OKTAGON 82: ENGIZEK VS. JOTKO · Jan 17, 2026
    Submission · R1 · 3:49 · Featherweight
  • L
    OKTAGON 69: HOLZER vs. ILBAY · Apr 5, 2025
    Submission · R4 · 4:14 · Featherweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 66: ENGIZEK vs. ONISZCZUK · Feb 1, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 0:33 · Featherweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 62: Eckerlin vs. Jungwirth · Oct 12, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 3:19 · Featherweight
Marco Novák · 3-2
  • L
    OKTAGON 89: SEVERINO VS. ZHUMAGULOV · Jun 6, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 77: ENGIZEK vs. HUMBURGER · Oct 4, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 0:30 · Featherweight
  • L
    OKTAGON 69: HOLZER vs. ILBAY · Apr 5, 2025
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 65: PARADEISER vs. KEITA 2 · Dec 29, 2024
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 59: PARADEISER vs. TORRES · Jul 20, 2024
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Cathweight 68kg

Career Averages

Based on 8 fights · 8 fights
32.4
Avg sig. strikes
32.1
59
Career high strikes
63

Strike Distribution

Deniz Ilbay
Strike target
Marco Novák
80%
Head
63%
20%
Body
37%